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Canada has fewer entrepreneurs today than it did 20 years ago (cbc.ca)
207 points by amichail 6 months ago | hide | past | favorite | 327 comments



This article itself is a great case study. The implicit structure of this article is that Lynn got fired and became an entrepreneur because he was forced into it. They never asked him anything about what it would take to get more entrepreneurs or make his life as an entrepreneur easier.

Instead they asked 4 professors of entrepreneurship & govt. ministers who probably weren't entrepreneurs. These people mentioned twice that one of the reasons for low entrepreneurship is because unemployment is too low and jobs pay too well... the whole push for this is coming from callous bureaucrats who've never been anywhere close to entrepreneurship who apparently believe its so bad that the only reason someone would do it is if they have no other options..

What a joke.. it's hard to believe this level of stupidity , it might just be malice (a pretext to justify raising interest rates and increase unemployment)


This is what happens in a world where “experts” are merely those with “certifications at the expert level” and not people with actual knowledge and experience.

That kind of world is an inevitable outcome of large bureaucracies and over-reliance on qualifications. You don’t just get idiocracy, you get Untruths and policies oriented around expanding the bureaucracy rather than addressing problems. See also: Lysenkoism in the USSR, EU’s model of funding startups through grants.

I honestly think this one of the things the US does way, way better than other developed countries. We pay a price in cronyism and corruption, but we actually let industry experts with real experience both advise on policy and take key government positions. We don’t pretend you need a PhD in X to be knowledgeable about X to nearly the same extent as Canada and the Eu.

You can’t just stick a midwit in a university for 10 years and expect them to be anything other than a midwit, and you can’t expert an organization that values compliance and internal politics more than performance and effectiveness to produce performant or effective leaders. You can’t bureaucracy your way into a free market either.


As someone living in the EU, I can say your comparison between Lysenkoism and EU grants is fantastic.


A bunch of people with the wrong assumptions who don't understand the core mechanics of a situation surely won't improve things I agree with you on that. Calling them midwits with no prospects, on the other hand, says more about you than them.


There is nothing wrong per-se with being a midwit; most people are midwits and I never said they have “no prospects”.

What I take issue with is the kind of idiocracy you get when experts are identified according to “an uninformed person’s idea of an expert” rather than actual expertise. Bureaucracies’ ideas of expertise are usually “objective” like a degree or certification. The thing about degrees and certifications is that they are not nearly as difficult to get or indicative of knowledge/intelligence as an average person thinks they are. Especially with regard to more practical degrees like business and engineering, they simply cannot really teach you the same kinds of things you learn from actually working in the field.


Aye, I like to think of entrepreneurs as extreme investors. They are investing their time and effort in the expectation that there will be significant returns in the market.

The Canadian entrepreneur problem is the TSX problem: it's a struggle to convince oneself to invest in Canada, because generally the returns are lackluster. Rail, Banks, Oil and Gas are the consistent winners, all well-connected and deeply rooted, and rare is the startup that becomes a star on the TSX.

It's not that there isn't enough starving and unemployed talent, it's that there's something about Canada that suffocates and debilitates small and medium companies.


> it's that there's something about Canada that suffocates and debilitates small and medium companies.

On the face of it, Canada should be a hotbed of entrepreneurship. The country has full access to the US market, has a good standard of living, has capitalism with good social nets, has great rule of law, well educated residents, allows qualified immigrants...

Every major economy is aging. Surely this cannot be the answer why entrepreurship in Canada is down.

Also, I object to the metric of entrepreneurs as a percentage of population used in the article. It is about how many successful companies are being born. You could have a very high entrepreurship rate with a high failure rate or you could have a low entrepreneurship rate with a high success rate. At the end it is the product of the two i.e. sustainable, successful businesses born per year that is a better metric. We also need to take future profitability and future-impact into account. Giving birth to one OpenAI per year is arguably better than getting 100 new dry-cleaner businesses per-year.

The article could have been better.


Speaking as a Canadian who moved to the US for work, I think a huge reason is that if you’re an ambitious Canadian it’s a lot easier to move to the US than trying to make it in Canada.

I can’t speak to the other external factors, but I think brain drain to the US is quite significant.


Yes but, thinking about this:

Canada sells and sees itself as the good boys. The conformists. The least likely to rock the boat. The opposite of that Apple ad essentially

You can see that by how often they will go with proprietary solution, even for their startups/SMEs. "Oh why don't we do this in .NET" even when there are plenty of other solutions

They will only risk the water only when they see other people way down. I'd say even Europe is not that bad in that sense.


I wasn’t aware .NET was any more proprietary than anything else these days. Care to elaborate?


>"Oh why don't we do this in .NET" even when there are plenty of other solutions

That's an interesting idea for a metric: how many programming languages has Canada created relative to similarly sized countries?


Canada and Canadians are doing well here. You can start with Rust, PHP, and Java.


This is about Canada, not Canadians. Rust and Java were created in the USA down the road from each other in California, by people working for US companies.

Nobody is claiming there's some sort of genetic difference that causes different levels of entrepreneurship, it's clearly all cultural. Take the Canadian out of Canada, make them report to American bosses and clearly they can create popular new software, no different to Europeans or Indians or Chinese ... the differences therefore must be related to government policy and culture.


>it's clearly all cultural. Take the Canadian out of Canada, make them report to American bosses and clearly they can create popular new software, no different to Europeans or Indians or Chinese ... the differences therefore must be related to government policy and culture.

By default, most of the top-of-field Canadians work in the US because it's at least 50% more profitable (among other reasons).

I agree with the premise about culture generally but you can't attribute all of it to culture. A great deal can be attributed to money and "ecosystems" around certain industries.


Rust was originally created in Canada, but your point is taken.


> well educated residents

Well schooled residents, at least. Canadians have more schooling than anywhere else in the world according to the OECD. How well they are educated is questionable, however. Canada lacks the markers of an educated society – incomes are low and stagnant, very little political engagement, etc.

> Giving birth to one OpenAI per year is arguably better than getting 100 new dry-cleaner businesses per-year.

The article is written through the eyes of BDC. Is one OpenAI actually better for them than 100 dry cleaning businesses? Would an OpenAI-like business even seek funding through BDC when they can just as easily secure a payday from Microsoft?


>full access to the US market

As an Old Worlder I would like to know what this means. If you have a website or a SaaS and are located in Canada, do you mean you can sell freely, wothout restriction, and without regulatory burden, the same as if you were operating within the US?


>It is about how many successful companies are being born

What per capita metrics should be used for this?


?Rail, Banks, Oil and Gas are the consistent winners, all well-connected and deeply rooted, and rare is the startup that becomes a star on the TSX

Do you reckon there is room for innovation here?


What a joke.. it's hard to believe this level of stupidity , it might just be malice (a pretext to justify raising interest rates and increase unemployment)

The political branch of the government does not control interest rates, nor have any say in them. The Prime Minister cannot raise or lower interest rates.

This is the same in most western democracies, as such things cannot be left to political control.


I mean, they admit that they only have "considerable independence", but not "total independence":

"The Bank of Canada is a special type of Crown corporation, owned by the federal government, but with considerable independence to carry out its responsibilities."

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/about

They also add: "The Governor and Senior Deputy Governor are appointed by the Bank's Board of Directors (with the approval of Cabinet), not by the federal government."

... and the BoD are appointed by cabinet.

Does the political branch make the decisions? No. But they choose the people that do!


Does the political branch make the decisions? No. But they choose the people that do!

This by no means implies any control over interest rates. At all.

People are appointed, and that's where political input ends. And those appointed stay appointed, are not chosen lightly, markets do not react well to poor choice.

By your metric, you'd think our Supreme court judges were puppets too. They aren't.

People may have political leanings, but understand, that is not the same as allowing input where it is not allowed.

The government cannot interfere with the judicial branch, nor with fiscal policy. To do so, renders it a banana republic, or dictatorship, any attempts would be disaster, for those appointed take this very seriously.

A core part of the job is to ignore ministers, the PMO, and so on.

It is entirely independent.


>By your metric, you'd think our Supreme court judges were puppets too

In the US supreme court judges almost always agree with whatever position is favoured by the party that appointed them, even if nominally independent.


If this were true, SCOTUS would almost always be split 5-4. But, it is not. In fact, it typically has significantly more 9-0 decisions than 5-4.

For example: https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/jun/23/trey-wingo...


>If this were true, SCOTUS would almost always be split 5-4

That'd only be the case if there were no policies with bi-partisan support. How many of those 9-0 are for politically contentious issues?


You say that as if that's relevant, when discussing Canada.

And you're confusing political leanings, with influence. Political leanings which can, and have changed over careers. Not to mention, some of them outlive everyone who appointed them.


Bank of Canada directors are on 3-year (renewable) terms.

You don't need someone that will take in your input when you install people that are going to do what you want in the first place.


The governor and deputy are 7 years, appointed by directors. They control fiscal policy.

Look, I know it's fashionable to claim that everyone just ignores their roles via legislation (such as the bank of canada act), ignores change and what's happening in the world around them, to instead act as puppets, but that's just not how it works.


This is wrong. They can fire the director (which sets the policy). As the director is not that independent (or there is no strong safe guard that she is) then you indirectly set the interest rate.


No. Just no.

The Governor(not director) os not appointed by the government. Nor fired.

You need to read up on this. Please. You're just making stuff up.


The CBC is little more than crass government propaganda at this point. Canada in general should be viewed as a cautionary tale for anyone who thinks more government intervention in our lives, is a good thing.


As someone that has lived in several countries, and currently in Canada, I will respectfully have to disagree both about your opinion of the CBC and beliefs about government intervention. Some parts of Canadian local/provincial/federal government seem deeply dysfunctional, but some are extremely helpful and better than I’ve seen elsewhere.


You're seeing what remains of a strong and healthy period of Canadian history. But almost every facet is currently under threat and significant stress.

You can't fund a "news" organization with public money and expect them to be an independent agency that holds the government's feet to the fire. They don't do much more than add a thin veneer of objectivity and independent analysis for any significant government initiative.

The article posted above is just a small piece of evidence for the broken nature of the media. There is a torrent more spewing out daily.


Counterpoint: You can't fund a news organization with private money and expect them to hold private organizations' feet to the fire. Any time they are critical of a major business, they lose advertisers.

Personally, I have a problem with the viewpoint that democratic governments are some sort of adversary when in actuality, private businesses are the entities that have no accountability and we have zero direct control over. I agree there should be independent criticism of government, but IMO state media from a democratic government is naturally going to be better overall than only having private media.


Without government picking winners and loser (through protective legislation and regulation) the free market means that honest competition keeps corporations in check. There is an adversarial element inherent in the system. The reason we have so many entrenched monopolies is because they have captured the government.. a government that has no adversary and isn't even properly monitored by the corrupt and complicit media.


Everyone has their own interests in mind and so everyone has to be balanced against each other. Come on people we figured this out hundreds of years ago.


As a person who has very close familial ties to other countries (US and Europe), and been around a decent bit, I still think life in Canada is better than in other places (for me). Sure we have problems, some of them are getting even worse than before, but comparatively we’re doing okay. It’s easy to say everything sucks here, but it also sucks in other places for different reasons.

Full disclaimer, I consider myself politically moderate/centrist and still think CBC is very valuable. And again, I understand everyone has different priorities in life and Canada might not be suitable for them. But implying “we have it the worst and nobody would want to live here if they had a way to get out” is also wrong.


But isn't perhaps the relatively better life simply due to the truly stupendous ratio of land and natural resources per person that make up for the deficiencies of the system?


I mean, yeah? Every country uses (if they can) their natural resources to prop up everything. Some better than others (e.g. Norwegian generational fund), some invest basically into every possible thing imaginable (Saudi and Aramco), and Canada does it in just in an average way. Either way, nothing is perfect, things might go for worse, but as of now, it’s a good place for me and others that I know.


Yes. But it's still an objectively better life compared to other places in the world. Hopefully Canada has enough time to correct any system deficiencies before our natural resources run out.


I don’t see people becoming homeless because of medical bills in Canada.

I don’t see people getting shot nearly as much in Canada.

I don’t see as many exploited illegal immigrants in Canada.

To fight corporate greed and capitalistic cynicism we do need government.


>I don’t see as many exploited illegal immigrants in Canada.

There is not a large land border with Mexico in Canada, but Canadians are happy enough to exploit what they call temporary foreign workers who do jobs they don't want to do and have rights which fall short of a citizens on paper and in practice.

This difference seems less due to Canada's superior nature than it seems due to Canada being surrounded by oceans on three sides and by a wealthier country on the fourth side. In fact I think Canadians would do well to keep in mind that they don't face the same issues that other countries do before passing judgement on immigration issues. Almost all immigrants to Canada are immigrants Canada explicitly welcomed to the country who met every qualification.


Wrt who is happy to exploit TFWs: is it Canadians, or the Canadian government at the request of Canadian big business?

Who stands to gain? Without TFWs the minimum wage (or the amount actually paid for workers) would have to rise - supply and demand.


Well in some cases the gain is mutual especially for things like seasonal agriculture work where demand for labour periodically peaks and the labour is utterly miserable. I've seen seasonal labour wages spike to twice the minimum wage, and still seen fruit rot on the field and people continue working their minimum wage jobs at Tim Hortons. This is an area where the poor of the nation arguably benefit from the underclass by driving down the cost of fresh produce and not having to do this back breaking labour.

For other things, like the aforementioned jobs at Tim Hortons, hiring temporary foreign worker is nothing but a wage suppression scheme meant to solve the "problem" of Tim Horton's being unprofitable and locations shutting down in a low unemployment environment, and the whole "temporary" thing is something to be worked around.

The previous government got in a world of shit for doing the latter and eventually stopped and banned much of the wage suppression aspect of this program. A few years back the incumbent government figured enough people aren't paying attention and re-legalised the fast food underclass again to suppress wages to address the "labour shortage" because fast food workers were faint making more than minimum wage and shudder taking a greater share of the profits of the fast food business.


Great insights, would love to see more.

Anecdotally, I've seen that fast food example often. Most of the time they think they're going to get PR in the long run.

Further, there's a lot of these fast food restaurants working employees extra hours off the table on cash


I don't know why they are homeless, but there are quite a bit of homeless there; along with 15-people illegal boarding homes. Canadian real estate market is also quite a miracle.

Compared to US, I suppose. Canadian homicide rate is comparable to Balkan countries, each famous in their own way of dysfunction and corruption.

Drop the word "illegal" and you will see a lot. How do you expect illegal immigrants to get to Canada when they only border US?

The final point is quite amusing since it's the Canadian Government and the regulatory capture it creates that screws up a lot of things in Canada and pushes prices to insane levels (mobile phone plans, housing as two examples that came to my mind) while also depressing wages via immigration.


> Canadian homicide rate is comparable to Balkan countries

At 2.1/100,000 it’s a hair above the 2021 Balkans average, which is, frankly, quite low and just a little higher than the Northern Europe average.

> each famous in their own way of dysfunction and corruption.

Yes, but not for high homicide rates.

What’s the point you are trying to make?


If being Balkan-like is good enough, then yeah I understand why you wouldn't complain. After reading the other comments on this page it seems that "Well, it's good* enough." should be the national Canadian slogan or something.

[*] For some low standard of good


GP suggests you ar cherry picking the data to make irrelevant data inferences.

Here is a counter example. Cuba sees ~0 Rhinecarops homicide, ergo it's just as developed as Canada and Belgium.


> Drop the word "illegal" and you will see a lot.

There are major differences between legal immigrants, who have to pass some pretty strict tests of suitability, and uncontrolled immigration. Legal immigrants have most of the rights and obligations of citizens, including access to healthcare and paying taxes.

> How do you expect illegal immigrants to get to Canada when they only border US?

Canada has thankfully developed enough by now to have airports.

> I don't know why they [sic] are homeless

You said it yourself: expensive real estate.


> Canada has thankfully developed enough by now to have airports.

Truly spoken like someone who has no information about illegal immigration. I suppose the border control just lets everyone in? Or flights to Canada just let everyone board without checking their visas? Or Canadian embassies just throw around visas without checking for illegal immigration risk? For those who don't need visas, anyone interested in illegally immigrating from this list of countries (https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/se...) are much better served by buying a bus ticket to Germany.


> Truly spoken like someone who has no information about illegal immigration

Quote from this [0] article: "But in the past 10 years, visa overstays in the United States have outnumbered border crossings by a ratio of about 2 to 1, according to Robert Warren, who was for a decade the director of the statistics division at the agency that has since been renamed U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services".

[0] https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/04/re...


US and Canada are two entirely different countries with entirely different approaches to immigration, and the numbers are wildly different:

> There are no accurate figures representing the number or composition of undocumented immigrants residing in Canada. A guesstimate of about half a million has been proposed nationally [1, 2], but this number varies among other sources which suggest anywhere from 20,000 to 200,000 undocumented workers [3–5]. In 2003, Ontario’s Construction Secretariat purported that there were 76,000 non-status immigrants in Ontario’s construction industry alone, while other sources confirmed that at least 36,000 failed refugee applicants had never been deported, and another 64,000 individuals overstayed their work, student or visitor visas in 2002 [5]. If it is assumed that workers are accompanied by family, the numbers in Ontario would rise to the highest figure previously estimated for all of Canada. With respect to settlement, Vancouver, Montreal, and Toronto have the highest number of undocumented migrants [6], with nearly 50% residing in Toronto alone [7].

The total number if illegal immigrants is probably around 10% of the yearly intake of legal immigrants.

Whereas US keeps going for new records: https://www.statista.com/statistics/329256/alien-apprehensio...


First you rudely accuse me of being an ignorant for pointing out that illegal immigration often occurs through airports, and when proven wrong you deflect and try to switch the subject instead of admitting that you were mistaken.

It's immature and you can do better than that.


I believe that is incredibly out of date now https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-enc...


I would like to understand how that relates to the method of entry of illegal immigrants into Canada.

Let's remember the root claim that is being disputed:

> How do you expect illegal immigrants to get to Canada when they only border US?


The homicide rate in my poor corrupted Balkan country is 4 times lower than the US.


One of the few things we can take solace in as Balkanites: at least it's not as bad as it could be. Thank you US for showing that money does not necessarily fix all your problems.


Yea sure sure but it's significantly worse now that before. As more people become more desperate, they will turn to crime. Canada needs an embodiment of Theseus to defeat the Procrustes like progressives.


Or maybe the issue is regulatory capture of government, not government itself?

‘Government intervention’ isn’t the same as a government who works to support the needs of citizens.


There's no government system that has been proposed that can not be captured. The only option that has proven to work so far, is to limit the government, so that regulatory capture doesn't matter that much.


Nonsense. Don’t spread misinformation.


Spoken with the same tone and language that the nanny state and media use. It's inappropriate and shameful. I hope more people start to see through it before civil society is completely lost.


I am Canadian and am in agreement with the point to which you replied. There is no misinformation about Canada moving backwards comparatively to what it once was.


Perhaps you are being a bit cynical? There are certainly no problems that can't be solved by giving more money to government initiatives like the MaRS Centre in Ontario. These institutions also create jobs and are businesses of a certain sort, so funding them is supporting business directly.

And who can argue with the results? Several promising entrepreneurs each year take advantage of these critical programs to consult with pro-business advisers who assist in job creation by recommending they apply for 3k tax breaks.


Your cynicism is so sophisticated I am impressed.


Especially when wages in Canada for skilled labor are horrendous.


I don't know.. before the tech boom that redefined basic meanings, entrepreneurs were known as folks who were otherwise unemployable. So yes some people start companies because they have a blinding ambition but others do so out of necessity.


Unless you want a yacht or find every other option so miserable/impossible, why would you be an entrepreneur?

It’s a lot of work and there’s plenty of money to be made as a corporate drone.


It’s not only about material wealth, it’s about agency.

If you’re a corporate drone, someone else owns your time. Want to take some time off? You need permission from your employer. Want to do something differently? Need permission. Want to think for yourself or take initiative? Frowned upon at best, forbidden at worst.

Nothing wrong with one or the other, but it doesn’t suit everyone.


It takes time for a business to be at the level where you can do the above. At the start, you are essentially a slave to your business.


A union Canadian civil servant can work 35 hour weeks and be unfirable even if their actions are frowned upon. Whereas an entrepreneur often gets to work a liberating 80 hours a week and stepping a toe out of line can draw the ire of clients and bankrupt them.

Of all the criticisms I would have of Canadian work culture, lack of autonomy is not one of them.


Some people just hate to be a corporate drone.


>ell... the whole push for this is coming from callous bureaucrats who've never been anywhere close to entrepreneurship who apparently believe its so bad that the only reason someone would do it is if they have no other options..

In all fairness, isn't that a legitimate reason? If you could make a very comfy life and retire early I think many would be entrepreneurs would take the easy way out. Of course, some want the big cash out or strongly believe in their mission, but many people are there for the money.

Of course, I can't verify if wages in Canada are indeed "too well. Seems like an outdated statement if the economy up there is anything close to the US's. Legitimate reason with incorrect data is simply a misguided take.


It's definitely not the case.

Canada has a cost of living crisis, and an entire generation has been priced out of the possibility of owning a home.

One can survive better than in the US at the extremely low end, and being sick won't kill or bankrupt you.

But nobody is living a "comfy" life without busting and hustling.


All my late 20s accountant friends are buying houses right now. I know a chemical engineer doing the same. Likewise for everyone in tech. And a lot of people live with their parents and will inherit a family house at some point too.

Plenty of people living comfy.


At least in the US, tech is currently in a wage supression war, and I’m afraid this will ripple out all the world.

But for “a lot of people live with their parents” that’s actually a sign that things are not going well at all. This can be seen all over Europe, and just means that people cannot afford to move out, not that they like living with their parents. If/when they inherit their parent’s house they might be in their fifties or sixties, and most of their prime life is gone by then.


No, it really isn't. There's a cultural preference in the white USA for "moving out" of your parents house, but that's not universal.

Canada is very multicultural, and a lot of people choose to live with their parents as a matter of preference.

On your second point, I don't see what being in the "prime of life" has to do with living with your parents or not. But even that isnt the case , for example my friend's grandma is moving into a retirement home so they're moving into her old house.


Wow, we get to inherit houses after both our parents die? How comfy.


You're joking but yes. You get to save on rent, and live close to family for longer than most people forced to move out. If you don't have to pay most people's highest expense, you can have a very comfortable life.

And since Canada's population is shrinking, this is a significant amount of families that don't have to worry about housing ever.

However, Canada has lots of immigrants, and it's very hard for immigrants to break into the housing market. Both of these are true.


Engineers at big tech are.


Engineers in big tech in the US own houses, vacation home(s), and have Lambo money if they want (which most don't).

Engineers in big tech in Canada can comfortably own ONE house.

Relative to the baseline, it's definitely cushy. Relative to each other...not quite.


I know the cost of living is now a standard excuse for everything unfortunate in Canada, but I have an untypical view on this topic:

Canadians strike me as a very undemanding nation. I mean, they are ready to go through whatever inconvenience a big corp may force them into, and still be fine about it. To Canadians, it's just the way things are, inevitable evil. At the same time, an entrepreneur frequently starts by targeting a market niche and offering better quality or better service or a novel way of doing things. However, a market niche assumes that there are consumers with a niche demand. But if consumers are undemanding and are OK with keeping paying for something subpar, this leaves us with not so many market niches and thus opportunities.

At the same time, doing business is great in Canada. The tax system is simple (just 3 taxes). Reduced tax rates for small businesses. Registering a business can be done online for a small fee. The banks are OK. Abundance of decent business-related services - accountants, designers, etc. It's relatively easy to sell to the government. Finding a good lawyer is a tough problem, though. But I suspect it's a problem everywhere.

PS. I run a technology company based in Canada.


I totally agree with the “undemanding Canadians” view…so true! I moved here 12 years ago from Dubai and the demands/standards of business and service are way lower here. Pros are that it’s laid back and chill, cons are that we are unlikely to lead and innovate because we are satisfied with the status quo


[flagged]


Whoa where did this come from?


Right? Idk where he gets the idea that being an asshole to service workers leads to innovation


The vibe I get too often in Canada is services (public and private) exist to employ workers, not to provide services, and it's pervasive. As as service consumer you are expected to enthusiastically go along with this cost on your existence, and the scary thing is most people do. This leads to the problem that no matter how much money you would throw at getting something done you will only be able to get what someone else wants to do, regardless of what you are paying for.


Can you share a few concrete examples of what you're talking about?


They are also undemanding of their government, having reelected the same government many years in a row now. The whole undemanding culture is pointing them to a direction of uniformity, which I guess would equate to more monopolies and less innovation and entrepreneurship.


Left or right, the Canadian government serves business not individuals and it shows everywhere. There is only ONE independent ISP left in Ontario and they have recently been talking to law firms who specialize in the sale of businesses. That leaves Bell, Rogers and Cogeco as the only way you can get a home phone, cell phone or internet connection. Most places you have only one option for your electrical and natural gas provider!

Canada is just 3 monopolies in a trench coat and there is nothing we can do about it.


I hope you're not talking about beanfield. if they go it would be very very sad


Could you kindly elaborate on selling to the government in Canada. Is it akin to the RFP RFQ process?


I mean, if the government wants to buy something from you they do it relatively easily. You don't have to persuade them for months and years as frequently expected in enterprise sales. They just request a quota (RFQ), send a PO, and then pay the invoice. No elaborate RFPs or endless bidding processes.

Of course, it's not always like that. But in my experience such simplified purchases were sufficiently frequent to (pleasantly) surprise me.


Canadian tech startup entrepreneur here.

Coziness is the biggest hurdle. As a programmer, I can make a really good salary at a tech giant. Even after 4 years of grinding and finally achieving product market fit and growth, my wife doesn't understand why I'm doing a startup. Life could be so much easier working for Google.

Heck everyone has a job here. The 2/1,000 missing entrepreneurs don't have an incentive to start. I'm from Ottawa and all my friends work for the federal government with big fat pensions and doing boring work (my perspective mind you). But they have great family lives, lots of vacation and great outside of work experiences. Why the hell would they jump into entrepreneurship? Worst of all, the government workforce is growing faster than that of the private sector!

What worries me most is the future - a country cannot get wealthier nor innovate without entrepreneurs. It is s a real concern indeed.


What are you talking about? Coziness? Are you one of those people you bought a house in the 2010s and are now well positioned to cash in and live a life of comfort with 500$ mortgages while homes out there are near a million dollar. Because then it would make sense.

Problem with Canada is the cost of living is too high. And there is more money if you move south. Easy. A job in US would easily pay you twice if you are in tech. Why would you want to live in Canada? Oh did I say the taxes. For a millennial,ife is way more harder.


Plenty of affordable homes in Canada at the $500,000 mortgage + down payment range. Go find a smaller city and grow with it because you have the same affordability problem in San Francisco or New York. Your tech salary isn't getting you a house there either. The time to buy a house in Toronto was when they cost $5,000 after the war or was the time to buy in 1975 when the property cost $30,000 or in the 90s when you could have gotten a house for $200,000. In 2012 for $500,000 you could get a house in 2021 it was 1.3 million now it's 1.1 million. In 2015 you could have purchased a home in New Brunswick for $25,000..

Your 1.1 million dollar home you buy today will be worth 5 million in 50 years at least 2 million in 20 years. Still as good of an investment as ever.

It's like bitcoin sure it would have been great buying coins for 5 cents and today and you would be a billionaire but you weren't able to make that bet. If you want to buy at the 5 cent level you need to find another coin because that opportunity passed. You weren't able to buy a home in 2010 or 1947 so you are never getting those prices again. You can buy today but don't expect the same prices on the same properties as if you lived in the past


> Plenty of affordable homes in Canada at the $500,000 mortgage + down payment range.

Canadian humor is weird.

Using the most typical US salary as a guide, it would require the combined salaries of 6.3 people to afford a $500k home. After adding insurance, maintenance, fees, property taxes, etc - I'm thinking more like 8 people (10 in FL).

ref: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-much-do-you-need-to-ea...

ref: https://www.indeed.com/career-advice/finding-a-job/common-jo...


Even that $500,000 would be a steal in most markets in canada. The average house price is about 780,000 across the country and $900,000 in Ontario the most populous province.

If houses were just 500,000 and there were jobs in those areas I think we WOULD see more entrepreneurs because that was pretty much the conditions 10 years ago that TFA mentioned


The parent mentioned $500,000 mortgages are the thing of the past.

The $500,000 is usually carried by two. $250,000 mortgage while expensive is still much cheaper than current rental values.


The rent would also be carried by 2.


yeah, but in 1975 the average household income was 50k. Now its 92k. The cost of a house in Toronto (and everywhere in Ontario) went from being 60k (120% of annual average family income) to 1.1m (1200% annual average family income).

"Go somewhere else" - They did that - and Halifax housing prices tripled in 3 years, from 310% annual average family income to 840% annual average family income.

We need to build more houses or have fewer people, but instead we're slowing down on building and importing new people as fast as we can


Halifax is a premier city. Think smaller.


There's always one in every thread.

Someone who says the solution to the housing problem is to move somewhere horrible with no jobs, no culture, no services, horrible schools so that my children can waste their future, never mind if I want to go out and do something one in a while. These places are so awesome that the depression and suicide rates are far higher than in real cities.

Maybe you like living in such places. But the solution to the housing crisis cannot be to give up on having a reasonable life for most people.


You want to live in the top cities but you want mid city prices? Toronto wasn't always top city. It was known as hogtown and when people feared Quebec leaving Canada in the 1970s many in Montreal moved to Toronto. Vancouver wasn't an expensive city until China took over Hong Kong and many moved to Vancouver. Today many smaller cities are popping and posed for growth.

The culture argument is biased. People leaving Montreal for hogtown in the 80s probably felt the same way. But Toronto's cultural aura grew. Saying that the culture of say Miramichi or Yellowknife is horrible and your kids future will be wasted if you don't live in downtown Toronto is a little naive.

Young people are flocking to smaller towns because of affordability. Culture is being made there. Why do you want to live with older folks and try to relive there heyday in places they made big?

For jobs. Stick to remote. The longer these in person positions go vacant the more likely they become remote jobs. Be part of the solution.


> Someone who says the solution to the housing problem is to move somewhere horrible with no jobs

The stated solution was always to move to where the jobs are. Perhaps counterintuitively, the trouble with high housing prices is that even the job providers don't want to live there. In fact, through the mid-to-late 2010s as Vancouver and Toronto became unmanageable, the strongest job market in Canada was in a predominantly rural area with an average home price of $200,000.

The trouble is that people eventually take notice, so it is always a moving target. The average home in that rural region is now $700,000 as people have pushed their way in to bask in the job opportunity. Which, of course, also means the job market is no longer as strong (although remains stronger than a lot of country according to September data – the decline takes time) as job providers have started moving to more prosperous ground again. You can't say "move to <location>, problem solved" because as soon as you do, <location> will necessarily need to change to somewhere else.

A story as old as time, of course. Canada wouldn't exist at all if people weren't always needing to find a new location. That is life, I suppose.


I'm forced to be in the office, which is not in the 'think smaller' cities...


COL is even higher in China relative to their domestic wages. Yet, entrepreneurship is much more dynamic in China than Canada.

It's a cultural problem. Hustle culture and entrepreneurship is respected in China. That's not the case in Canada.


I don’t know about Canada, but there’s also no unemployment safety net in China, which drives a lot of “neighbourhood” businesses (hairdressers, AirBnb, milk tea shops, etc).


Small cities usually don't become cosmopolitan cultural centers in the span of a lifetime. So growing with a small city with the plan of living there long term isn't viable.

Growing with a small city as an investment vehicle seems like it would run into problems predicting which small city is going to see significant growth.


Toronto did. Other cities can too.


They can. That doesn't mean any specific small city is likely to.


- 2010 mortgages are not that low, unless you bought a travel trailer - $1million actually doesn't buy you much in Toronto, Vancouver, or even a smaller city like Victoria - a millennial working at big tech ($200k+) can still afford one of these absurdly priced homes

Yes housing in Canada is messed up. But very well paid tech workers are actually some of the few young people that can still make it work.

Heck, I know some millennials that managed to buy in the Bay Area where it's even worse (they work at Tesla).


Oh so now the millions in Canada all they need to do is to work in big tech. I see. Problem solved. Thanks for enlightening me. I am so glad I left that messed up country filled with “we made it our own and you can too” people.

Just to give you context, median software Engineer salary in Canada is 95200. An average townhome in any of the cities now is over 600k easily, forget about Toronto and Vancouver where most likely those tech jobs are. Mortgage for a place like this in the current rate is easily around 2500-3000. Add in car, insurance, electricity, cost of daycare. And then see how much of after tax income can you afford to bring home.


The situation in the US is not any different. I would even say much more of life in the US is "pay to play" than in Canada.


Enlightening you? Apologies for staying on topic!

The comment you replied to said this:

> Coziness is the biggest hurdle. As a programmer, I can make a really good salary at a tech giant.

I'm in no way implying that requiring a big tech salary is a _good_ thing (obviously it's not).. I'm simply agreeing with the original statement that it stifles startups.


> to buy in the Bay Area where it's even worse

Is it? If adjusted by median income Vancouver and Toronto are both more expensive than San Francisco or San Jose.


They said working in big tech as an engineer. It's cozy. It pays well. Ask anyone who's done it. It's a fair description.


Canada is very much a "let someone else do it" kind of place. You see that in politics, you see that in business, you see that in government.

A lot of that though is simply not wanting to be rich. Americans truly want lambo type wealth. I can't say I have met someone born here who wanted that. We are content to own a house and go to Mexico.


> We are content to own a house and go to Mexico.

But isn't housing ridiculously expensive in the parts of Canada where jobs are concentrated (which I'm pretty sure are around Toronto and Vancouver)? Pardon me if wrong, I'm American ;)

For the record, I want those things too, it's just that housing in California is ridiculously unaffordable


Depends on who you are.

For most people, yes it is quite expensive. If you are looking at techies specifically, it is still affordable.

For typical knowledge jobs or skilled labour jobs, it is affordable as well if you pair up with someone.


Average house price in Toronto $1.3 million.

Average SW developer salary 95,000

I would say yes.... this is very unaffordable.

The current mortgage on a house of that price is around $8,500 per month


I frequently travel to Toronto and the number of people driving Teslas there has increased 10X in the last 5 years. This could be a result of new Chinese money though and not native Canadians.


Many Canadians became wealthy via the housing market. Effectively drawing wealth from the mortgaged future potential income of Canada's young first time home buyers.

Or, just running STRs in the big cities.


Dunno about other cities, but City of Toronto proper didn't add any net new hotel rooms from 2000 - 2015. And only up 22% in the "Greater Toronto Area", which is way less than that area's pop'n growth. I doubt things improved as airbnb became a thing.

p. 10 here: https://www.toronto.ca/legdocs/mmis/2016/ed/bgrd/backgroundf...

When your residential construction market is so on fire that you don't even build hotel space, you end up with STRs as a symptom.


> I can't say I have met someone born here who wanted that

Possibly because the ambitious people moved to the US.


USA also has a significant amount of generational wealth to go around. Canadas is isolated to a few dozen families in Montreal and Toronto. Canada is at its core, a resource extraction economy. Generational wealth doesn’t really come from that these days.


The inefficiency of the Canadian government is nothing to be proud of though. It's insane how many people are employed there compared to doing something productive.


Implying the employees of the federal government aren’t doing something productive? And the Canadian federal government isn’t even that different in size to the American government, accounting for population different.

By what metric are you making your claims?


Just going to toss in my own anecdotes but not so much productive but surprisingly inefficient. My current employer is currently contracted for the federal government and it's painful to do anything.

Just an example, I put in a request to order a $40 network module to replace a failed one. On our side it's already painful enough, I had to get approvals from 3 different managers that have to align all of the budgeting before bringing it forward to the federal government's representative for approval. The rep in tern has to bring it to his bosses for approval as well.

Typically this takes 12 weeks but this was put in as a critical priority because this was impacting about a hundred people. Probably costing the federal government (cause they're footing the bill) about $12,500 a week in lost productivity because our teams can't do their job properly. Thus their director got to it in a blazing fast 4 weeks.

$40 part. $50,000 in lost productivity because they couldn't get a $40 approval for done faster then 4 weeks.

The other anecdote I've had is with the Canadian Firearms Center in Miramichi. For those that are unaware, Canadians are required to be licensed under a federal program to own a firearm privately. Miramichi handles much of the paperwork for firearms registration. This was a while ago but last time I saw, they were still manually entering in data from paperwork but also from electronic submission as well. Stuff that could be readily automated and something I demo'd in an afternoon.

As it turns out, the inefficiency is intentional because there's a very real fear among the line staff of job reductions if they get too productive per person. And there's not many jobs in Miramichi that pay as well as the federal government (or at least that was the case when I was visiting there probably 20 years ago). So unfortunately there is justification to be as inefficient as possible. But it's always left me wondering how much how much further this attitude extends to other government departments.


It does extend to other departments. I’ve worked alongside entire teams of longtime federal employees who would spend 10 minutes cleaning up and changing out of work gear, drive 5 minutes to the building with a cafeteria, take a 15 minute union mandated break, then spend 5 minutes driving back to a work site, 10 minutes getting back into their gear and readying tools, only to work for 20 more minutes to finish the job at hand. Then get cleaned up, change, put tools away, and drive back to the building just about in time for lunch.

Overall nearly a thousand dollars in salary being wasted in a single morning because the idea of not taking a break at exactly 10:30am instead of finishing the job and taking a break at 11:00am instead is inconceivable.

There is absolutely zero incentive for efficiency and motivated individuals will actually burn out from being in a culture where trying to improve anything or making your colleagues look bad by being too productive creates a toxic work environment.

That’s not to mention the absurd “use it or lose it” budgeting system, whereby if you need to replace a million dollar piece of equipment every 5 years, you need to piss away over a million dollars every year to ensure you’ll have the budget when it’s actually required.


If you think this kind of stuff doesn't happen in private sector tech companies, even after all the layoffs, I've got some bad news for you.

Whenever I see people ragging on governments as though they're automatically inefficient, I laugh because the implication that "private sector is always more efficient" is laughably stupid and ill-informed. People will take their liberties wherever they can get them.


The big difference is that the private sector is burning their own money. If a private company burns their own or their investors money thats on them and they’ll probably go bankrupt sooner or later. Whomever was involved in this will naturally wise up next time.

On the other hand, when public sector burns through money that money isn’t theirs. It was mostly taken away by force through taxes from private citizens. So even of they burn through any money with inefficiency, corruption, bad decision making or anything, they can demand the same or usually more of the same money next year. And next year. All the while that bureaucracy is growing and private sector is shrinking.


>If a private company burns their own or their investors money thats on them and they’ll probably go bankrupt sooner or later.

Sure, but sooner or later is quite likely to be at least a few decades from now, since this is mostly a large organization sort of thing and large companies don't tend to vanish overnight.


That might be true, although some companies pretty much vanish overnight be it small or large (eg Nokia).

If a private company is burning money slow or fast it doesn't really matter. It's their money, it's not my money.

But when I see spectacularly bad/expensive (usually both) projects financed with taxpayer's money, I definitely do want some scrutiny and responsibility. Unfortunately we don't get any of that because it's not in their interest to do so.


Nokia is a great example of companies not disappearing overnight. They still make around 20 billion a year.


That stuff can happen but I've mostly worked at companies where it wasn't like that at all, not even close. And the one exception was a recently privatized ex-government org.


I'll two-up you:

I've worked at two very large tech companies in the past. At both shops I have experiences that make that $50k in lost productivity look like a joke.

First company invested tens if not hundreds of millions chasing the idea of scaled clustered deployment using Spark. I'm sure they saw some kind of technology return but the actual investment was never returned nearly a decade on and turned out to be a blunder.

Second company had a far worse procurement issue than what you describe in your post. $50k in lost productivity would've been welcomed. They had a hardware failure in one of their datacentres affecting the cooling systems. Some customer systems impacted but mostly internal stuff. It took about seven weeks to replace during which time hundreds of employees basically got to twiddle their thumbs.

Yeah, it shouldn't take four weeks to get approval for a $40 part but let's not pretend these kind of problems don't also happen in the private sector too. It's one of the reasons I left and won't go back -- I shouldn't need paperwork signed in triplicate to get a new monitor.


I agree with your point that things may not be more efficient in certain big companies of the private sector but there is a crucial difference between the two.

The difference is that the government's employees are paid from taxes collected from productive companies, aka companies that create jobs and achieve a profit big enough to warrant paying taxes in the first place.

A private sector company, unless it is subsidized in some way or has a monopoly on a certain market will eventually try to rectify these inefficiencies because its makes it more resilient in the fight against it's competitors.

On the other hand, there is no incentive on the government side to make things more efficient.

If a government looses money, they can just borrow more, increase the national debt and sweep any kind of reform under the rug. Because of this lack of incentives, some state and government agencies act as de facto subsidized job's programs.

It's the same problem in many western nation, just look at how many people are employed in France by the government.

Many basic services are actually decaying but the government keeps hiring more people.

If we remove the employees who work as teachers, cops, in the military, and all other essential services, the rest of them, I am just not sure what the hell they do with their time.

My point is that it should be a duty of the government to be as efficient as possible. To do more with less, should be a priority unless the tasks require more people.

So I can understand when people complain of the inefficiency of a government agency.


Not saying that it doesn't happen in the private sector. But companies that are stuck on inertia and don't adapt, don't tend to fare particularly well. IBM was one of the most powerful companies in the world, now it's just a laughable shell of it's former self. Microsoft had it's time in the sun before the shift to mobile devices and cloud service gutted it's hold over over the computing space and left them scrambling to try to adapt to the world today. At some point or another it will be Google and Apple's turn to fall from the throne as technology marches on.

The public sector is insulated from suffering that kind of failure. In some ways it's good; there's no real way to run a police or military force at a profit, but both are vital. But in other ways it's problematic when major failures occur and the consequences of such are are just shrugged off.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/phoenix-pay-system-iss... $2.4 billion for a federal HR pay system that still doesn't work.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/gun-registry-cost-soars-to-2-... $2 billion for a gun registry database that ultimately had to be dismantled because no one could find any evidence that the accomplished the goal of making Canadians safer.


> It took about seven weeks to replace

Because of waiting for internal approvals? Or because the lead time on datacenter equipment is quite long?

> I shouldn't need paperwork signed in triplicate to get a new monitor.

So in your new public sector job how easy is it to get a new monitor?


The government also makes huge decade long missteps, but the cost is inflated if all the individual employees are acting like the GP post said.


uhhhh, I'd say that inefficiency is intentional for firearms because they just want it to be difficult/time-consuming/delayed to acquire/possess firearms. Then they can justify increasing the fees because "they need to recover the costs of program operation".

Meanwhile my Canadian tax return is pretty straightforward: open my tax app, click some download function, it pulls in stuff my bank/employer/etc has already electronically submitted to government.

The most annoying part is calculating "Adjusted Cost Basis" for cap gains/losses on stock sales. It's technically fairer than a simpler FIFO approach, but brokers/gov refuse to understand that most people do everything through 1 broker and calculate these figures for us.


Firearms license renewals were at a standstill for over a year because apparently the single license card printer for the entire country was out of order.


That was COVID lockdown caused I thought.

https://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/cnt/trnsprnc/brfng-mtrls/prlm...


> uhhhh, I'd say that inefficiency is intentional for firearms because they just want it to be difficult/time-consuming/delayed to acquire/possess firearms. Then they can justify increasing the fees because "they need to recover the costs of program operation".

Kinda doubt it, there's already a mandatory wait time for getting your license. If anything Ottawa wanted them to process the paper work faster, I just don't know if they could have done so.

Circa early 2000's the Canadians were in the process of trying to get long guns registered (handguns and some other types of firearms always had to be registered), but it turned into a debacle. The cost to build the program should've been $119 million, with fees covering $117 million. The cost that the auditor general found was $140 million registration fees trying to cover $1 billion in costs that she could account for at the time. Didn't help that her team didn't have time to crunch the numbers. CBC went in and estimated that it was closer to $2 billion dollars[2].

The program was already controversial in the first place, but the problems just kept getting problem after problem thrown at it. In protest a man named Brian Richard Buckley sent in firearms registration for a Black and Decker soldering heat gun. There were already huge error rate in the registry at the time; something like 70% error rate of licenses and 90% error rate for registrations but that little stunt he pulled revealed a much deeper problem occurring. I can't find the article anymore but the backlog had become so severe that the staff were instructed to no longer validate any of the information they were getting, even if it didn't make sense.

All that to say that say, if things were being run inefficiently intentionally, that probably would've just given even more opposition even more ammunition to embarrass the government at a time when they were already taking a beating about the mismanagement of the new firearms program. So I sincerely doubt it was a mandate.

[1] https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/auditor-general-takes-aim-at-...

[2] https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/gun-registry-cost-soars-to-2-...


It's to the benefit of the parasite to make it easier to feed on its host. It is also to the benefit of the parasite to ensure that its host cannot get rid of it.

Bureaucracy will always seek its own survival, even at the cost of its chartered mission.


By having lived there for almost a decade and interacting frequently with the government, many different departments (taxes, immigration, law enforcement, municipalities, various ministries). I don't see what America has to do with it.


What other governments have you interacted with recently?

My experience after living here for 5 years is that the Canadian and BC government deliver an incredible level of service compared to other jurisdictions I’ve lived in.


The efficiency of the Canadian government is significantly greater than that of Germany, often considered the world's capital of bureaucracy.


> Coziness is the biggest hurdle. As a programmer, I can make a really good salary at a tech giant. Even after 4 years of grinding and finally achieving product market fit and growth, my wife doesn't understand why I'm doing a startup. Life could be so much easier working for Google.

If this was a major factor then it would also apply to entrepreneurs in the US, yet it doesn't.


There are a lot of engineers in big tech in the bay area who would start a company if not for their 6-700k (or more in some cases) salaries. I personally know many and they are making a completely rational choice.

People don't make decisions in a vacuum. They make decisions amongst a set of choices.


Same problem with the imperial exam Keju[1] in China. It would recruit all talent for the state leaving civil society resourceless. The examination path to a government official position was more attractive than being a farmer, scholar or soldier.

> Since the introduction of the examination system … scholars have forsaken their studies, peasants their ploughs, artisans their crafts, and merchants their trades; all have turned their attention to but one thing – government office. This is because the official has all the combined advantages of the four without requiring their necessary toil …

We can see its effects in the long run: promoting conformity at any cost, losing ability to innovate and improve.

[1] https://aeon.co/essays/why-chinese-minds-still-bear-the-long...


>Heck everyone has a government job here...ftfy

1 in every 4 people work for the Gov in Ontario and it is increasing. An elementary school teacher, fireman, Police officer and even some postal workers make more than most programmers. HS teachers retired with million dollar pension at 57 and collect 60-70k a year. There are regular cops making 120k a year. There are more STEM jobs in some US cities than there are in entire provinces. There is no work in Canada unless you find a Gov job. Private industry pays like shit in Canada, it's embarrassing. Everyone I know flees to the US first chance they get. Canadian private industry pays like shit and most folks are either slaves or under employed if they are lucky enough to find work.

It is an incredibly bad situation across the entire country.


One thing I’ll highlight is that public sector growth has outpaced private sector during that whole time, and entrepreneurs indirectly have to pay to prop up public services only to get from a business perspective to get a worse business ecosystem than America in pretty much every way except not having to pay for employee health insurance and lower labour costs. If the idea is that the public sector’s wonderful services are supposed to help the private sector flourish, well, that whole idea doesn’t seem to be working.

The other is rents have increased that whole time, who can afford to be an entrepreneur when your lease will eat you alive before you ever get off the ground. If the argument is “aha - but Canadians could start an innovative company that relies on remote work and thus avoid such expensive leases” what is the appeal of starting such a business in Canada compared to starting one in the United States where success is far more likely due to a larger market and more pro-business environment?

Finally inequality and monopolization is just much worse than 20 years ago internationally. Why be David fighting Goliath when the deck is stacked against you? I’d be kind of surprised if the trend in the article isn’t happening internationally.

The articles suggestion that Canadians just don’t have good enough soft skills to be entrepreneurs is just insulting blaming of non-existent individual deficits that ignores systemic issues.


What evidence do you have that there is a causal inverse relationship between public sector growth and private sector growth? Isn’t it entirely possible that private sector growth has lagged because some third process has produced fewer entrepreneurs and fewer entrepreneurs results in less private sector growth? It’s possible that the relative difference in public and private sector growth is caused by fewer entrepreneurs, not the other way around. Basically, your argument is a classic case of assuming causality from a correlation.


> It’s possible that the relative difference in public and private sector growth is caused by fewer entrepreneurs

You're saying the government saw there are no entrepreneurs so they increased government jobs???


A lack of private sector jobs can be caused by a lack of entrepreneur's. A lack of private sector jobs can cause a lot of people to be eligible for welfare. The government can then be incentivised to react to this by increasing public sector jobs, which at least makes people somewhat productive in theory while also giving them the means to provide for themselves.

I'll point out that none of the beliefs expressed so far actually contradict each-other. Less entrepreneurs could mean more public sector jobs. More public sector jobs could mean less entrepreneurs. Third order effects could mean less entrepreneurs as well.


> If the idea is that the public sector’s wonderful services are supposed to help the private sector flourish, well, that whole idea doesn’t seem to be working.

Are you implying that social programs are here to help to private sector?


"once you have universal health care and every possible social safety net, then people will be able to take risks without fear of failing and innovate like crazy"

...so the logic goes


That's a pretty decent paraphrasing of arguments for UBI that I've seen just on this site, actually.


And there's no evidence that logic doesn't hold. It's not like Canada introduced universal health care 20 years ago so we can see the effects of just that.


It’s what people say when you complain about a very heavy social bureaucracy.


>public sector growth has outpaced private sector during that whole time

Interesting, do you have a source for this? Would love to read more about it


https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=141002...

Sept 2023 - Public sector employees: 4,291.7; Private sector employees: 13,293.4; Self-employed: 2,685.1

Sept 2003 - Public sector employees: 2,945.8; Private sector employees: 10,298.9; Self-employed: 2,430.0

Difference - Public sector employees: 1,345.9; Private sector employees: 2994.5; Self-employed: 255.1

% growth - Public sector employees: 45.7%; Private sector employees: 29.1%; Self-employed: 10.5%


Population change over the same time period is +23%. 31.6m to 38.8m

Where did all the jobs come from? Are people not retiring? Spending less time in schooling?

It's wasn't a massive decrease in unemployment that could explain that.

https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/CAN/canada/population


A large part of the population growth is from adult working-age immigrants. So the employable proportion of the population has gone up.


That would make 23% roughly the floor then for public sector growth, assuming that the increase in population requires a corresponding increase in jobs like teachers, police, firefighters, healthcare, and all the other civil servants.

The remaining 26% is the real question - who did huge hiring over the past 20 years?


This example is for the prior decade, but the difference is so stark over 2003-2013 (22% public sector growth vs. 10% private) that even if the comment was conjecture, it would be a pretty good one. https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/times-have-changed-p...

I'd suggest a more constructive comment might be to find an example source and ask whether it is consistent with the reasoning. These "source?" comments are low effort and degrade the quality of conversation.


It is also worth noting that the Fraiser Institute is a conservative think tank and the article does not explain their methodology. In some ways the article is contradicting itself, by making assertions that imply causation near the top of the article then admiting that correlation does not imply causation near the end of the article.

Understanding whether we are looking at causation or correlation is important here. Canada is neighbours with the largest economy in the world, with the Canadian economy being heavily influenced by the American economy. Quite often public programs are introduced simply to be competitive because the private sector is not stepping up. (At least that is the perception. That perception is important polticially.)


It's an example that is better than a comment that says, "source?" Pretty sure public sector growth outpaces private sector growth in Canada.

However, what is "stepping up," in the private sector, as if it involves putting down our cigars and caviar and having our butlers open the jobs lever a bit, I'd suggest there is a broken ontology at play.


I found that Fraser Institute article first and went through the effort of finding the actual Statscan data because I'm well aware that a significant slice of Canadians will disregard anything coming from the Fraser Institute. I've been hearing about they're an evil organisation funded by American Corporations since I was a wee lad hearing my socialist family complain about the latest Fraser Institute study published in our local Postmedia paper. They implored me never to trust them!

In any case, their claims seem to line up with the Statscan data to me, and I don't see where else they would have gotten this data from.


They may have just made it up to fit their narrative.


An easy way to explain this is increased health care and old-age care costs due to an ageing population. I haven't verified it for Canada in particular, but I'd be surprised if this wasn't the cause.


The reason seems to be the same than France. I think in the OECD only the US managed to avoid it yet (probably a mix of net immigration, retirement age being really weird, and life expectancy 10year lower than the average ), but most of the increase is in Healthcare, specifically elderly care, and in the administration, also caused by the population being older: the overall population grow, but the number of 'active' do not, or do it slower.

Education, research and policing growth slower than all other ministry (although police funding seems to be catching up).

There is also administrative bloat, mostly due to more rules, but it seems quite contained here to ecology and urbanism (except in the education ministry, which employ now more administrators than teachers)


> If the idea is that the public sector’s wonderful services are supposed to help the private sector flourish

That isn't the idea. The services are for the people, not to help you line your pockets.


The opportunity cost of starting a business in Canada is too high. People who have the capital to start their own business are more likely to see better returns by investing in real estate which has much lower risk and requires less effort. The federal and provincial governments would need to stop artificially propping up the real estate sector to make entrepreneurship competitive which is unlikely to happen willingly.


How are the federal and provincial governments propping up the real estate market?


Many of the programs to help with housing affordability is making it easier for first-time homebuyers to get enough money for a downpayment. There is tax break for first-time buyers, the ability to borrow money from your own RRSP and most recently the FHSA (First Home Savings Account). Long term this increases home prices by injecting more money into the system.


I run a Canadian tech startup here. Funding to get going is of course an issue. The BDC (referenced in this article) is just another bank and have zero means to help a SaaS getting started.

We turned to the US to get funding (besides our own money). TinySeed specializes in boostrapped B2B SaaS. They have an incubator program that is really good and got us going.

We're at the point of getting a line of credit and again have to deal with Canadian banks. Again the BDC cannot help more than any other bank.

We also looked at government tech subsidies and grants. Honestly, there is so much paperwork that takes time away from gaining customers and growing the business. We did not pursue.

Maybe when you reach 20+ staff these things will come to help you. Especially if you have someone to manage it. But when you get started, you're on your own.


Back when I worked at a Canadian startup and had to do SRED paperwork I got the vibe that it was more about companies that could afford to hire SRED consultants than it was actual research and dev. Heard stories about web dev / media shops milking SRED, while I saw people doing actual foundational engineering struggle (nor could they waste the time filling in the paperwork).

This was over a decade ago. Did not come away with a positive impression of the tech startup scene in Canada. Yours and other comments since have only fed that.


... I want to disagree with this, but it lines up with my own experience. My work was being presented for similar grants with very flimsy justifications. Not pure web work but it wasn't exactly foundational research either.


I too have seen this as a past entrepreneur in Canada. A lot of accountants are in on misrepresenting SR&ED tax credit applications and will attempt to find the "research" in regular IT work. They will even do the technical writing and filing work for free, while taking a commission of the take when the tax credits roll in (free money). There is a whole segment of startups propped up by SR&ED. I've seen many doing innovative work with a sound business plan, using that money to get to profitability, and it's great they were able to get funding, but a lot of others milked the system fraudulently, using SR&ED consultants to continue to exist when they should have failed.


> We also looked at government tech subsidies and grants. Honestly, there is so much paperwork that takes time away from gaining customers and growing the business.

I wonder how that compares with, for example, joining an YC batch, or talking to multiple VCs in search of financing


did you consider any of the service offerings that do this paper work e.g. SRED?


The severe rent seeking behaviors throughout the Canadian economy are making things too burdensome to try entrepreneurship.

For a Main St type business, rents, costs and regulations are too high.

Rents again come into play for the entrepreneur, being so insanely high that they discourage risk taking and encourage people to stay at their current relatively high paying company.

As with so many things in Canada it all comes back to housing lol.

We will not have more entrepreneurship until it is dramatically cheaper to live in Canada, and that means lowering one of the biggest costs that people have, which is housing.


It's been this way since colonial times. It's either rip-it-and-ship-it extraction industries... or "I got there first, so give me $$" rent seeking & monopoly.

I don't want to be a part of the US, I hate their culture and politics. But the local elites here benefit too much from having their own little closed market to monopolize and control.


This comment, and the whole thread really, is such a mind fuck for me - someone who lives in a rich left-wing American city. Canada is idolized and worshipped here as the paragon of lifestyle - the perfect balance of capitalism, civil discourse, and welfare state support (in addition to Norway). I literally have friends making comfortable $500k+ family incomes musing about how much better it would be to move to Canada.

The grass is always greener!


Yea, American liberals don't really get Canada -- even when they come here, my friends from the US... they wear rose tinted glasses. Most of it is fantasy. Canada's social service programmes are really not great when compared to European social democracies; welfare and disability payments are actually quite low, and we have pretty bad homelessness in our major cities. Canada is no Scandinavian social democracy. It's really just a fusion of aspects of both the UK and the US.

Universal healthcare is good but it's been underfunded for decades, slowly coming apart, and inconsistent across the country.

Public education is definitely in a better state than the US, though. And I'd argue our higher education / university system is superior in both cost and quality. So far.

Culturally, Canada might be in a better state. The culture wars not as pronounced (depending on where you are). Abortion rights etc. mostly a given. Gay marriage and rights pretty much unassailable at this point. Legal cannabis, etc. etc.

But in terms of bread and butter supports for regular working people, it's not that great. Though of course, again, the health care thing is a big caveat. US healthcare is great if you're upper middle class, wayyyyy better than anything you'd get here. But the average working class person is definitely better off in Canada compared to the US, on the healthcare front.

Anyways, housing prices here are way worse (relative to earning potential) than any American city other than I guess Manhattan, at this point. People in the Bay Area complain, but they really have nothing on the GTA or Vancouver lower mainland.


I appreciate your perspective. I think another crucial aspect is that the Canadian population is only 10% of the US, and the variation among states here is just like Canadian provinces or even countries in the EU. The US is very decentralized, and one of its secrets is that during times of great internal division the federal government becomes paralyzed while the states becomes empowered, and conversely during times of national unity the federal government can move mountains while the states take a back seat. Currently it’s a paralyzation moment, but that doesn’t really prevent anything from moving forwards as the system is pretty decentralized and individual-focused already.

On the healthcare aspect, there is no doubt the poorest people in Canada are the EU are treated better than the poorest in the US. I do have a suspicion that as the universal systems reach a breaking point they start to look a bit more like the US - where people pay more if they use more - to encourage better economization of scarce healthcare resources. I have heard some really fucked stories of cancer treatment delays leading to death which I don’t think is as common here (they will treat you in the US, but you might go bankrupt). It’s like, would you rather be rationed and die or get treatment and be bankrupt? I’d prefer to live myself.


Canada's population only appears low if you're not looking at its geographical distribution. Toronto is as big as Chicago, and the population density in southern Ontario is as high as any of the US eastern states, and mostly contiguous with them and part of the same shipping routes, etc. etc..

It's a population clustered near the border and really should be seen as one that is culturally and economically contiguous with the US, just not politically. In terms of metropolitan regions, much of Canada is really much the same as the US.

On healthcare / public services, I will give you examples of where the US liberal biases about Canada just don't line up.

At the tail end of the COVID-19 crisis, spring 2021 I went across to go skiing with a friend from Albany. I needed a test to get back across the border to get home. I was able to just go to a US pharmacy and get a molecular test for free, with almost instant results. I was told that if I tested positive I could get anti-virals, for free, immediately, without even showing citizenship. Meanwhile in Ontario all public testing for COVID-19 was cancelled before the end of 2020. My elderly parents in Alberta just tested positive but had to fight to get anti-virals because despite being 1 year shy of 80 they didn't qualify unless they had pronounced comorbidities. So... a country without a universal public health care system was able to offer much better universal coverage (where it mattered) than here.

Another example: say you wanted a blood test for your kid to test blood lead levels. No doctor will offer that here, really. You'd have to really lobby for it and have a serious acute reason for it-- despite all the older cities here being full of lead pipes. I was down in the Finger Lakes a few years ago and there were signs for public clinics all over offering this as a free service.

It is by no means a black and white situation. There are many aspects in which many liberal US states outdo Canadian provinces on certain social programs.


I just think it’s expected that 330 million people would have more variation than 40 million people. The density of Canada is certainly in comparison to dense US areas but the absolute population just puts thing in another order of magnitude - the single US market is insane entrepreneurially speaking. Companies get started and immediately have access to the biggest economy on earth, the biggest pools of investment capital, the richest consumers, the global military superpower, lobbyists who get access to politicians that can change other countries’ laws and regulations, and on and on.

I can’t even remember what we are discussing. In summation, I love the US, but this thread has really given me ammo to counteract the cocktail party liberals who worship Canada.


Graz in Austria with its Marxist mayor is an example of a wealthy, left-wing city. No such cities exist in the US. Just look at the recent scandals with the LA city council, the place people would probably describe as the “far left” of the USA. The leading Democrats were recorded spewing racism, plotting to screw over renters, and destroy the “left wing” council members who are in favor of what would at best be centrist policies in Europe. People idolize Canada because it seems to have a slightly more pragmatic baseline than the US, although in reality both places are pretty far to the right.


"Left wing" in the US (and TBH much of Canada) is just reduced to being about a bunch of cultural issues. Nobody on the so-called left in North America actually espouses any real socialist economic program. It's blasphemy, and "going too far" even among people who wear the t-shirt.


A lot of this is simply that Canadians do not desire to be rich and prioritize not being poor. That is not aligned with entrepreneurship. Our culture is very poorly suited to it.

I know because I am one of those people.

For example, I have participated in numerous entrepreneurship accelerator programs, as have my friends. How many of us spent any time on our companies after finishing the accelerators? Zero. I know people who put the winning of 200K on their resume, went to get a corporate job, and just returned the 200K in prize money later, as the purpose of the prize was to be publicly named as winning the prize. This person now works for RBC as a software developer.

I won 20K with a friend a few weeks ago for our startup (which was generated just for the competition). We intend to hand the money back at the progress deadline, as he is a new grad and it helped him to get a job.

Canadians are also very suspicious of people who do go into business for themselves. American companies will hire entrepreneurs. Going to YC is not a career derailer. In Canada, we would assume that if you started a company that you couldn't find a job. I have been in the (virtual) room as resumes are tossed as the hiring manager assumed "Co-Founder" was just a synonym for unemployed.

Anecdotally, Canadians need more money to work for a startup, not less as in the USA. Americans take pay cuts to work for startups in the hope of a giant return. Canadians demand a pay premium to work for a startup, over say RBC.

The other issue is that Canadian consumers also do not take risks. We don't try new products or switch suppliers. Consider our high internet costs. There are tons of other options, but even when CBC went out and told people about them, they refused to switch as they didn't want to take the risk.

https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1196815939737


> There are tons of other options, but even when CBC went out and told people about them, they refused to switch as they didn't want to take the risk.

That's a 6 year old article. Most alt/independent vendors have basically been gutted or acquired by the incumbent oligopolists.

Was with 2 providers (Teksavvy and eBox) that jacked up their prices above what the "flanker" providers by incumbents were charging. There used to be quite a savings, but that's vaporized.

Coextro might be worth investigating, I'll admit. Thought they only did own-fibre to bigger buildings.


> Canadians demand a pay premium to work for a startup, over say RBC.*

Citation needed. Not only does RBC not actually pay particularly well, but Canadian startups pay awful compared to US ones. I've worked in both US and Canadian startups, and the latter was an incestuous joke, with everyone so delighted they weren't working for a crappy webdev or bank or insurance company that they were willing to put up with all sorts of crap.


Anecdotes on top of anecdotes, but this post captures the Canadian mentality well in my opinion. Though his name is _verboten_, Jordan Peterson goes off in this direction. His common words are that Canadians are suspicious of success.

I don't quite know why the culture is like this, and I'm not sure it's a problem. Useful to take a step back and realize that Canada is a very different culture than the US, and there simply is a different value system.

Summed up in:

> A lot of this is simply that Canadians do not desire to be rich and prioritize not being poor.


> I don't quite know why the culture is like this

I imagine selection bias is a lot of it. Lots of immigrants for both, but the USA is where you go to seek fame and fortune. Canada is the nice and stable answer.

Canada is arguably also socially neutral on wealth. In the USA, wealth earns you respect, influence, straightforward political influence, etc. In Canada, wealth is just wealth. If anything, we are a bit suspicious of how you earned it and who you hurt to do that.


It's not surprising as Canada is self selected as the people who did not want to take the risk of founding a new country based on enlightenment ideals and democracy.

I mean... People fled to beCanada to not be part of the us.

Now we reap the rewards. America is a resounding success, and Canada is a success because it is next to America.


Well. I’ve had a lot of ideas in my adult life that I felt passionate about, but doing business here is remarkably unrewarding. I can do what I enjoy and I’m good at with an American company for 2-3x what I’d realistically earn here working at least as hard on my own business.

I’ve consulted for several Canadian tech companies and their finances often seemed remarkably poor. I know some are doing well; I’m more so speaking about “regular people” businesses. Small private companies with staff around 10-20 people.

They work really, really hard for their incomes and the rewards really aren’t what you’d expect. This seems true outside of tech as well.

My wife works for the federal government on the other hand. She earns much less than I do, yet still dramatically higher than the average for our city and the rest of the country. She also has generous time off, training, an excellent union, interesting work, etc. Why in the world would she start a business? She actually could, too. She’s an awesome hydrographer with cutting-edge skills and knowledge. But she’d have to work herself to the bone if she went private and she’d have to work in wildly different and less comfortable contexts. And for what? 1.5x the income? 2x? After that’s chewed up by taxes, she has traded her family life for a career that barely pays more when you do the quantitative and qualitative maths.

Yet I think this is a huge problem. It isn’t really wise to work hard and innovate here, and I think it’s actually harming our workforce and economy quite seriously. Look to many countries and you can quickly point at many past and recent innovations and core competencies. But what do you see when you look at Canada? There’s certainly less, and seemingly less all the time. Our small population is a huge disadvantage here, but we have such immense opportunity for innovation.

I do think we innovate in extractive industries. We do a lot of environmental research around our primary industries, and that’s very valuable. Economically though, I don’t know… We aren’t much of a land of opportunity these days, and it doesn’t seem like much is happening to reverse this trend.


This is true for tech work as well. Pay is higher in east european countries after a certain level of seniority. All in all Canada is noth worth it for the money. Everyone I know from the UK moving to Canada came back running as pay was easily higher. That means businesses can't afford people.


Fwiw, I'd still prefer living on the west coast of Canada than an overwhelming majority of other places like the U.K or U.S, even despite literally not having a job, any prospects, or the possibility of owning a home at any point in my life, even as a software developer. If I left, and it's possible, it would be because all of those factors got to a point where I had no choice.


You can get a 3 bedroom townhouse with a garage and a small yard 45 minutes from Vancouver for 900k. Is that really unachievable? Split it with a partner or a friend, rent out the 3rd room for $1k a month, and you need to save 90k for the Downpayment and the mortgage is 5k a month minus the rent, so you need to chip in $2000 a month to the mortgage. Rule of thumb for accommodations to be less than 30% of your income so your income is 6,666/mo or 80000 a year, or $41/hr.

Any tradesperson can make that. People are charging $45/hr to clean air bnbs.

Doesn’t seem so hopeless to me.


Generally I approve of this type of thinking, it's how I got my start, too. So I'm only quibbling to improve the fidelity of the model for those who are like us.

1) My impression is that it's prettttty tough to get those 10% down mortgages these days. Though, again, that's behind me now, I could be wrong.

2) The bank will not consider your accom to be mortgage-minus-sublet-rent for the stress test, I promise you. They'll count your rent as additional income, at some discount (fuck you, bank), and then count 30% of that against your mortgage payment (for the stress test). I guess if you know someone who actually got this past the bank stress test then let us know, and let us know which bank, because I'll move the next time my mortgage comes up. But I have tried in the past. So you'd need a joint income of 200k (I trusted your estimate of mortgage at present rates on $810k), minus 10k/a for the rent, is $95k each, $46/h.

Still. Although it is definitely difficult, it is, as you say doable.


I meant brailsafe’s share of the down payment is 90k, and brailsafe’s partner would also have to come up with 90k. 20% down. Agree 10% down is not plan A.

Also agree on the banks being difficult to work with on including the future rental income when qualifying.

It sucks if you are a single person - probably have to go apartment route or 1 bedroom condo. The most successful guy I know, who has a pretty sick motor yacht now, had a room mate until his now wife moved in.


> 20% down. Agree 10% down is not plan A.

Right, okay. And, to be clear, back in my day 5% down (FIVE) was totally plan A, so that has gotten harder for the next generation. Thanks, fedgov!

> difficult to work with

Heh, notwithstanding the amusing savagery of my sibling comment, is "difficult to work with" a euphemism for "impossible to work with", or do you have reason to believe that this is even possible?

> It sucks if you are a single person

I would say that it's getting closer to hopeless if you're a single-income family, and being a single-income individual isn't much better, because 1br condos are actually not that much cheaper than 1br.

I'm in a condo, btw, and I could have done it on my income alone when I bought (laxer stress tests, I provided the down solo anyway, rates were lower, prices were lower), but I could not buy this condo solo today, and certainly not with the income I had then.

I guess my overall message is: I think that the type of financial modelling you were doing is excellent to show that it is not yet impossible or hopeless, and if someone wants to make it happen, it's still within reach... but... it's genuinely really hard. For decades I've been scoffing at people whining about affordability, saying that they just spend too much on short-term pleasures, but in the last decade I've kinda stopped the scoffing and shut my mouth.


The math for a 1 bedroom condo in the 20 min from downtown (not that it's relevant to my lifestyle) works out to about $5k a month if I had a clean income history and a 20% downpayment. It's just not an amount I could see my partner and I being able to absorb, nor would it be worth it if we could. It's unfortunate, because we've lived in our already relatively expensive studio basement suite for 4 years. Shit is cray out there.


I mean, I guarantee you can do better than that. The condos you describe certainly exist, but there are other options. Maybe 2 bedrooms for $3k isn't enough of a difference for you to care about, though.

And you don't need a "clean income history", that's not a real thing. You need all the people on the mortgage to have a stable job, typically 6 months. If your source of income is more variable/complicated, they'll ask for 2 years of tax returns.

This kind of doomerism is why I wanted to support applied_heat's post in the first place.


I don't really think 2 bedrooms for $3k, in Metro Vancouver would be a likely find. I'd say even if you're willing to sacrifice literally every other characteristic, but usually if you're in that range now you're looking at very high condo fees or something like no laundry in building.

But again, if space is literally all you're after, and you might be for all sorts of perfectly valid reasons, then that might be your choice. On the flipside, it would be weird for us to work relentless and double or more likely triple our monthly expenditure while basically getting only marginal or specious value for that money.

For example, even if the numbers or stability on our end made sense, and committing to that wild increase in cost didn't increase our exposure dramatically, we'd still be trading triple our shelter expenses for the added utility of basically one room and the power to knock out a wall or something.

No matter how you spin it, without a huge pool of cash and unrealistically high income(s), or a bunch of people subsidizing your mortgage, it's not impossible but generally not a sensible move unless you absolutely must own something for some reason.

I can theoretically earn above $100k, but it doesn't really matter unless that's sustained for a long time with few breaks, and that's not happening enough to bet on, such that I'd take out a mortgage expecting that income to be there long-term.

I'm not sure it's doomerism, as in, I wasn't saying things were "hopeless", just unrealistically demanding to attempt pursuit of what used to be considered a standard gradual path of upward growth. I live where I do despite that, and basically will until it's not feasible to do at all, along the way we'll have to face some seriously tricky choices anyway unless we can find someone else's basement to live in till at least our mid-thirties.


I think mortgage brokers were a bit more flexible than the big banks at recognizing future rental income, especially if you already had one property generating some rental income indicating you would probably make it work again.

For the first property I agree you would need to qualify without taking the rental income in to account.


He's not saying banks are difficult to work with. He's saying your entire calculation is funds mentally wrong.


>45 minutes from Vancouver

This part is a problem, because it sounds like 45 minutes to where the traffic starts, from there another 1.5 hrs to the parts of the city you want to go.

Or do you mean a net 45 min to city center?


Just because some configuration of variables could hypothetically come together in the right order over some long-enough period of perfect stability if me and my partner relentlessly pursued just that specific goal, which I don't have, for years, doesn't make it a sensible idea to do so, and I didn't say it was hopeless; just kind of a worthless and unlikely pursuit.

However, I definitely should have been more narrow with my specification of West Coast. I like where I currently live, and have no plans to move, and have no plans to work myself into the dust in arbitrary jobs to afford a type of house that I don't want, somewhere I don't care to live, possibly dependant on a car I also don't want. If someone gave me the house you describe, I'd rent out the whole thing and continue renting where I am.

Ideally I'd shoot for a 1 or 2 bedroom condo in a more central area, but the math does not work out in a way that makes any sense to me, in part for the other reasons I cited in the original comment.

It's pretty common for people to come out of the woodwork when affordability or job concerns are raised to just imagine a series of variables whereby if you just keep dividing the space, adding jobs, and moving further out, there's no problem, because theoretically you can still pay for something regardless of how much or how far or how many other people you share it with.

I'd rather disagree with the premise, and spend my time and energy elsewhere instead of on some mcmansion in Langley for an amount of money it shouldn't be worth.

It's also rude to denigrate people who clean Airbnbs for $45/hr (which isn't enough) as if it's not a skill and anyone can just switch to it. It is a skill, and I don't have that skill, or the equipment, or any of the other stuff someone would require to get operating as a business which they'd need to be. Likewise tradespeople, which software developers clearly are in some ways.

The facts are that the Canadian software development market is terrible, job volatility is higher than it's been in quite a while, and housing of all kinds is higher than it's ever been all over the country. Those are not promising conditions for prosperity.


I didn’t mean to denigrate cleaners, I have friends who clean air bnbs and they are charging more than $45/hr, I just saw that advertised. Anybody can pick up $50 worth of cleaning products and start scrubbing without any special education or training so we might disagree on how much skill is required, but my Airbnb cleaning friends definitely have motivation, and a positive attitude and outlook on life despite the challenges they face in other areas.

Either you rent for your whole life or you buy something and have to compromise on some of the variables. I see lots of people working hard, mostly in jobs they don’t love, and making those compromises and choosing to buy somewhere.

> despite literally not having a job, any prospects, or the possibility of owning a home at any point in my life, even as a software developer

I hope things turn around for you! I meant to point out that home ownership is possible, but it sounds like you have already evaluated the variables and if you are set on only living in some specific area then home ownership might not be possible in that location without a couple of well above average incomes.


I do think the mission of buying a house in an arbitrary place is kind of a misguided gen-x goal unless you have a legitimate space constraint like kids, already have a car as key component of your life, or have no established community. My point was that it's not worth relentlessly pursuing home ownership in some place just because it seems like inherently sensible goal. To acquire a house I'd need an improbable set of other variables to align, or relentlessly pursue it at all costs, and it's just so expensive for such a marginal and specious gain, that I don't think I'll concern myself with not having, whereas a few years ago it was merely a choice to keep renting and the delta between the two ongoing expenses wasn't like 3x.


> a 3 bedroom townhouse with a garage and a small yard 45 minutes from Vancouver for 900k

where? as someone in the area, this does not match what I'm seeing



Seems like you just picked an arbitrary and astronomical threshold, zoomed in somewhere that seemed vaguely close to Vancouver from the sky, and made your argument based on that. Parent was entirely correct in posing their question, because 45min from X is a giveaway.

Squamish is a wonderful small town up the coast; a haven for climbers and outdoors people. Not many people have the intention of moving there—it's quite isolated—but even still, that attached townhouse has more than doubled in value since it's last sale in 2007, probably the majority of which came in the last 5 years.


That and those never ending winters.


Yeah. But also those infinite boreal forest, 10 of thousand of pristine lake… There is something about it.


Agreed, nature is amazing there. I'd go out for solo hikes in the Sault-ste Marie, Wawa, Sudbury triangle and it was incredible.


I found a little paradise on earth near Wawa, on Lake Superior. Well, found, no. There is also petroglyphs there.

But damn, the lake has small island, coves, beaches.

Absolutely stunning and mostly devoid of intense tourism. ( aka : no stress to find a camping spot, you can also sleep in most places if you are respectful)


Winter in Toronto (lattitude 43.6) isn't really much different from Chicago (lattitude 41.8) and pretty much the same as most of the US northeast and not nearly as bad as a place like Minnesota (or Vermont or Maine, etc.) etc. Toronto sits at the same latitude as northern California, and while it has plenty of very cold days the total length of winter isn't any longer than much of the northern half of the US.

It ain't California or the PNW, but it also doesn't fit the stereotype of the Great White North, eh? As a person from a part of Canada with actual winters, calling this never-ending winter seems like a giant distortion. Most years we don't really have proper snow on the ground until after Christmas, and it's gone before April. Where I grew up in Alberta it's snow from late October until April.


> Toronto sits at the same latitude as northern California

This is

(a) just actually not literally true (41N at the border vs 43N),

(b) particularly off-base when you consider that "northern California" is typically a reference to the SF Bay Area

(c) completely deceptive.

Four months of the year with around two feet of snow, with an average low below freezing. San Francisco has barely ever gone below freezing in its entire historical record (literal record low of −3C a hundred years ago).

Yes yes, you don't have igloos in Toronto, fair point. But a person who drives on summer tires year round in Toronto is a homicidal maniac. In Vancouver that's merely lazy, an excuse to call in sick a few days a year.

No argument about Minnesota, though, nor about The Texas Of The North. And yes, it's hardly never-ending winters. The summers in T.O. are brutal too.


How about the Texas of the South? Here's my observation.

I would think there is some comparison between Canada and Texas as major trend-setters of their own unique culture, both philosophically and financially, within a diverse North American continent. For some things there are more similarities than differences. A lot of extractiveness with few owners but excess amounts of resources traditionally trickling down from there.

In Texas it's been declining for entrepreneurs starting 40 years ago. The most recent 20 years have been more of the same. There's still bright spots like anywhere else but overall the outlook for independents has only become more negative in the long run.

One of the obvious things nobody really looks at, Houston was founded (on an undeveloped floodplain) as a planned center of industry and commerce for Texas when it became a new nation after independence from Mexico. The idea was to replace San Antonio which had been the capital as a Spanish colony and Mexican state, and which had been inhabited by indigenous cultures since prehistoric times.

Growth-entrepreneurialism was ingrained and universal in Houston from day one, then put on steriods after the discovery of oil & gas.

After the arrival of the telephone most businesses depended on listing in the phone directory. Something I understand many young entrepreneurs have never seen nor utilized, so I digress.

By the 1970's (when everybody still had a land line telephone and the phone company was still a monopoly and quite uniform across the US) most cities had a directory format where the "white pages" at the beginning of the book were the fine-print alphabetic listing of all residential and business numbers, with businesses often appearing in bold in order to stand out among the residences, depending on their service agreement. Followed by the yellow pages which were a business listing with alphabetized categories (rather than alphabetized by business name), containing paid display advertisements, so you could look up consumer-oriented things like plumbers and auto mechanics, etc.

Unless you knew the correct name of the business, you were probably better off looking for a business number in the yellow pages, which would be maybe about the last half of a fairly massive softcover book.

In a place like Atlanta it was getting pretty crowded and they would then issue the white pages and the yellow pages as two separate massive volumes. Atlanta was a pretty hoppin' place.

But in Houston there were so many independent businesses that the phone company published a separate one of their huge soft-cover fine-print black & white directories each year just for individual business phone numbers. No display ads, just data, this was not the "yellow pages" which contained the sometimes whole-page paid advertisements, there were so many of those they were issued in two separate massive alphabetical volumes bound from the traditional yellow paper. This was the fine print and there wasn't room for the businesses within the residential directory anyway since that had already been divided into two separate alphabetical volumes of their own residential white-pages. They might have had a set up like this in other crowded places like Los Angeles.

Even after the Nixon recession had been suffered miserably by small businesses, the Houston business pages alone were about as big or bigger than the entire phone book of most other American cities, which I attribute to enhanced survival due to unprecedented high oil prices. But eventually after the Reagan recession kicked in, the business pages began to dwindle to a shadow of their former self.

We don't have the equivalent documents today to make a valid comparison with, since we're measuring thin pages by the kilo, but the gradual displacement of widespread opportunity with widespread malaise that was apparent in the macro environment has seemed to continue unabated for about 40 years now and it's about time people noticed.

Just another thing independent entrepreneurs have to face, they are an endangered species who has been under constant threat since before so many of them were born.


Our winters here in Victoria are great. A decent amount of clear skies, never too cold, not as much rain as people think, heaps of stuff to do nearby or a day trip away. It’s hard to beat.


Victoria is also the most expensive city in Canada, which - reading the accounts of low pay in this thread, make it seem out of reach for most Canadians.


Yes. It’s brutal. I earn a somewhat low income by SV standards, but my income (excluding my wife’s) is around 3.5x the city’s household income average. I recently bought a house for $1M and the mortgage eats 40% of my income. This was the low end of the market for a family home.

I wonder almost every day what ~70% of the city is doing to survive. We are very diligent about spending and while we’re comfortable, we still need to be careful. That’s insane. The situation is bad. Our local subreddit is loaded with people who are struggling, leaving, venting, etc. over money and work. It’s the worst I’ve ever seen it.

Also weird: Victoria is the most expensive by many measures, yet remote work salary ranges never consider Victoria an expensive city. Vancouver, Toronto, they’re always on the list of course. But never Victoria. I had to turn down a role recently because it was around $40k per year lower than I’d earn in Vancouver, and I found their inflexibility and unreasonable stance on the matter incredibly concerning. I would pay almost exactly the same amount to live in Vancouver, but their calculator disagreed.


This isn't Canada per-se but more of a SV versus the rest of the world (with a few other small exceptional pockets).


Only if you consider "rest of the world" to mean Europe + English speaking countries. There's an insane amount of entrepreneurship coming out of China and India, and a similar hustle culture. Also in some parts of Africa, like Nigeria and Kenya.


Thank you. Was about to say. It's a phenomenon of a few US coastal cities. And also very pronounced now, vs say 25 years ago.


> After that’s chewed up by taxes

Funny thing about high taxes being a disincentive.


Plenty of US states (e.g. California) end up with total taxation up in the same range as Canadian provinces, in the higher income brackets anyways.

And Canadian corporate taxes are very low. US and Canada basically the same on this front.

https://www.canadian-accountant.com/content/taxation/canada-...

"While the lowest five corporate tax rates worldwide are held by corporate tax havens (led by Ireland), the United States and Canada have ranked ninth and tenth respectively out of 33 major economies for the past two years. The corporate tax rate in Canada is lower than all the averages of regional jurisdictions, including the global and G7, according to the average tax rates of 33 UHY international firms, assuming companies have a profit of $1 million. "

Canada's problem is not excessive taxation. It's monopolies and lack of competition and over-reliance on commodity exports.


Something is paying for Canada's massive public sector. What do you think it is?

As for California, a lot of companies moved to Washington to escape the high taxes. Washington used to be a low tax state, but no longer, and companies aren't moving here anymore.

(Washington recently added a capital gains tax, payroll taxes, a $.50 per gallon additional gas tax, and boosted the sales tax to 10.1%.)


Why don't you try using facts and numbers instead of insinuations, then? Show me how Canadians are being screwed on taxes.

Actually I know working class Canadians are -- Canada's system is actually not very progressive compared to many US states, the bottom end of the tax bracket is fairly heavily weighted... but corporations here are sitting pretty. Best gig in Canada (after real estate) is to be a fake "contractor" paying corporate taxes instead of personal income taxes, and stashing your wealth in corporate assets and paying your spouse dividends... it's ridiculous.

In any case, to throw it back: Something is paying for the US's massive defense sector. What do you think it is?


So, so many people have recommended I do the fake contractor thing. Dude, just pay your wife to do “HR stuff” or something. Wait, why buy a personal vehicle? You could buy one for your company to travel to client meetings. You know you could be putting X amount into your “business”? Why lose all this money in taxes?

The thing is, we need people to pay taxes because our public systems are having major issues and people earning or paying less is a real problem for all of us. Would I like to get more from what I earn? Yeah, in a sense. Do I need it? Not as much as the average Canadian. Not even close.


It does seem like in the last 10 years the tax code in Canada has become more strict and the CRA really doesn't like single-customer "corporations" anymore and ends up taxing them just like employment. So some of the holes at least have been plugged.

For 10 years I worked at Google and pulled in what I would consider a ridiculous salary. But over 50% of it was pulled away in taxes. I am a socialist by conviction so don't complain about these kinds of taxes much, but it really chafed me to see people in contracting situations bringing in more than me by squirreling away money, hiding it from the gov't in these kinds of corporate arrangements.


Isn't that only an option when you have multiple contracts?


> Something is paying for the US's massive defense sector. What do you think it is?

Taxes and deficits. Both of which are extracted from the economy.


The fake contractor scheme is exactly the same in Sweden, the dividends too and saving assets inside the business entity.


Competent and "cultural fit" people in Canada are not only drawn to the US by higher wages, but they are actively pushed out of Canada by a system that does not value them.


> and found that the country has 100,000 fewer entrepreneurs than it did 20 years ago — despite the fact that the population has grown by more than 10 million over the same period.

Canada is a bit below 39M people. In 2003 it was above 31M. The growth is decidedly less than 10M.

But yes, support for entrepreneurs is nonexistent, my little company (not even reaching 1M CAD a year in revenue) is controlled by the same rules on paper as SNC-Lavalin (except of course if they break the rules the prime minister fires the minister of justice to avoid prosecution but if I am late with a report a few days I get fined). Many European countries have simple flat taxes with minimal administration.


Canada (in particular Vancouver), fix your absurd housing problem and we'll come back.


No need for the particular call out to Vancouver. That’s a 2014 story. In 2023, every city in the country has an absurd housing problem. I’ve lived coast to coast over the last five years and seen first hand how it doesn’t matter if you are in Vancouver or Halifax (or much smaller towns far away from either), the pricing has gone parabolic thanks to interest rates being ultra low for two decades and housing stock being artificially constricted, and god damn AirBNB “investors” buying everything.

Thankfully we now have a ministry of finance serious about inflation and moving rates high, and provincial and federal governments cracking down on Airbnb.


Thankfully we now have a ministry of finance serious about inflation and moving rates high, and provincial and federal governments cracking down on Airbnb.

No minister has anything to do with interest rates. Only the Bank of Canada does, and it takes no input or guidance from the government.


Unfortunately I get the impression that this current BoC leadership is wayyy too sensitive to public backlash and input. And fear that the loud and problematic proclamations of the official opposition are going to lead to immense pressure to lower rates prematurely.


I don't know where this impression comes from, although I do see excess political noise on this front.

I am disappointed by this aspect of the OO, but that does not imply the BoC is more sensitive.


Canada is captured by real estate investors, bureaucrats, and the Century Initiative [0]. So rather than developing national infrastructure and tier 2/3 markets across this giant landmass (like China) to create affordable places to incubate entrepreneurship, they ramp up immigration into "mega-regions" driving up living costs, making everyone risk averse and entrepreneurship untenable.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Century_Initiative


They all move to America, take high paying jobs, and complain about everything. At least the ones I’ve encountered.


Difficult and complicated to get funding, insanely high rent, Canadian banks and telcos are stuck in the Stone Age, and the government bureaucracy is impotent and moves at a snail’s pace.

Or we move to America and earn twice as much money.


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