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How do you square that opinion with the observation that some of the places with the loosest gun regulations (Oregon, Idaho) also have some of the lowest homicide rates? In Idaho, something like 60%+ of households own guns. But the homicide rate in the capital city of Boise is at Scandinavian levels, 1/10 of the US average. Utah also has high gun ownership and low gun homicides. (Note that this way of looking at the data gets around the notion that you can’t draw conclusions from homicide rates in cities with high control because guns freely flow into them from elsewhere.)



By treating statistics with respect (so no cherry picking), by recognising that violence involving firearms has more then one cause.

As to Oregon, consider this https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Umpqua_Community_College_sho... in the context of easily available firearms.


How do you go from "no cherry picking" straight to a wikipedia article on a single incident?


If your statistics are correct, that lends credence to the old saw, "An armed society is a polite society." But that's likely predicated on everything thinking that everyone else is armed (which in high gun control areas would not be the case). Sort of like nuclear weapons' "mutually assured destruction."


Yet some of what people commonly referred to polite societies barely have guns and the opposite can be said for those with lots of guns.

The exceptions for the latter category being countries with high external national risk or no standing army.


> How do you square that opinion with the observation that some of the places with the loosest gun regulations (Oregon, Idaho) also have some of the lowest homicide rates?

Eye-balling this 2015 chart, there seems like there's a pretty good correlation between per capita ownership and per capita deaths (homicide+suicide):

* https://www.motherjones.com/wp-content/uploads/gun-ownership...

* https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/07/gun-owners-stud...

The main outliers appear to be MA and HI, the former of which has some pretty strict rules (very similar to Canada's):

* https://www.vox.com/2018/11/13/17658028/massachusetts-gun-co...

RAND did a (meta-)analysis and found that some policies are more effective than others, specifically: safe storage, waiting periods, background checks, domestic violence history restrictions:

* https://www.rand.org/research/gun-policy.html

Stand-your-ground laws seem to lead to not-good things happening (nothing about castle doctrine though).

Good laws / regulations can counter high numbers though, it appears. Canada has one of the highest per capita ownership rates, and yet has quite low firearm-related death rate (lower than Finland, the Swiss, France, Austria):

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimated_number_of_civilian_g...

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_firearm-r...


There is no correlation between ownership rates and homicide rates: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_violence_in_the_United_Sta...

Injecting suicide rates into the discussion is a motte-and-bailey tactic. People make their legal case for regulation by invoking the right not to be murdered as outweighing the right go bear arms, but when confronted with the fact that gun control doesn’t appear to reduce homicides within the US, they shift the goalposts by citing numbers that lump in suicides. But the legal and moral justification for regulating guns to reduce suicides is very different than for homicides.


> There is no correlation between ownership rates and homicide rates:

So?

> Injecting suicide rates into the discussion is a motte-and-bailey tactic.

Or it's simply the fact that I don't want people dying unnecessarily, whether at their own hand or another's. Why should we only worry about homicides? What is your intent in removing suicide from the equation?


Maybe the sparseness of the population plays a significant role. Its a lot easier to develop conflicts in more populated areas.


That’s why I used Boise as an example.




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