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Yes more people have died from the flu so far, but Covid-19 was only officially identified last month and is growing exponentially. Based on the studies we have seen so far, it is more contagious than the flu (R0 of 2.2 vs 1.3), and significantly more deadly (fatality rate of 2.3% vs 0.1%). We're still in the early stages of this and it is continuing to spread.


It is not growing exponentially.

Think about what exponents are and what an exponential curve looks like.


Looking only at the total numbers paints a misleading picture.

It is no longer growing exponentially in China because they have quarantined millions of people. It was growing exponentially prior to the quarantine.

It is growing exponentially in other countries with recent outbreaks. Look at the growth charts for South Korea, Italy, and Iran.

While it is good news that the growth can be contained via quarantine, it is incredibly misleading to claim "this is just like the flu". The flu doesn't require the government to force people to stay locked up in their homes in order to prevent outbreaks.


You are correct in that it’s not just like the flu. It’s much less severe and not as trendy. You can’t sell the flu. This you can sell.


You seem really hung up on the fact that the flu has killed more people. But based on all the studies we've seen so far, this virus is more contagious than the flu, and more deadly as well. If it infects the same number of people as the flu does every year, a lot more people will die.


It's maybe ten times more lethal than flu, and there's no vaccine for it at the moment.


There is little evidence of that other than people manipulating the numbers to favor that outcome.

Even within China, Outside of Hubei the fatality rate is just 0.4%.

This 10x nonsense is so utterly bogus. People literally can not think for themselves anymore. Just read and regurgitate FUD.


Look at the ex-China infected graph here, and click the "logarithmic scale" toggle. Looks pretty close to a straight line to me. https://www.coronaviruschart.com/

China's growth in case count has slowed down. Whether that's because of massive control efforts (literally welding people in homes, etc), or because of inaccurate reporting / missed cases, or both-- is unknown.




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