I believe Groupon doesn't have a solid foundation. They have a brand of course, but they don't have a product. They're playing the role of the middle man, in my opinion. A long time ago, more like 30 years ago, there were these companies called Blue Chip Stamp, & S&H Green Stamps , it's very similar to Groupon. These stamp companies allowed customers to get stamps instead of change, and with stamps they could collect and get deals on products. Of course the concept is not the same, but everyone at the time thought those trading stamp companies were invincible, and they've got a monopoly going on and hypergrowth. It seemed everyone was using it. When's the last time you heard about S&H Green Stamps on the news?
They're playing the role of the middle man, in my opinion
Much of the world is middlemen, and it is often a fairly profitable place to be for companies. (A large multinational advertising firm with 35% margins that employs quite a few PhDs comes to mind.)
Just an additional point, Groupon's China strategy is very ambitious. There are monopolies like Tencent, a company that is basically Zynga + Facebook + AIM/Skype + Blogosphere + Twitter, you name it , they have it. As matter of fact, Zynga got Farmville from Tencent. They're basically an internet monopoly in China with deep government connections. Every new idea that seems promising in the American market, they would take it and implement it. They got deep pockets.
They recently introduced group buy as well. I'm quite certain Groupon is aware of this type of competition. If Google is even getting dominated in the Chinese market by Baidu and the government, I doubt Groupon is going to accomplish much success in China. It's too young and too ambitious, and I think throwing money into the Chinese market is like falling into an abyss. That's what I firmly believe because I know the Chinese market quite well.
Prove me wrong Groupon =) (I actually really respect Andrew Mason as a CEO)
I think ultimately the profit cut they take - a practically usurious 50% - is too large to be an equilibrium price for what they do. There is a long-term sustainable biz model in what they're doing, but it involves taking a much smaller cut, just because they're not adding enough value to justify a huge cut (they're not exactly investment banking). I expect that in the near future market competition (particularly Google deals) will drive the middle-man profits down to something pedestrian.
Good comparison. Forgot about those. Worth remembering that there is no company that has experienced hyper-growth forever. Sure, they could go the way of S&H Green Stamps but the phenomena of being displaced by the new, better model happens in every industry.
i'd point out that its actually still a thing i'm from the southeast and distinctly recall collecting stamps as a kid in the 80's. still exists, too, but has transitioned into the digital era.: http://www.greenbax.net/
> When's the last time you heard about S&H Green Stamps on the news?
There also be used to be companies who specialised in running small grocery shops in large US cities. They're gone, because the car made it possible to go to a larger, cheaper store instead.
But the concept of a grocery store hasn't gone away.
