Yeah, I noticed that sometimes two very quick upvotes can rocket an item to the front page.
On the other hand, one of my recent ASK HN posts (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1167298) got 7 or 8 votes in the first hour but never made it anywhere near the front page, which seemed a bit weird.
Since PG says the code hasn't changed, I'd assume the number of people online and submitting during the given period has a large impact on whether any particular story will hit the front page.
If that's true, that's really too bad - ASK HN posts are one of the great differentiators about this place. They are almost always valuable, and the insight and answers provided by the community always remind me why this place is great.
I also often find them interesting. I recommend you read them through http://ask.searchyc.com/ as even popular questions disappear from the front page so quickly I rarely get to see them.
On the other hand, one of my recent ASK HN posts (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1167298) got 7 or 8 votes in the first hour but never made it anywhere near the front page, which seemed a bit weird.
Since PG says the code hasn't changed, I'd assume the number of people online and submitting during the given period has a large impact on whether any particular story will hit the front page.