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> To compute the actual speedup – or, rather, slowdown! – provided by AI tools, the researchers compared the developers’ predictions of how long each task would take to the measured completion time.

I'm sorry, but it feels to me like this research has only proven that developers tend to underestimate how long a task is supposed to take, with or without AI.

In no way did they actually measure how much faster a specific task was when performed with and without AI?


What I understand they did is.

You have two tasks:

    - Task 1 - 3h
    - Task 2 - 1h
You ask the dev to estimate both.

Then you randomly tell the dev, ok do Task 1 without AI, and Task 2 with AI.

Then you measure the actual time it took.

Their estimate for AI task missed the mark by 19%, but those without AI were done 20% faster then estimated.

At the time of estimating they didn't know if the task would need to be done with AI or not.


Right, that makes more sense indeed.


I’m guessing that the 71 TiB is mostly used for media, as in, plex/jellyfin media, which is sad to loose but not unrecoverable. How would one ever store that much of personal data? I hope they have an off site backup for the all important unrecoverable data like family photos and whatnot.


I have about about 80TB (my wife's data and mine) backed up to LTO5 tape. It's pretty cheap to get refurb tape drives on ebay. I pay about $5.00/TB for tape storage, not including the ~$200 for the LTO drive and an HBA card, so it was pretty economical.


Wow that is surprisingly cheap actually.


I get email alerts from ebay for anything related to LTO-5, and I only buy the cheap used tapes. They are still fine, most of them are very low use, the tapes actually have a chip in them that stores usage data like a car's odometer, so you can know how much a tape has been used. So far I trust tapes more than I'd trust a refurb hard drive for backups. And I also really like that the tapes have a write-protect notch on them, so once I write my backup data, there's no risk of having a tape accidentally get erased, unlike if I plugged in a hard drive and maybe there's some ransomware virus that automatically fucks with any hard drive drive that gets plugged in. It's just one less thing to worry about.


We already do this in The Netherlands. We can use our drivers license or newer id cards to activate a digital identity app from the government, by scanning the nfc chip in it. Works great honestly. I believe many services you log into then do not store much personal information, only what’s needed to connect to your id and of course whatever is needed for the service itself.


Does this work for companies as well? I've only ever encountered this kind of verification as part of the Digid login process, which is only usable for government and semi-government websites. I don't think you can use Digid to prove to an online web store that you're allowed to order alcohol, for instance.

With the way Digid works, I'm not too sure if I'd trust the system that much either, to be honest. Allowing the government to track what citizens visit what websites when seems like a massive privacy infraction. There are technologies that can fix these shortcomings, but I don't think the government cares about them.


No, (semi-)government only by law, plus health care providers.


Alright, that's what I thought. I believe iDIN would come closer, though that's bank-based rather than government-based.

I don't think the Australian system introduced in the linked article is comparable to the card-based Digid system; the risks and benefits of a system where companies can authenticate people using government ID are very different from just authenticating to (semi) government.


Yeah, we have it in Italy too.

We can do a lot of paperwork online, it's great when it works. I belive is one of the few "internet stuff" that wasn't just regarded as a waste of money. (we had a scandal about a simple site that costed millions).

You can pay taxes and other services, change your family doctor, see documentation related to unemployment/social security, etc

The "verification" is done by a few online private providers via Webcam or you can do it at the post office (still private but the line is blurred).

The name is "IO", a wordplay on Imput/output and the fact that "io" means "me" in Italian


To note*

I'm talking about the portal where you can do stuff, the verification/identity is a system called "SPID".


I agree with the comments on Reddit. It’s gonna be an interesting decade.


I would vastly prefer a couple of boring years.


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