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Really hard to see trends from two observations :) I'd be curious to see more serious predictions.



You can guess at trends from the fact that most improvement curves tend to be roughly exponential. Moore's law is the most spectacular, but similar (if less extreme) ones have been found in everything from battery capacity to the maximum size of scoops in a hydraulic backhoe.

You can find verification and many more examples in The Innovator's Dilemma.




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