Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin
How to Develop New Antibiotics (nytimes.com)
12 points by mhb on Feb 24, 2015 | hide | past | favorite | 1 comment


Regulation and the enormous unnecessary costs it imposes are the problem. That is why in an era of radical and accelerating progress in biotechnology there is ever diminishing clinical translation via the traditional channels.

http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/fda_05.htm

Though the United States urgently needs new treatments for common illnesses such as heart disease, stroke, and diabetes, the nation’s system for drug approval discourages innovation and investment, especially for our most pressing public health challenges. In this paper, we find that the main culprit is the high cost of Phase III clinical trials, which are required for FDA approval of most drugs. We examined drug development in four major public health areas and discovered that for any given drug on the market, typically 90 percent or more of that drug’s development costs are incurred in Phase III trials. These costs have skyrocketed in recent years, exacerbating an already serious problem.

The enormous cost and risk of Phase III trials create incentives for researchers and investors to avoid work on medications for the chronic conditions and illnesses that pose the greatest threat to Americans, in terms of health spending and in terms of the number of people affected. This avoidance, in turn, harms overall U.S. health outcomes and drives up the cost of health care.

http://jco.ascopubs.org/content/28/17/2925.abstract

Increasing the regulatory rigidity of clinical trials (regulatory fundamentalism) augments trial complexity and costs while slowing progress without demonstrating meaningful safety benefits. Time from drug discovery to marketing increased from 8 years in 1960 to 12 to 15 years currently. Toxic death rates on phase I trials have decreased from 0.8% in 1979 to 0.5% by 2002, but the estimated cost per life-year gained by tighter regulations is $2,700,000 (far higher than costs of other health measures), and simulations suggest that regulatory delays in development of effective therapies result in tens to hundreds of thousands of life-years lost, whereas stringent regulations save extremely few.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: