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What happened? Simple. The data and/or methodology that was used to calculate the huge increase was incorrect.

Steve McIntyre finally got hold of the raw tree-ring data that was used in the now famous hockey stick graph. He claims that they cherry-picked data to support the conclusions they wanted.

He has recently got hold of the raw data (after a decade of trying) and has rerun the data and generated a graph that seems to predict the climate of the past couple of decades correctly (R source code included).

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=7168



The "hockey stick" appears to have been replicated, repeatedly. Wikipedia has:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1000_Year_Temperature_Comp...


The extreme tail of the graph has not been replicated as far as I can see.




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