That's an interesting thought. However, you would expect startups to be prone to more evere cycles and bubbles. People in office cubicles have more of a direct feedback from the ultimate value creation. You don't hire someone unless you need them to do a job.
Startups get started when a founder and investor are both willing to make it happen. That willingness is dependant on more speculation (in the individual case) then in the case of a cubicle worker.
Also, when you say 'startup' I expect you are talking about a specific type of starting company that fits into the YC model. While the jobs market seems to absorb an arbitrary number of people, some specific part of it such as the manufacturing sector cannot.
Not all startups are venture backed. I predict more will be side projects that turn serious. That's the logical conclusion of startups getting cheaper to build. The risk is removed, and the need to make a bet is diminished.
Sure. Success ultimately is subject to feedback. They can't succeed without creating value. But they can start without it. They may get funded without it. You may not know if you've been doing anything useful for a long time.
Startups get started when a founder and investor are both willing to make it happen. That willingness is dependant on more speculation (in the individual case) then in the case of a cubicle worker.
Also, when you say 'startup' I expect you are talking about a specific type of starting company that fits into the YC model. While the jobs market seems to absorb an arbitrary number of people, some specific part of it such as the manufacturing sector cannot.