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I ran a number of different regressions in parallel with significance testing. Ultimately, I chose to publish the figures from the one that included the factors with the largest effect sizes (determined in parallel) for simplicity, but the takeaways didn't really differ much when more factors (even ones that weren't significant) were included.

Regardless, thanks for pointing me to Pearl. Linking here for others in case they're interested, too: http://bayes.cs.ucla.edu/BOOK-2K/

And, yes, I'm that Aline. Ohai, and thanks!



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