On: Building a predictive model for the World Cup

[reillyse]

France is beating Nigeria with 100% certainty, and Brazil beats Chile with 35% probability i.e. loses with 65% probability.

I don't think the model is working great.

[pranade → reillyse]

Yes, that is with high certainty, but not 100%. We'll fix the messaging hear - thanks for flagging. Also, it's interactive so you can change the weights and see what happens