On: Probabilistic model for measuring success

[rfrey]

P(S) = i/A + j(N/3) + k(1/Q)^2 + x((1/GT)^3)

A = Average age of founders

N = Number of founders

Q = Quality of idea, 0-1

G = Graham Quotient: How hard you'll work, 0-1

T = Taleb Quotient: How lucky you'll get

i, j, k, x: Adjust to fit the sample of 5 famous startups in the news this week

Repeat as required

[nurall → rfrey]

Good one!!! Did you model this? :-).. interesting... you are saying that if P(S) is greater than 1, P(S) doesn't apply to that particular startup.. its meaningless.. and they should stop wasting their time.. is dat a valid argument to why your metric could be greater than 1?