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Is there a way to figure this out?

Empirically, most forms of human greatness ("expertise") are defined as RELIABLY superior performance in the defined domain. See

http://mit.edu/6.969/www/readings/expertise.pdf

for a discussion of this by scientists who literally wrote the book on the subject of expert performance. Bear in mind that some domains, notably choosing common stocks in which to invest, have no experts, that is no one who is reliably superior in performance over time.



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