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  > ... with little chance of success, when the expected 
  > value of other opportunities are much higher...
While I don't necessarily disagree with your point of view, certainly we can do better than hyperbole when we're talking about "chance of success". So I put it to the community: Can we put some numbers behind this? What data would you look at to determine whether doing something like this is a good investment/opportunity? (Certainly the opportunity cost can be calculated, as a starting point.)


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