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Hasn't the AI bubble already popped a bit? I mean Oracle is at less than half its ATH. SuperMicro (another company suspected of smuggling hardware to China) is not worth 1/4th of its ATH.

What does TFA mean by an "AI Crash"?

That the rushed Anthropic IPO at 3% of the US GDP won't 10x to 30% of the US GDP?

That Micron (30% down from ATH) won't be selling much RAM anymore? Or that NVidia (30% down from ATH) won't have buyers for its shovels?

We have seen complete irrational exhuberance in the stock market but some stuff are already coming down back to earth (Datadog which reached 550 P/E TTM just took a more than 50% slap in the face if I'm not mistaken).

What are the candidates for the pop? Palantir? What else?

 help



RnD is inherently deflationary.

Automatic research will create large amount of value without a way to capture it, because there will be no moat for anyone any more.

Everything cheap, with no buyers.

We could be in perfect storm of demand shock due to failure to redistribute gains to people, insufficient societal change.

IP value is already showing cracks.

Overbuild, very similar to fiber overbuild in 2000 will lead to defaults of established players.

Monetary system will have to print unprecedented amount of money and put it into hands of people; will it actually?




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