I don't understand the negativity around this topic here. I think that RSI has almost certainly already arrived, just the early stages of it at least. RSI is simply compounding capabilities- current AI systems are absolutely increasing productivity when it comes to training new AI systems, it's one of the things they're best at. Even if it's only a flat 10% gain YoY now and forever, that compounds over time. A 10% increase today becomes a 21% increase next year, a 33% gain the year after, etc. After 7 years, you've doubled the rate of AI progress. And that rate will almost certainly go up over time rather than holding at 10%. Even if AI sucks at every application other than AI research, RSI will still happen.
