On: Cleo (Mathematician)

[creatonez]

AI capabilities keep getting bumpier and bumpier. There's no reason to believe it won't stall out on a front that it is already quite bad at (correctly formalizing in human language)

[petesergeant → creatonez]

“LLM progress will stall in some area at some point” — which is my interpretation of what you wrote — feels particularly unfalsifiable

[darthoctopus → petesergeant]

The negated statement --- that LLM progress will never stall in any area --- seems trivially falsifiable, so why is the GP's statement unfalsifiable?

[petesergeant → darthoctopus]

This incorrectly assumes falsifiability survives negation. https://philosophy.stackexchange.com/questions/52015/is-the-...

[slopinthebag → petesergeant]

logic vs wisdom