I think that when people casually pronounce a bet like that, they generally mean even odds. If they meant something else they'd likely say so explicitly.
My apologies, I left out a step, or more precisely, folded two steps into one.
The way it usually goes with anti-nuclear activists when they make pronouncements like this is as follows:
1. It will take at least 15 years and cost 100 gazillion dollars
2. Are you sure?
3. Yes, this is 100% what will happen. It is 100% certain, because nuclear does not and cannot work.
4. OK, then let's put some money where our mouths are. Your 100% certainty means you should be willing to give me infinite odds, because any money I put up is automatically yours. Completely risk free income for you. But I am happy to reduce those odds to just 100:1, so I put up $100 and you put up $10.000.
Okay, let's follow that logic. I am willing to bet $1 that there will be construction delays and that there will be cost overruns. How many millions are you willing to bet that there will be absolutely zero delays and overruns?
If those reactors are so fantastic, surely you wouldn't hesitate at a chance to get some free money - no matter how little?
