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Gell-Mann amnesia assumes a journalist is not an expert on _anything_. In this case, DHH is (according to some) an expert on software but it's much less clear he's an expert on politics. So I'm not sure Gell-Mann amnesia applies here, it's maybe more like Nobel disease, where you're an expert on one thing and assume it "transfers" to other fields.
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> much less clear

I have a background in sociology and urban planning. It's very clear that DHH is not an expert on politics. His blog posts demonstrate a very elementary understanding of the topics he covers. He doesn't even understand statistics.


> I have a background in sociology and urban planning

What an interesting way to make it sound like that means anything. "Background" - how appropriately vague...

And how exactly does this make you an expert on European, and especially Danish, immigration, culture and vox populi?


People say "background" here, because the default assumption is HN readers have software expertise, but it's frequently unclear what else, if anything, they have here.

I do agree "background" is vague, but I generally assume the minimal threshold to say that is something like a previous career, undergraduate degree, or graduate degree in the background. I personally wouldn't say I had a background in something I was only an amateur enthusiast of.

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That being said, what on earth gives you the idea a substantial background in sociology WOULDN'T be relevant here?


Because I understand what sociology is and isn't, since I too have "a background" in sociology and urban development. As well as statistics, history and even futurology.

Appeal to authority is a bias for a reason. In this case it wasn't even that well executed.

A "background in software development" (an HR or a marketing girl in the website design sweatshop) does not give enough relevance and authority to speak about the technical details of Linux kernel. Vice versa.


I'm glad you found that interesting, whoever you are. KingMob is right, though: I have college degrees in those subjects, and I work in urban planning. However, that doesn't make my post an appeal to authority. He discusses topics that have been very thoroughly studied over the course of decades, and he seems unfamiliar with these studies. He seems to go for a "it's just basic logic, right?" approach in many of his posts. It's not very effective writing - but perhaps it is if you have no background in these subjects?

Anyway, all I was saying is that reading his posts as a somewhat informed reader leaves me with the impression that he doesn't have a deep understanding of these topics. I studied (25 years ago) many topics that he likes to tell us his thoughts about, such as systemic racism, consumer behavior, nationalism, how to read bar charts, etc. It would be pretty easy for many people to tear open his posts, but he doesn't enable comments.


>His blog posts demonstrate a very elementary understanding of the topics he covers. He doesn't even understand statistics.

Examples of these claims?


Regarding statistics, he wrote about a crime by ethnic background chart, and didn't seem to understand the concept of n.

Link to the claim or it can be dismissed outright.

Ha. I was trying to be charitable there :)

My Gell-Mann moment was watching other HN users rate Gell-Mann moments while not realizing they're demonstrating it directly.

That evokes the lesser known corollary:

Crichton's Law: unwittingly serving as the best example of one's own snarky law.


> Gell-Mann amnesia assumes a journalist is not an expert on _anything_.

Incidentally, this is also the fundamental flaw with Crichton's original description of the effect which questioned the accuracy of reporting about international affairs. When it comes to politics, simply having access to important leaders and meetings and reporting on them accurately and fairly is the only "journalistic expertise" you need.

Of course, the even broader problem with the concept is that, in reality, there are some articles written by journalists that contain a reasonable understanding of the subject matter, and some articles that do not. So seeing an article written about your field of expertise that contains misunderstandings doesn't by itself tell you anything about the distribution of good and bad articles covering any particular field.




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