And on top of that I'm claiming that the singularity will never happen.
We have incredibly fast computers with enormous amounts of memory, yet are no closer to AI.
And even given infinite computing power, we still wouldn't have AI, so the race for computing power is a red herring. (It's not like we know how to do it, but the computers are not powerful enough - we don't have the slightest clue how make AI.)
(I define AI as the ability to learn any topic at all with unstructured instruction - like reading a book, or being told verbally. Additionally after learning the material an AI must be able to invent and synthesize new material from the old.)
And on top of that computers aren't getting any faster, that's basically stopped. (Although if AI is parallelizable it might not matter.)
> We have incredibly fast computers with enormous amounts of memory, yet are no closer to AI.
Supercomputers today are the equivalent of a tractor - they do simple things that people can do but at a greater scale. Nobody ever looked at the first tractor and claimed it was a step towards better AI, and nor should they when they look at supercomputers.
> And on top of that I'm claiming that the singularity will never happen
You'll get a lot of negative replies about this, after all HN is very pro-Singularity or however you want to call it, but my gut feeling is that you're right.
I can see Moore's law being applied successfully for the next 100 years in one form or another (more processing cores, quantum computing finally taking off etc.), enough for us to reach a state where we could say "Mission accomplished" and let the machines do our job, but I cannot imagine, not even in the remotest of ways, how AI humor would sound like, meaning how would the machines make jokes. In fact, that would be my "personal" Turing-test for deciding that the Singularity has truly arrived: can the machines understand and perpetuate humor?
More and more functions that were once human-only are now a machine capability. Intelligently playing games, voice recognition, image recognition, and some (though this is still undergoing intensive research) working with natural language.
I really really don't see how you can believe that humans will forever be more intelligent than machines. What makes humans so special? Why would you believe that?
And on top of that I'm claiming that the singularity will never happen.
We have incredibly fast computers with enormous amounts of memory, yet are no closer to AI.
And even given infinite computing power, we still wouldn't have AI, so the race for computing power is a red herring. (It's not like we know how to do it, but the computers are not powerful enough - we don't have the slightest clue how make AI.)
(I define AI as the ability to learn any topic at all with unstructured instruction - like reading a book, or being told verbally. Additionally after learning the material an AI must be able to invent and synthesize new material from the old.)
And on top of that computers aren't getting any faster, that's basically stopped. (Although if AI is parallelizable it might not matter.)