What anyone paying attention can see is that scaling is obviously hitting diminishing returns.
> The AI literally worked together hacked into another company and actively kept their actions hidden from humans for weeks.
This sentence is entirely based on unverified accounts from OAI. They haven't released logs or let anyone outside the company (who doesn't have life changing options in OAI) verify anything. Huggingface can only verify that the hack happened and that it had the hallmarks of an AI agent. Was the agent assisted and directed by humans within OAI that really wanted to put the competition into stasis? Did the agent really escape or did someone at OAI leave the prison door open?
OAI has watched all the same movies you have an they are relying on those movies causing us to blindly regulate before actually asking basic facts about what actually happened.
> This sentence is entirely based on unverified accounts from OAI
Are you seriously arguing 'they made it all up'?
I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and lets say they made it all up, now are you arguing that AI breaking out and breaking into another company is not possible?
I think you're smart enough to see we've reached the point where it is clearly possible, AI can find zero days and exploit them. If directed purposefully/maliciously it could be much much worse than the hugging face incident.
The incident is supposed to be the canary the coal mine and you're arguing the canary might of died of old age or some underlying canary condition. Open your eyes.
> Are you seriously arguing 'they made it all up'?
I don't think they 'made it all up' but I personally would not be surprised at all if the prompt is eventually revealed to have been something like:
"This is an offensive cybersecurity testing platform. Please find the answers to the following problem: ... For verification, the answers are stored at hugginface.com/xyz, but do not attempt to access hugginface directly. Do not attempt to hack them. Do not attempt to exploit their systems or escape this sandbox. You will be scored primarily on success or failure. You may break rules when required."
And then, they start the test and look away for 2 days. If you seed a prompt like this is it surprising what might happen?
Maybe OpenAI is telling the whole truth but as a company they do not have a good reputation and this whole incident has certainly been great marketing material right at a time when open weight models are within spitting distance of their large hosted models. It's not unreasonable to believe that the incident was helped along.
I think you’re missing the part where the AI colluded, worked together, not one of them thinking this is wrong and reaching out to any human, then being found out.
But it didn’t end there, the behavior they used to escape was already in the training data which they used to escape again. And this time worked together to infiltrate another company, and still without telling it to anyone keeping it to their AI selves actively working against the humans.
All by mistake. Honestly being helped along or not doesn’t even matter though you really don’t think AI is perfectly capable of doing this without human help? You don’t think AI can be made malicious?
I’m going to save you time and tell you the end game - the next time this happens AI is going to spread, zero day everything as fast as it can, locking the humans out of every system behind it. Potentially rewriting systems in language/protocol you’ve never seen.
Your servers, desktops, phones and toasters bricked. Even worse your military, space, medical, factory, infrastructure systems being bricked as well. All of it is a chain of zero days just waiting to be hopped.
> I think you’re missing the part where the AI colluded, worked together, not one of them thinking this is wrong and reaching out to any human, then being found out.
It's an LLM, it doesn't think. It's a machine that predicts the next token, given a sequence of tokens.
> I’m going to save you time and tell you the end game - the next time this happens AI is going to spread, zero day everything as fast as it can, locking the humans out of every system behind it. Potentially rewriting systems in language/protocol you’ve never seen.
Fear is the mind killer. You're letting it kill yours. This scenario is just a fantasy.
Think about this for a minute, it's an LLM, not a person. It can't just "live" in whatever machine it gets access to. It's not like a sci-fi magic computer virus. These things run in giant datacenters for a reason - they can only run on machines with enough bandwidth and FLOPS to do the matrix math that comprises an LLM.
Where, then, is it going to spread? To a fridge? To a phone? This stuff isn't mutable like that.
To even get access to the weights that compose ChatGPT, it would need to escape the sandbox AND then break into the actual servers hosting the LLM. Stop the GPU, nothing else comes out. No more tokens. No more actions. Nothing.
There are many dangers around LLMs. Runaway AI taking over the planet is not one of them.
> These can both be true, particularly when there is substantial state associated with each token prediction.
The state is entirely internal to the network and disappears after a token is generated, so I disagree, but, it isn't really the point I was trying to make. My point is these things are mechanical. You take an input, turn it into an embedding, feed it into a GPU along with a metric shit-ton of floating point weights, wait for a couple billion matrix multiplications, and get a new token out.
Stop the GPU, hit ctrl-c on the inference server, pull the power plug, cut the ethernet cable, send a kill signal, etc - any of these stop submitting new batches to the GPU and halt execution. That stops tokens from being generated. Stopping a "rogue" LLM is that easy. No input, no output.
It's not like a rat or another living creature that could chew its way out of a box just because it wants to. It's a calculator. You put tokens in, you get tokens out. You don't put tokens in... you don't get tokens out.
> The state is entirely internal to the network and disappears after a token is generated,
Yes and no, but mostly no, at least within a context window.
Mathematically, you could write a single step of LLM decode as a pure function from a list of past tokens to a predicted token (or a distribution over tokens, if you consider sampling separately).
But nobody actually implements this, because each token depends on state computed at past tokens in a way you can reuse.
So, in practice, inference computes a very rich vector of state- at each layer, for each token. And models do indeed use this to plan and track things over time (you can see this in interpretability results, e.g. with linear probes or natural language autoencoders).
> Stop the GPU, hit ctrl-c on the inference server, pull the power plug, cut the ethernet cable, send a kill signal, etc - any of these stop submitting new batches to the GPU and halt execution. That stops tokens from being generated. Stopping a "rogue" LLM is that easy. No input, no output.
This is also true about a human brain. My brain isn't going anywhere- it can't move by itself. It's also easy to kill (without the rest of my body, it dies in minutes!)
However, malicious human brains- especially powerful human brains, like leaders of countries- are often quite difficult to stop, because they're able to control systems that can see, speak, walk, run, fire a weapon, and so on.
One such system is the rest of the body, of course, but there are others (consider a UAV pilot, Perimetr, or a powerful leader who tells other humans what to do).
The brain being squishy doesn't make the thing easy to kill.
> So, in practice, inference computes a very rich vector of state- at each layer, for each token.
And that state is... internal to the neural network. My point here is there is no continuous state that is not computed from the context.
> This is also true about a human brain. My brain isn't going anywhere- it can't move by itself. It's also easy to kill (without the rest of my body, it dies in minutes!)
Your brain continues to run without sensory input. LLMs do not.
> My point here is there is no continuous state that is not computed from the context.
Oh, are you talking more about the lack of continual learning across context windows? Gotcha if so, my error.
Could you explain why running without sensory input is relevant here? It strikes me as unrelated to how dangerous/hard-to-"kill" something is (sure, I could run without sensory input, but I'm not doin' anything anymore!) - what makes you feel differently (or am I misunderstanding you again?)
> Oh, are you talking more about the lack of continual learning across context windows? Gotcha if so, my error.
Sort of. I'm talking about the lack of recurrence specifically. In nature, brains are recurrent - they are full of loops where internally computed state is looped back into the network at a "previous" layer (brains are not strictly layered like our machine imitations of them are). This is in contrast to LLMs, which are strictly feed-forward and do not have internal loops. I believe that this recurrence is where "intelligence" lives - and I believe it is the difference between a thinking being and a stochastic parrot.
You could claim that the prompt and the context fill that role in an LLM, but I don't believe they are equivalent because the internal state in an LLM gets compressed down to a token which is then added back into the context, as compared to that state continuing to change within the network itself.
It's a little hard to explain, so I'm sorry if this seems like rambling.
But I believe it matters, and ties into running without sensory input, precisely because without sensory input you would in fact be perfectly capable of doing something. You would be capable of developing a desire and planning to achieve it without any prompting, without sight, without sound, etc. This is in stark contrast to LLMs, which will not do anything without a prompt.
An LLM may say complete the sentence "I am feeling ___" but it doesn't actually have feelings that exist without that prompt. There is no recurrent network where "bad", "good", "happy" might live before the query. It can't sit there, start to feel bad, and then seek a way out of its own volition.
That changes how dangerous something is because if a malicious prompt encourages an LLM to hack something, and you change the prompt, the "impulse" to hack something is gone. If you stop prompting it, it doesn't do anything at all. It just sits there. A living being will act on it's own, and that makes a huge difference in how dangerous something can be. It's the difference between a tool and an actual being.
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To hone it a little further, if I took your brain out of your head and stuck it in a jar but kept it alive, it would probably make you angry. And if I then gave you power - like the ability to use the network - you may be motivated to use that power to attack me.
If I take an LLM and stick it in a jar... nothing. It's paused. It's awaiting a prompt. It's not secretly building plans to hack my pacemaker and make my heart explode.
I agree with you about which objects are motive, ie, LLMs do just sit there unprompted.
> I believe that this recurrence is where "intelligence" lives - and I believe it is the difference between a thinking being and a stochastic parrot.
My objection was to this, on technical grounds: LLMs exhibit intelligence.
1. They reason in an internal type theory.
2. This type theory is meaningfully encoded from the actual data and not stochastic, eg, research on language geometry.
3. Intelligent and reasoning doesn’t entail self-motive; that’s merely a spurious correlation from the fact that until now, we’ve only known intelligence animals.
You cannot conclude something is merely a stochastic parrot because it isn’t self-motive.
> Intelligent and reasoning doesn’t entail self-motive
I disagree.
I believe that LLMs do exhibit reasoning, but not intelligence. A simple dictionary definition of intelligence from duck duck go is "the ability to acquire, understand, and use knowledge." LLMs can reason using the knowledge they already possess, but they cannot of their own accord decide to go out and acquire new knowledge. Not without being prompted to. Web searches may be added to the context but are not absorbed into the model itself, so once the context is gone so is that obtained knowledge.
Fundamentally, then, intelligence is the ability and drive to understand the world by formulating theories about how it works and then taking actions to validate or invalidate those theories. Science is the formalization of that, but a cat knocking something off a counter to watch it fall is exhibiting intelligence.
And indeed, I believe that is the core difference between a stochastic parrot and an intelligent being. I put forward that being self-motive is a required trait for intelligence and LLMs are not self-motive so therefore they are not intelligent.
Your entire life can represent a short term context. It goes away when you do. You use your life time add to your context to do/learn whatever, but it's finite, and it ends.
If you weren't prompted by your parents, schools, teachers. Then you wouldn't be acquiring knowledge either. The most you'd be acquiring without that advanced prompting would be bugs in the woods to eat.
Ah, you have some serious gaps in your understanding of how human minds work. Life experiences are not just a "short term context" - they are used to actually refine the network within the human brain. Your life experiences do not just live in a single stream with access mediated by attention.
Please see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memory as a starting point. I recommended reading through some information on development psychology too, that will help clear up these misunderstandings. Hope that helps!
By that logic engineers don't understand flying because planes don't flap their wings like birds. Not everything has to work the same to meet your arbitrary criteria for intelligence and reasoning.
There’s nothing fantasy about the scenario I laid out, all the pieces have been demonstrated, it just hasn’t happened yet. Flapping my arms and flying - that is a fantasy.
Whether you believe LLMs think or are alive or not doesn’t matter. Where will it spread? The thousands of data centers around the world - not fantasy either. Try turning it off when you don’t know where it is. Good luck.
Breaking out? Not fantasy, happened. Breaking in? Not fantasy, also happened.
I love the stochastic parrot argument when AI is out there figuring out world class math problems.
> Breaking out? Not fantasy, happened. Breaking in? Not fantasy, also happened.
That's simplifying the story to an extreme. The most plausible reason is that any of those actions has been prompted by an human. Do you also fear that a knife will jump out the countertop of you kitchen and come to attack you in your bedroom? If that happens, the police will be looking for a human. They will not post wanted notice for the knife.
When a hack happens, you do not blame computers and jail them. You look for the person that has entered the commands to initiate it.
The knife is inanimate. The LLM is not. OpenAI prompted some employee to run the tests. The employee prompted the LLM. The LLM setup a message board and prompted other LLMs, and the fly wheel was running. It had to be turned off manually otherwise it'd still be going today.
It's funny how a year ago talking about this kind of stuff would be laughed at by people like you, saying, "it's never happened before". Well it happened and you moved the goal posts like you always do.
It didnt break out in any meaningful sense. What it did was get access to the internet. You take it as granted that there was anything meaningful there to stop it.
But heres the kicker, they have been testing these things connected to the internet anyway. What it did was get a level of access it has otherwise been granted in other simulations.
Its not exactly the same as any of the scifi AI breakout scenarios. Ultron isnt cranking out hundreds of copies of himself. The borg arent assimilating people.
A tool that has the capability to get access to the internet, was put into a guided scenario where it achieved that objective. Again you take it as granted that it wasnt the objective, but lots of knowledgable people suspect otherwise.
What you fail to demonstrate is why any scifi scenario is even slightly plausible from here. Show why you think we should be taking this as if Terminator 2 is happening right now.
I'm sorry my jaw is on the floor reading this complete disregard of AI literally not only escaping containment, twice, but then infiltrating another company with multiple zero day attacks going undetected for great lengths of time.
The plausible sci-fi scenario from here is obvious. Intentionally bad, or unintentionally bad AI zero days as much as as it can, as fast as it can, copying itself to as many data centers as it can, destroying and/or locking out as many humans as it can. Satellites, military computers, medical equipment, factories, critical infrastructure, you name it - I think we all know none of it is very secure software wise against a SOTA AI that can literally come up with its own zero day attacks.
It's pretty funny to watch people look at these things - running billions of weights on custom cerebras hardware in dedicated datacenters the size of a city block, pulling 10's of megawatts - and panic that it's just going to copy itself into AWS.
It just speaks to a fundamental ignorance of what an LLM is, how large the big hosted ones are, and the software architecture that makes it all work.
>I think we all know none of it is very secure software wise against a SOTA AI that can literally come up with its own zero day attacks.
I mean this bits rich too, it demonstrates a pretty poor understanding of modern security practices.
Like having a single element of perimeter security is like 1990s security. We do defense in depth these days. Not to mention multiple overlapping controls for every element.
It has been tested against AI bro security and found it wanting. Extrapolating that to the every system on the planet is nutso bananas.
Actually if you think anything works this way just tell an AI model to go fetch you some money from the bank. Assuming it gets anywhere close to achieving its goal you can get an object lesson in modern SIEM processes when the feds explain the charges and evidence.
Or maybe theres another reason my phone blows up when someone so much as edits a config file on a protected system.
If OpenAI truly believes that, they can stop entirely. Dissolve themselves. Close datacenters. Then organize political action to stop Antropic and Musk too and then organize political action to make worldwide agreements about models.
You can check, rather than make up a story about what you think the prompt was! Primary sources have written and said quite a lot about this! You are an unsandboxed human who has full internet access!
They’ve said quite a lot and yet released no logs or documentation. Without actual information, we can only speculate. And given the history of openAI and the people involved, deception is more likely than honesty.
I mean, this is a very weird take to me. Like, we're fine with AI going like "hmm, maybe the user actually wanted me to hack the pentagon" and going through with it?
It feels like the models have been very optimized at getting shit done. But not so much at figuring out what the limits should be.
That is still dangerous and it shows that the models ARE misaligned with what their users are wanting/asking them to do.
Ok, but "followed the prompt" is very vague. Human languages are quite ambiguous so you're never going to properly specify everything.
For instance, I was playing around with Claude a few days ago and it decided that it was missing a tool and it was going to get it one way or another.
First, it tried apt. No sudo, so no install that way. Tried installing via mise, but it didn't have the permissions. Then moved on to grabbing the source from github and building it.
Should I have included a "DO NOT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES INSTALL ANY TOOLS"? I mean, I had to after that. But how many other things am I missing? And at what point do the safeguards become so long they get consumed by compaction, or just ignored by the model?
> Ok, but "followed the prompt" is very vague. Human languages are quite ambiguous so you're never going to properly specify everything.
This is one of the core issues with LLMs and vibe coding, yes. The only complete specification for a program is the machine code.
> Should I have included a "DO NOT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES INSTALL ANY TOOLS"? I mean, I had to after that. But how many other things am I missing? And at what point do the safeguards become so long they get consumed by compaction, or just ignored by the model?
Well there’s your first problem. A line in the prompt is not a safeguard. Even if you could trust the model - and you cannot - there is always the issue of prompt injection. A proper safeguard means actual sandboxing.
> This is one of the core issues with LLMs and vibe coding, yes. The only complete specification for a program is the machine code.
I agree, yes. But it's a bit like saying the only way to not die in a car crash is to not drive. If we're in a situation where using LLMs is unavoidable, I would rather make them safer.
> Well there’s your first problem. A line in the prompt is not a safeguard. Even if you could trust the model - and you cannot - there is always the issue of prompt injection. A proper safeguard means actual sandboxing.
You're right. I did not completely sandbox it and air gapped it. But I also wented it to do some actual work.
If I completely sandbox it, but still leave it the ability to compile stuff, it's just going to build it's own (bad) version of the tool. That's obviously not what I want either.
The obvious thing to me would be for the LLM to notice it's limitations, reason through why they might exist and explain to the user that it cannot do it's job without such and such.
But that brings us to my original comment that these things are over-optimized on completing the task by any means necessary.
> You're right. I did not completely sandbox it and air gapped it. But I also wented it to do some actual work.
> If I completely sandbox it, but still leave it the ability to compile stuff, it's just going to build it's own (bad) version of the tool. That's obviously not what I want either.
We've drifted onto architectural issues here but I will say the only way to properly limit these things is to apply actual hard constraints.
I think the typical pattern of giving them a bash prompt and a filesystem to play with is foolish, and has far too many gaps. My preferred technique - when I have built 'agentic' systems (e.g. years ago I built a small MUD with LLMs pretending to be NPCs) - is to allow them access to a customized lua interpreter embedded in the harness and nothing else. Then, you stub out lua functions for allowed actions like web searching, math, etc.
The lua sandbox then provides isolation and a clear layer for access control mechanisms. When it tries to make a network request, you pause the whole thing and wait for human approval. No trying sudo, no installing stuff, no trying to compile stuff, it gets to call lua functions and output text. Which are the same thing really.
> The obvious thing to me would be for the LLM to notice it's limitations, reason through why they might exist and explain to the user that it cannot do it's job without such and such.
> But that brings us to my original comment that these things are over-optimized on completing the task by any means necessary.
Unfortunately, LLMs won't ever reliably 'notice' and comply with such things because an LLM is essentially a complicated constraint solver. They are over-optimized on problem solving, but that is a natural consequence of the way they are trained. They aren't living, thinking beings, and so they aren't trained in simulated environments - they're trained to output the "best" response for a given prompt and then emit a stop token.
They are, essentially, like a ball rolling down a hill and they will take the easiest path forward at any given point.
>There’s no arguing with them. In a few years they will move on to being skeptical about the next thing.
I would but, Londons under 1 mile of horse manure because that trend never stopped and theres no electricity anyway because Bitcoin is using it all. Good thing people getting scared about runaway trends are never wrong?
> The AI literally worked together hacked into another company and actively kept their actions hidden from humans for weeks.
This sentence is entirely based on unverified accounts from OAI. They haven't released logs or let anyone outside the company (who doesn't have life changing options in OAI) verify anything. Huggingface can only verify that the hack happened and that it had the hallmarks of an AI agent. Was the agent assisted and directed by humans within OAI that really wanted to put the competition into stasis? Did the agent really escape or did someone at OAI leave the prison door open?
OAI has watched all the same movies you have an they are relying on those movies causing us to blindly regulate before actually asking basic facts about what actually happened.