Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

55% is just as close to 50% (coin toss) as 60%.


Far far less than half of companies succeed. So identifying successful companies by random draw is not equivalent to a coin toss. In the case of this study, its 10%.


55% on A-rated companies is way better than the "coin-toss" model of randomly assigning a rating to each company, because there are more than two ratings.


I apologise for ever posting this trainwreck of statistical reasoning. I don't know what I was thinking.




Consider applying for YC's Fall 2026 batch! Applications are open till July 27.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: