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All of the increase is from energy. Oil prices.
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For your interpretation:

All items: +0.5% monthly; +4.2% year-over-year.

Energy: +3.9% monthly; +23.5% year-over-year.

Gasoline: +7.0% monthly; +40.5% year-over-year.

Fuel oil: +58.9% year-over-year.

Electricity: +0.6% monthly; +5.9% year-over-year.

Utility natural gas: -0.5% monthly; +3.0% year-over-year.

Food overall: +0.2% monthly; +3.1% year-over-year.

Food at home / groceries: +0.1% monthly.

Food away from home / restaurants: +0.3% monthly.

Nonalcoholic beverages: +0.6% monthly.

Cereals and bakery products: +0.4% monthly.

Fruits and vegetables: +0.2% monthly.

Dairy: -0.6% monthly.

Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: -0.2% monthly.

Core CPI / all items less food and energy: +0.2% monthly; +2.9% year-over-year.

Shelter overall: +0.3% monthly.

Rent: +0.4% monthly.

Owners’ equivalent rent: +0.3% monthly.

Lodging away from home: +0.4% monthly.

Communication: +1.3% monthly.

Airline fares: +2.7% monthly.

Personal care: +1.0% monthly.

Recreation: +0.3% monthly.

Apparel: +0.3% monthly.

Used cars and trucks: +0.1% monthly.

Medical care: +0.3% monthly.

Hospital services: +0.7% monthly.

Motor vehicle insurance: -1.7% monthly.

Household furnishings and operations: -0.6% monthly.

New vehicles: -0.3% monthly.

Prescription drugs: -0.9% monthly.


At least raw milk is getting cheaper

Na, the hospital/medical care that comes along with it has gone up.

And eggs! Don't forget about the eggs!

My chicken tending has fallen to barely break-even on an EBIDTA basis.

Raw milk is hazardous

Per the link, food is up 3.1% and everything else 2.9%. So energy pulled inflation up from about 3% to about 4%, but that's not "all of the increase"

>Per the link, food is up 3.1%

But if you look at the sibling comment, all of that came from "Food away from home ". In other words, it's all because of takeout/restaurants, not groceries. Those were actually dragging inflation down.


Energy going up drives evrything up, including food. Everything we do depends on energy in many different ways.

It's possible for energy to be behind the rises in other cost, but the data presented here gives no evidence for or against that possibility.

It obviously is part of the rises in other cost. We can argue how large a part, but I cannot imagine a world where they are unrelated

How much of the food cost (and everything else) is tied to the increase in diesel prices? Do they adjust that out?

Distributor fuel costs are a really small part of the food price, with the notable exception of things that are bulky and full of air like Cheerios. The overwhelming fuel component of grocery consumption, by a margin so large you can consider it to be 100%, is the consumer's fuel. Driving 5 miles to an American grocery store to buy a few pounds of food is the most absurd scheme ever hatched. Having your groceries delivered by a van on a route is much more efficient but, perversely, by internalizing the last mile fuel cost that would show up as higher prices for food in aggregate inflation statistics.

I meant more in general. For food, what about fertilizer which has spiked?

That's a good question. If I was looking into it, I would look at farm gate prices for various farm products, that the USDA collects. For example, prices received for grains: https://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Agricultural_Price...

It's not just due to energy, at least not directly. Core CPI (ex-food and energy) has been increasing monotonically since February:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFENS#


Some businesses use that as cover to increase prices even when their costs may not have actually been affected by the price of energy. Never waste an opportunity to put the big squeeze on.

Steadily rising prices will be the norm from now on. What will be interesting to see is how fast the corporate elite figure they can boil the frogs without them noticing too much.

$50.00 hotdog is coming.


Is this of any significance? I would imagine most people are like me: we shop based on quality and price and where we want something on that curve. Whether someone raises the price on me “because of inflation” or “because we want to make more money” is indistinguishable.

A rationale for the price rarely affects my choice. If I don’t want to buy something for a price, explaining that the guy won’t be able to survive without pricing it that high won’t get me to buy it. If I do want to buy something for a price, explaining that a guy is charging a hefty profit won’t get me to not buy it.

The only thing that will get me to buy it or not buy it is if it is at the point on the price/quality frontier where I want it.


> A rationale for the price rarely affects my choice.

This would make you the exception. Companies are constantly increasing prices to see how much they can charge consumers before they feel cheated and stop buying and/or enough customers get priced out to hurt profits.

Consumers tend to feel ripped off if they think a price increase was due to greed but are way more forgiving if they think the price increase was needed because of something outside of a company's control. That's why companies are quick to tell consumers that rising prices are due to things like fuel prices, bird flu, or supply chain problems.

Of course, that tactic isn't as effective as it used to be since consumers have seen companies using those excuses and feed them lines like "We're all in this together!" while those same companies report skyrocketing profits and they've watched as prices remained high or even increased even after the blamed fuel prices dropped and supply chain issues resolved.


You're treating what the consumer believes and what is the case as if they were synonymous. How able is a consumer on the street to judge whether a price increase is legitimate or arbitrary? "Feeling ripped off" sounds more like a post hoc rationalization that's applied when a price is pushed just past the threshold.

"Feeling ripped off" is the immediate reaction to sticker shock. It takes active messaging from companies to get ahead of that reaction and plant in the mind of the consumer a justification that they'll think is fair. Companies have gotten very good about pushing their narrative to the public via social media, news, and even retail signage. Some companies have just outright lied about the reasons behind their price hikes or about how much they were actually impacted by real events, so what consumers are tricked into believing isn't always the truth.

Consumers typically have an idea of what something is worth though, usually based on previous prices. This isn't a problem when prices increase slowly because for every old person who thinks "What a scam! This used to cost 65 cents and now they want $1!" there is a child who never knew any better and for them the cost was always around $1. When prices increase too much or too quickly however that's when people get upset and assume greed unless they are primed to accept it with some excuse. This is especially true when consumers are struggling with high prices while hearing that the companies raising prices, switching to lower quality ingredients, or charging more while giving less are also making record-breaking profits.


When prices increase too much or too quickly however that's when people get upset and assume greed unless they are primed to accept it with some excuse.

Yeah, and then what do they do? I assume they don't stop buying groceries because they're pissed about the assumed greed. Do you really think people are switching grocery stores because they think Kroger is being greedy, but Safeway is altruistic and just raising their prices because of inflation?


They still need to buy food, but when the price of something goes up too fast they look for cheaper alternatives to what they normally buy or just stop buying certain things entirely. It's rare the cost for the cost of everything to spike all at the same time. It's happened before though when fuel prices were really high, it happened during the early days of the covid pandemic, and it's happening now with inflation being the excuse.

When the cost of everything goes up like it has now people actually do change their habits and shop at different stores looking for better prices (walmart, aldi, costco) when they have the option.

"More than 8 in 10 Americans changed how they buy groceries last year. They hunted for sales, switched to cheaper brands and stopped buying goods they once considered essential." (https://fooddrinklife.com/inflation-grocery-shopping/)

See also: https://www.savings.com/insights/80-percent-us-adults-cut-ba...


I don't get it. Do Americans not get inflation/COL corrections by default in their salaries? Inflation drives the price of everything up, including salaries. If that doesn't happen then it's not inflation, it's just salary cuts across the board.

This cannot be emphasized enough. The rise in egg prices was such a thing. Avian flu was an impact, but not to the degree that egg prices increased. Those producers are reporting record profits.

A small number of companies control the meat supply in the United States. If you decide that you don't want to buy that $50 hot dog, you likely won't have many comparable options.

Agreed, which is one reason (there are others) why restaurants are disappearing.



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