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I've seen behavior on some "other" social news-type sites that suggests that there is a huge psychological gap between 1 and -1 karma on a comment. It seems that the first few downmods on anything greatly increase the likelihood that the comment will get downmodded again because the groupthink factor comes into play. Thankfully, on HN I think we tend to have more independent thinkers so it is somewhat less of an issue.


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