Sure, it is not as edgy Arch or something, but unless you have your own mirror, your stuff can be broken at any time.
To be fair, they are _usually_ pretty good about that, the last big breakage I've seen was that git "security" fix which basically broke git commands as root. There is also some problems with Ubuntu LTS kernel upgrades, but docker won't save you here, you need to use something like AMI images.
The irony is that the majority of docker images are built from the same packages and break all the same. But in your eyes, `apt install package` is bad but `RUN apt install package` inside a `Dockerfile` somehow makes it reproducible. I suspect you are confusing "having an artifact" with "reproducible builds" [1]. Having a docker image as an artifact is the same as having tar/zip with your application and its dependencies or having a filesystem snapshot or having VM image like AMI/OVM/VMDK. You can even have a deb file with all your dependencies vendored in.