So what? A broken clock is still right twice a day.
My point is: are there more false positives or false negatives?
You're also cherry picking. Even with AI there are pretty high profile people saying it's a fad as well as pretty high profile people saying it's going to kill us all.
Look at crypto. WAS it hype? Clearly. Don't tell me the price of bitcoin, tell me how the technology actually changed the world. Tell me how it did even a tenth of what the crypto bros promised.
Look at VR. Don't tell me how much you like the latest Quest, tell me how many people are in the metaverse. Tell me how many people even own a VR system. Tell me how the tech achieved a hundredth of what was promised.
Look at Segway. When was the last time you even saw one? Have you ever even used one? How many people even know what they are?
It doesn't matter if your prediction is right if it is 1 in 1000. The Simpson has a better batting record than that and they aren't even trying. What matters is consistent predictions. Even if you believe this time is different I don't know how you can not understand why people are skeptical. In the last decade we watched people become billionaires off of VR and crypto.
Even if AI is different, people are being glamorized for their experience in crypto and VR as reasons for why they'll be successful in AI. If you believe in AI then why wouldn't you see this as a fox in the chicken coup?
Those people didn't make their billions through technology, they made their billions through hype.
You can believe AI is a bubble and full of hype even if you believe the technology has a lot of uses. It's a lot easier to build hype around a grain of truth than a complete fabrication.
My point is: are there more false positives or false negatives?
You're also cherry picking. Even with AI there are pretty high profile people saying it's a fad as well as pretty high profile people saying it's going to kill us all.
Look at crypto. WAS it hype? Clearly. Don't tell me the price of bitcoin, tell me how the technology actually changed the world. Tell me how it did even a tenth of what the crypto bros promised.
Look at VR. Don't tell me how much you like the latest Quest, tell me how many people are in the metaverse. Tell me how many people even own a VR system. Tell me how the tech achieved a hundredth of what was promised.
Look at Segway. When was the last time you even saw one? Have you ever even used one? How many people even know what they are?
It doesn't matter if your prediction is right if it is 1 in 1000. The Simpson has a better batting record than that and they aren't even trying. What matters is consistent predictions. Even if you believe this time is different I don't know how you can not understand why people are skeptical. In the last decade we watched people become billionaires off of VR and crypto.
Even if AI is different, people are being glamorized for their experience in crypto and VR as reasons for why they'll be successful in AI. If you believe in AI then why wouldn't you see this as a fox in the chicken coup?
Those people didn't make their billions through technology, they made their billions through hype.
You can believe AI is a bubble and full of hype even if you believe the technology has a lot of uses. It's a lot easier to build hype around a grain of truth than a complete fabrication.