I disagree. I've modeled it. If 500+ of these cars go from SF to LA on a weekend, it's going to be utter chaos. One pump at one service station servicing 500+ cars is barely a win on the SF to LA route for gasoline, so it's beyond incredulous to think that charging stations that take at least 10 times longer are going to change that or make the economics even remotely desirable from a business standpoint.
I am a firm believer in "the medium is the message." For 15 years before the iPhone, Microsoft parroted your comment above almost exactly about smartphones and tablets, needing to hit "critical mass". It didn't happen. They had a shitty UI, and people didn't want to develop for it, and so people didn't buy their hardware.
Simply. Batteries are very expensive. They are not going down in price like transitors, not even linearly with a reasonable slope. We are already at 'economies of scale,' due to the electronics industry. ( you can think of the electric packs, as N MBP batteries strung together ) Batteries will always be the most expensive part of the car ( it's like buying 80% of all the gasoline your car will ever need when you purchase it initially, rather than incrementally over the life-time of the car ). Charging stations are both too dangerous and too expensive to implement for even 1% of vehicles to be electric. It will be like parking spaces, but much more expensive. The only solution for EVs, on technology even on the horizon, is battery exchange systems.
I believe Elon could do it, if anyone can, but not with how Tesla is set up now.
I am a firm believer in "the medium is the message." For 15 years before the iPhone, Microsoft parroted your comment above almost exactly about smartphones and tablets, needing to hit "critical mass". It didn't happen. They had a shitty UI, and people didn't want to develop for it, and so people didn't buy their hardware.
Simply. Batteries are very expensive. They are not going down in price like transitors, not even linearly with a reasonable slope. We are already at 'economies of scale,' due to the electronics industry. ( you can think of the electric packs, as N MBP batteries strung together ) Batteries will always be the most expensive part of the car ( it's like buying 80% of all the gasoline your car will ever need when you purchase it initially, rather than incrementally over the life-time of the car ). Charging stations are both too dangerous and too expensive to implement for even 1% of vehicles to be electric. It will be like parking spaces, but much more expensive. The only solution for EVs, on technology even on the horizon, is battery exchange systems.
I believe Elon could do it, if anyone can, but not with how Tesla is set up now.