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> The peace deal will very likely force Ukraine and consequently its allies to recognize acquisitions at least de facto

Who is forcing it, Russia? lmao





There’s no one else to force anything in that deal.

Russia had a military coup 2 years ago, the regime can collapse at any moment, they're in no position to force anything on anyone.

There was no military coup 2 years ago, just a failed mercenary raid in which the army was not even involved. Leaders of that raid are now dead. It was an interesting moment in history, but it actually demonstrated resilience of the regime.

>the regime can collapse at any moment

How exactly? What evidence do you have for it? All even marginally visible opposition is pushed out of the country and became irrelevant, some are dead, many convicted in absentia to decade-long prison sentences. Mass protests are rare and practically never challenge the order, mainly aiming at some local problems. From economic perspective there are some problems, but as a matter of fact inequality is now lower than before the war thanks to generous payouts to veterans and their families, who may have never seen that money in their life.




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