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Sigmoid (or the logistic function specifically rather) is exponential until you get close to the "turning point" (or rather, its growth bounded from below by an exponential). It's as you approach that point that it becomes linear, and after that its growth decays.

However you are sort of right that "churn" does not necessarily have to do with it being sigmoid because it will be anyway. It may be bring it earlier if the churn rate surpasses the user growth, but that's probably not important here.




If the churn rate surpasses user growth, you won't go sigmoid, you'll stay exponential. You'll just be shrinking instead of growing. To be sigmoid, you need the growth rate to vary.




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