Taxes as a % of GDP have been relatively flat over the last 60 years, and on average have been lower over the last 25 years so claiming the government or "entitlements" are the culprit doesn't scan.
Claims that the market has become less free are perfectly baseless and a non sequitur here as even if that claim was true and verifiable it does nothing to explain the decline of the middle class or why increases in GDP aren't reflected in either household buying power or real wages.
Have you counted state & local taxes, as well as the deficit? All those count. Washington State has heaped on a lot of new taxes in the last few years. California has done even worse.
> Claims that the market has become less free are perfectly baseless
So the mountains of new regulations have no effect?
Consider all the thousands of burned out houses in LA. So far, only 4 building permits have been issued.
In Seattle, constant burdens by the City Council heaped on the rental business have driven out a lot of landlords (things such as free lawyers for tenants), resulting in a shortage of affordable housing. Those don't show up as government spending, but they retard the market anyway.
The deficit should count, but since Federal taxes haven't been increased to service it it doesn't, so there is that. Likewise, CA and WA are what they are, but I think it's a bit of a stretch to suggest they're so central to the US economy that their local tax structure is driving tracked changes to household income and savings, real wages, inflation, etc. metrics on a national level. Additionally relatively recent changes in these states do nothing to explain flat wages and the declining middle class over the last 50 years.
"So the mountains of new regulations have no effect?"
Difficult to say until there's a few specific examples to examine. I've just spent the last half hour digging around for evidence that suggests there's been a spike in enforcement actions by the government at any point in the last three presidential terms and I'm not coming up with anything so until some evidence surfaces I'm going with probably not.
As for local goings on in LA and Seattle, neither are "the market". This isn't the first time I've been exposed to the apparent self-absorption of West Coast politics but I gotta tell you, y'all aren't the singularity around which the US economy or global markets pivots around. That'd be the oil and gas industry.
> The deficit should count, but since Federal taxes haven't been increased to service it it doesn't, so there is that
Inflation is the result of the deficit, and it is the equivalent of a tax. This is why politicians work so hard to deny that inflation comes from the deficit.
Want more examples of burdensome regulation? Try Lina Kahn of the FTC with her frivolous (but very expensive) lawsuits. Regulation is why the California high speed rail failed to be built, and why Biden's big spending program to install car charging stations resulted in zero chargers being built. Nearly every aspect of a car is subject to regulation, which is why they pretty much all look the same (unlike the variety in earlier years). EV regulation have been resulted in massive costs for the auto industry.
As for oil and gas, Biden blocked the pipelines that would have saved a ton of money.
The only unregulated market in the US is the software industry. And look how spectacularly successful it has been!! Prices have been driven down to literally zero! I'm in the software business, and I do not need approvals, permits, licenses, or any regulations pertaining to the software I write and sell.
Price inflation is the result of the explicit government policy that says price inflation must happen, and that enough new money will be created (monetary inflation) to make it happen. The part of the deficit that is debt owed to non-government entities is those entities wanting the large-scale equivalent of a savings account, and is not any more inflationary than a savings account. The part of the deficit that is "debt owed to the Fed" is monetary inflation. The other nongovernmental "debt owed to the Fed" like home mortgages is also monetary inflation. If the monetary inflation from that part of the deficit did not occur, then the Fed's technocratic mandate would be to lower rates even further to send even more new money to the banking industry so that price inflation would still occur.
This is the dynamic we've been suffering for the past 40+ years of fake "fiscal responsibility", that has seen the government starved of being able to spend for deliberate purposes like mitigating the damage to our industrial base from offshoring. Meanwhile all that monetary inflation still had to occur, so most of that money was just dumped into the banking sector. This mainly bid up the asset bubble, but to close the feedback loop that new money still has to get back to the consumer price index. This happens through consumer goods that can be financialized (housing, cars, insurance, education). Which is why those things have shot up in price - to bring up the average while manufactured goods have continued to go down in inflation-adjusted terms.
I've engaged with you on economic topics in the past and I've just read this thread. Suffice it to say you have some relatively unorthodox perspectives on economics and regulation so I was wondering -- What regulations if any do you consider necessary?
Consider the vast increase in government spending and entitlements.
As for the declines, the US free market has steadily become less and less free market.