You want to block subjectivity? Write some formulas.
There are three questions to consider:
a) Have we, without any reasonable doubt, hit a wall for AI development? Emphasis on "reasonable doubt". There is no reasonable doubt that the Earth is roughly spherical. That level of certainty.
b) Depending on your answer for (a), the next question to consider is if we the humans have motivations to continue developing AI.
c) And then the last question: will AI continue improving?
If taken as boolean values, (a), (b) and (c) have a truth table with eight values, the most interesting row being false, true, true: "(not a) and b => c". Note the implication sign, "=>". Give some values to (a) and (b), and you get a value for (c).
There are more variables you can add to your formula, but I'll abstain from giving any silly examples. I, however, think that the row (false, true, false) implied by many commentators is just fear and denial. Fear is justified, but denial doesn't help.
If you're gonna formulate this conversation as a satisfiability problem you should be aware that this is an NP-complete problem (and actually working on that problem is the source of the insight that there is such as thing as NP-completeness).
There are three questions to consider:
a) Have we, without any reasonable doubt, hit a wall for AI development? Emphasis on "reasonable doubt". There is no reasonable doubt that the Earth is roughly spherical. That level of certainty.
b) Depending on your answer for (a), the next question to consider is if we the humans have motivations to continue developing AI.
c) And then the last question: will AI continue improving?
If taken as boolean values, (a), (b) and (c) have a truth table with eight values, the most interesting row being false, true, true: "(not a) and b => c". Note the implication sign, "=>". Give some values to (a) and (b), and you get a value for (c).
There are more variables you can add to your formula, but I'll abstain from giving any silly examples. I, however, think that the row (false, true, false) implied by many commentators is just fear and denial. Fear is justified, but denial doesn't help.