No, this is all your assumption lol. Sales are "tanking" due to the model Y rollout, which was best selling car in the world last 2 years at roughly double the cost of the 2nd best selling car.
I’ve seen other people say that and frankly I’m skeptical. Tesla is firmly past the “techie only“ crowd.
I suspect the majority of their sales are the kind of “normal“ people who aren’t looking to wait for the next refresh and just want to buy a car right now cause they need one.
Are some people waiting for the refresh to be available to them? Sure. Enough to take sales everywhere? I seriously doubt it. I suspect the vast majority of their buyers wouldn’t even know a refresh was coming.
But we’ll find out pretty fast won’t we. If sales pick up back to normal pretty quickly then maybe you’re right.
But if they keep slumping further and further then the refresh argument will start to lose a lot of credibility.