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It's a stretch in the sense that I exclude people who don't see/accept/care for the situation even if it's provided to them with scientific proof. After all quite a few people simply don't give a shit about politics or are just illogical.

In the US the picture is generally unclear. You have a big direction change in maybe the most influential country in the world and I believe everyone without learning difficulty realizes the situation is unpredictable since it's changing significantly on a weekly basis.

The confidence in comments is not people being convinced they can read the future but positions of confusion being unworthy of sharing causing everyone to present theories as facts.

Also hyperboles. Plenty of hyperboles going around to push the needle further in the direction you want it to go. You'll see topics about muslims "conquering" Europe and calling for a race cleansing written by people who fucking hang with the homie Mahmood but want to display their dissatisfaction with the general situation online and hence say some dumb shit.

Anyway, I believe the US is a bad example at the moment because the situation is very volatile and I believe no one can tell what will happen. I believe a situation being unknown is viable and that a lot of the discussion on it mentions how unpredictable it all is with a side note on confident extreme predictions IMO being a cry for a stronger move of the needle in a certain direction via either propaganda botting, irrational people or, most often, hyperboles.



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