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tl; dr -- "Pinning Last Night’s Disaster On Diversity Hiring Is Unsupportable"


I'm sure this is multifactorial and the other factors are probably as or more important, but especially if you are familiar with the very egregious specifics of the FAA diversity hiring scandal (https://www.tracingwoodgrains.com/p/the-faas-hiring-scandal-...), "is unsupportable" here is a strong claim that is playing the classic and well-worn role that "there's no evidence" often does in bad journalism: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-phrase-no-evidence-is-a...


I dug into one of the claims in the blog, and as far as I can tell, he's completely misinterpreting the evidence. The blog says:

> An FAA employee and then-president of the NBCFAE's Washington Suburban chapter, provided NBCFAE members with "buzz words" in January 2014 that would automatically push their resumes to the tops of HR files.

It's true that this person said that in the email, but if you actually look at the list of buzzwords, it's clear that this person was bullshitting and inflating his own importance (or maybe just fundamentally misunderstanding something). The list is on the last page of this document: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/17Vi9dDtZvbwHDafrygRG... It looks like it's a page that was photocopied from a book about how to write a resume. It's a list of dozens of incredibly generic verbs like "manage", "analyze", "administer", "make", "improve", "design", etc. pretty much any resume will have at least some of these verbs. There's just no way you could build a system that would use these verbs to secretly screen in resumes of people who are in the know because everyone uses these verbs. A far more plausible explanation is that this guy was trying to make himself sound more powerful than eh really was.

The email this person sent is awful, but it seems to be one person's very misguided attempt to push an agenda, not some sort of secret plot by FAA.


You are conflating multiple different instances of current FAA employees providing outside racial identity groups with both hard and soft answer keys, the buzzword filter was just the first stage.

Later and probably most egregiously, there was a completely nonsensical and arbitrary biographical questionnaire which was scored like:

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.182...

    15. The high school subject in which I received my lowest grades was:
    A. SCIENCE (+15)
    B. MATH (0)
    C. ENGLISH (0)
    D. HISTORY/SOCIAL SCIENCES (0)
    E. PHYSICAL EDUCATION (0)

    16. Of the following, the college subject in which I received my lowest grades was:
    A. SCIENCE (0)
    B. MATH (0)
    C. ENGLISH (0)
    D. HISTORY/POLITICAL SCIENCE (+15)
    E. DID NOT ATTEND COLLEGE (0)

    29. My peers would probably say that having someone criticize my performance (i.e. point out a mistake) bothers me:
    A. MUCH LESS THAN MOST (+8)
    B. SOMEWHAT LESS THAN MOST (+4)
    C. ABOUT THE SAME AS MOST (+8)
    D. SOMEWHAT MORE THAN MOST (0)
    E. MUCH MORE THAN MOST (+10)
where current FAA employees, again, distributed the exact answer key to outside racial identity groups to give to their members.


If the buzzwords that Snow provided turned out to just be something he pulled from a resume book rather than insider information, why should we believe that the answer keys were any more accurate?


Look at the exam and scoring rubric: https://kaisoapbox.com/projects/faa_biographical_assessment/

Look at questions 29 and 33. The first (about whether negative feedback bothers you) is a plausible question but the grading is completely nonsensical. The second question, about art/dance classes you took in college, is nonsensical both as to the question and the answers. These seem obviously designed to be gamed with secret information.

This was used as a mandatory screen for several years. The FAA didn’t fix it, Congress found out and banned it. How many people at the FAA saw this and green lighted it?


I found the question and answer weights as well as some primary source documents on the methodology in the court file.

My interpretation is that this was not "obviously designed to be gamed with secret information", it was just bad methodology. They had a goal of screening out 70% of applicants, but the remaining 30% of applicants needed to have a demographic balance that would not constitute a disparate impact, and they had to do this in a legally defensible way. Working backwards from that goal, they took biographical data that they had collected in the 80s and 90s and constructed a test program that, they believed, would give them the result they wanted. So if the answer weights are logically nonsensical, it's not because they were building in a secret password, it's because that's what happens when you build a model that's overfit on a small number of datapoints.

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.182...

https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/4542755/139/24/brigida-...


Wow. I thought I remembered something like that but I thought it sounded too extreme and wouldn't be easily supportable, so I left it out of my other comment. So this test:

1) was designed to statistically select for members of favored identity groups and against members of disfavored identity groups, and not in any way to measure ATC job aptitude, resulting in highly-scored questions like "The high school subject in which I received my lowest grades was" where the only correct answer was "Science", and failing the test disqualified you permanently

and

2) current FAA employees distributed the exact answer key to outside racial identity organizations to give to their members


What were they fitting for?


What is your source for how the biographical assessment was graded? If you read the tracingwoodgrains blog post, he is saying that Shelton Snow, the guy from the association of black employees left voicemails telling people what the correct answers to the biographical assessment questions were. But if you read my comment above, this person seems to have been pretending to have insider knowledge and access - the secret buzzwords he sent around seem to just be a photocopy from a generic resume writing book. I don't think anything that Snow said about the application process can be taken at face value.

If you have another source for how the assessment was actually graded, I'd love to see it, but as far as I can tell, these claims are coming from a guy who seemed to just be making stuff up.


The scoring rubric is in the litigation documents (in the Google drive linked in the website). ECF 139-26 has one copy.


I think it's unfortunate if this is your only take away.

Two things can be true at once:

A) Diversity hiring is unrelated to the crash

B) There is a real scandal with hiring and the FAA

What I have read so far about this situation is outrageous. My understanding is that in 2014, Obama appointed a head of the FAA who wanted to diversify the workforce.

They introduced a biographical questionnaire which had rather arbitrary criteria for passing. It appears to have been explicitly designed to fail people that do not know the magical answers. The failure rate was 90%.

This is not the only example, but perhaps the most egregious questions: you are asked what your best subject was in highschool. If you answered science, you get 15 points (a substantial amount). No points for any other subject. Next, you're asked your best subject in college. If you answer history, you get 15 points. No points for any other subject.

Here is an alleged recreation of the test: https://kaisoapbox.com/projects/faa_biographical_assessment/

There are supposedly voicemails in which they helped select candidates pass this biographical questionnaire by providing their preferred race/gendered candidates with the answers. I haven't been able to find a voice mail online, but Fox Business reported that these voicemails exist.

Per a 2016 Yahoo Finance article, an internal FAA report falsely cleared the employee of wrongdoing.

It's my understanding that there is currently a lawsuit making its way through the courts regarding this. It's also my understanding that some allege that the problems are not all resolved yet with hiring, despite the questionnaire being withdrawn in 2018. I'm not sure of the specifics of how there may still be problems with hiring and the FAA.

https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1752091831095939471


From the website "The FAA has discontinued use of this Behavioural Assessment since 2018."

That was 7 years ago.


What allegedly happened at the FAA wasn’t just “let’s try to have a more diverse workforce.” It was “let’s collide with racial advocacy groups to make a test that would allow us to deny white applicants because they won’t have the secret pass words.”

Anybody who was involved in this obviously has severely compromised judgment. Who can trust anything else they did?


From what I can tell from reading the exhibits in the court case, that's not what happened. This is a case of overfitting, rather than a conspiracy to create a process with "secret pass words".

They wanted to create a process that would not lead to disparate impacts, but would also give them competent controllers. So they took the biographical data that they had collected in the 80s and 90s and constructed a test such that the output of the test would give them the result that they wanted. This is clearly dumb, and they ended up with a model that was overfit to the old data and didn't generalize (or even make much logical sense). Likely there were a tiny number of black controllers when they gathered the biographical data, so those few data points, and their idiosyncrasies, had a large impact on the answer weights that they generated, making the model weird and pretty nonsensical.

It's not a conspiracy, it's just bad methodology in service of a dubious goal.


This is not just "bad methodology in service of dubious goal". It's blatantly illegal, and not just by weak "disparate impact" standard. According to disparate impact standard, procedures that result in disparate outcomes between protected classes are illegal, even if causing these outcomes was not the intent of the policy. Here, the disparate impact was not just unintended side effect, it was the deliberate goal. They deliberately constructed the test to discriminate based on race. This is even ignoring the alleged cases of insiders leaking answer key to some applicants.


Both of those links come from that same person, tracewoodgrains, who links the documents on their google drive. Looking through the documents, it appears there was a case that happened in 2014, which was investigated in 2016. They found an FAA employee in a New York state office held a teleconference about how to apply to the open positions. People asked him questions and he answered them. The investigate was closed noting the following:

"OIG reviewed official government emails for the period January 2013 to July 2015 and did not identify any additional matters or information of specific interest to this investigation.

AEO-500’s ROI Case Number AHQ20150170 did not develop information that demonstrated HR employees gave improper advantages in processing the applications of ATCS candidates affiliated with the NBCFAE. A review of the ROI did not identify any issues that warranted additional review in this investigation.

The findings in this investigation did not warrant a referral to a federal prosecutor."

What exactly makes 'diverse' candidates more likely to answer 'science' and then 'history' on those questions? Are you saying there was a conspiracy to create hard to answer questions on the test and then give out the answers to diversity candidates?

Occam's razor says this was a bullshit 'behavioral' test that meant nothing but disqualified a lot of candidates, and someone who knew that gave others a way to bypass it to get their foot in the door in one instance.




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