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If you will try to play this game in real life, with such logic it will be easy to trick you 100% of the time.



You can write a simulation that does this (as MIT and several others have) and Monte Carlo it. You will find that the logic is 100% correct. The prize MUST be either the door you picked initially or the one you can switch to. There is a 99% chance it's not the one you picked.

https://web.mit.edu/rsi/www/2013/files/MiniSamples/MontyHall...




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