Interesting that the 30-year contract rate has declined around 150 basis points since the peak, while the federal funds rate held steady almost that entire time and only very recently received a 50 basis point cut (https://www.macrotrends.net/2015/fed-funds-rate-historical-c...). But I guess this is to be expected; clearly the market expects rates to continue drifting downward in the (generationally) long term.
Seems like a reasonable bet to me; the factors that made interest rates continue drifting downwards after the inflation problems of the early 80s had already been fixed, presumably haven't gone away.
Seems like a reasonable bet to me; the factors that made interest rates continue drifting downwards after the inflation problems of the early 80s had already been fixed, presumably haven't gone away.