but considering acceleration of scaling solar/wind/battery production & it's fast deployment, they may as well wait 5-8 years and build the stuff then. Unless they need firm power that solar+wind+battery can't provide enough unless you have huge overcapacity of all of them
> considering acceleration of scaling solar/wind/battery production & it's fast deployment, they may as well wait 5-8 years and build the stuff then
Do you have sources for your time scale?
The acceleration is massive and from a massively tiny baseline. AI is predicted to add 0.8% energy growth a year to American power use [1]; lots of that is going into gas.
> unless you have huge overcapacity of all of them
There is the political reality that what’s been built has voting employees and tangibility in a way what is to be built does not. That’s the danger in our deployment of gas turbines. If we hit an energy surplus, the first to get cut will be things not yet built, even if those are renewables. (Think: phase out of subsidies, maybe even grid charges.) Some enlightened jurisdictions will continue shutting down gas turbines to replace them with solar, maybe even nukes, but most won’t.
actually vogtle showed that unit 4 was completed faster and cheaper than unit 3. Add to that no experienced ppl for building it, foak build, unfinished design, covid. Imo new projects of ap1000 could be done significantly cheaper and faster
