I hope you're right, but many comments here on HN suggest their experience with mainframes is very different. z/OS and its predecessors provided so many services completely transparently to the application that a mainframe to modernity migration is doomed to fail unless it can completely emulate (or design around) the capabilities provided by the OS and other subsystems.
Even ignoring the needs of the super high end customers like banks (eg, cpus in lockstep for redundancy), being able to write your app and just know that inter-node message passing is guaranteed, storage I/O calls are guaranteed, failover and transaction processing is guaranteed, just raises the bar for any contender.
K8s is wonderful. Can it make all the above happen? Well, yes, given effort. If I'm the CTO of an airline, do I want to shell out money to make it happen, risk it blowing up in my face, or should I just pay IBM to keep the lights on, kick the can down the road, and divert precious capital to something with a more obvious ROI? I think their "no disasters on my watch/self preservation" instinct kicks in, and I can't really blame them.
Like anything else, some places are awesome, some not. I’ve seen both. The worst ones are just like modern places with overcustomized PeopleSoft or SAP - except the blobs of off the shelf software were purchased 30 years ago by people long dead.
Other places stopped development 20 years ago and surrounded the mainframe with now legacy middleware. A lot of the “COBOL” problems with unemployment systems during COVID were actually legacy Java crap from the early 2000s that sat between the mainframe and users.
Even ignoring the needs of the super high end customers like banks (eg, cpus in lockstep for redundancy), being able to write your app and just know that inter-node message passing is guaranteed, storage I/O calls are guaranteed, failover and transaction processing is guaranteed, just raises the bar for any contender.
K8s is wonderful. Can it make all the above happen? Well, yes, given effort. If I'm the CTO of an airline, do I want to shell out money to make it happen, risk it blowing up in my face, or should I just pay IBM to keep the lights on, kick the can down the road, and divert precious capital to something with a more obvious ROI? I think their "no disasters on my watch/self preservation" instinct kicks in, and I can't really blame them.
HN thread:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36846195