Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

Right, but when we’ve literally invented a superintelligence that we’re worried will eliminate the race,

a) we’ve done that, which is cool. Now let’s figure out how to control it.

b) you can’t get your gmail for a bit while we reboot the DC. That’s probably okay.




a) after you create the superintelligence is likely too late. You seem to think that inventing superintelligence means that we somehow understand what we created, but note that we have no idea how a simple LLM works, let alone an ASI that is presumably 5-10 OOM more complex. You are unlikely to be able to control a thing that is way smarter than you, the safest option is to steer the nature of that thing before it comes into being (or, don’t build it at all). Note that we currently don’t know how to do this, it’s what Ilya is working on. The approach from OpenAI is roughly to create ASI and then hope it’s friendly.

b) except that is not how these things go in the real world. What actually happens is that initially it’s just a risk of the agent going rogue, the CEO weighs the multi-billion dollar cost vs. some small-seeming probability of disaster and decides to keep the company running until the threat is extremely clear, which in many scenarios is too late.

(For a recent example, consider the point in the spread of Covid where a lockdown could have prevented the disease from spreading; likely somewhere around tens to hundreds of cases, well before the true risk was quantified, and therefore drastic action was not justified to those that could have pressed the metaphorical red button).




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: