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I don't know, cosmological distances might be too early for biological life to form and evolve intelligence and expand across galaxies. My understanding is that there weren't necessarily enough of the basic chemicals of life formed until relatively recently. (Phosphorus particularly is a problem, I'm less sure about the others) And doing anything visible across light years also takes a long time, especially if FTL is impossible, which it almost certainly is.



That's all true, to some extent, but at least it's not ruled out by Fermi.




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