I hope you're right but think about it like this: with a high youth unemployment and supposedly more men than women, they can throw away a couple million people.
Also them being a manufacturing powerhouse, I think they may have enough, even if they're at low point in the economic cycle.
It wouldn't be smart and even the invasion were successful, not sure what they'd gain, besides more hate from all of Southeast Asia and maybe Western sanctions.
I have family in Taiwan and I'm told their military isn't very well funded or equipped.
China can't afford to throw away only sons, and have them sink into the bottom of the ocean. Families would revolt pretty quickly. As we saw from the millions of protestors in Hong Kong in 2019, and the violent protests in Shanghai in lockdown 2023, Chinese citizens are capable of grouping together in mass numbers.
China may have the factories for manufacturing, but they need materials and money to keep a war going. That's hard when they are broke, and also supporting other dictatorships, such as Russia's war effort, Iran, North Korea.
Putin can't invade it doesn't make economic and demographic sense to my western values universal sensibilities.
Meanwhile they have regularly brushed millions of deaths under the rug,to stay in power, to save face and just propagandized that away.
Something would be won if a lesson was learned from Ukraine. The west is not universal and a deterring reaction must be tailored to the deterred, not to the deterring.
Also them being a manufacturing powerhouse, I think they may have enough, even if they're at low point in the economic cycle.
It wouldn't be smart and even the invasion were successful, not sure what they'd gain, besides more hate from all of Southeast Asia and maybe Western sanctions.
I have family in Taiwan and I'm told their military isn't very well funded or equipped.