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Urban renewal left the U.S. too scared to build (darrellowens.substack.com)
143 points by greenie_beans 20 days ago | hide | past | favorite | 168 comments



He makes a good point. Broadly, in the US, the pendulum swung from "just go build stuff and don't worry about the opposition because they don't matter" to "we have to go through 5 years of process to build a 40-unit apartment building for people to live in". There are some good reasons for some of that process, but there's a strong argument that we went too far in saying no, slowing things down and in general not building things that are beneficial to society.

And it turns out that some of that process doesn't actually help the more vulnerable groups it was intended to help, but gets hijacked by wealthy people to stop things like needed housing from going into their neighborhood.


> gets hijacked by wealthy people to stop things like needed housing from going into their neighborhood.

Everything for inducing the demand and reducing the supply. The invisible hand of extracting values at all cost.


I don’t think wealthy people are thinking too much about their property values when it comes to opposing building in their own neighborhoods. They want to maintain the social prestige they have from living somewhere fancy and they want to keep the poors away from their home.


> They want to maintain the social prestige they have from living somewhere fancy and they want to keep the poors away from their home.

.. which they will literally state in terms of property value.


Sure but what GP said and what I think is a common perception is that wealthy people oppose development because they want the value of their house to grow in the same way that you would want the value of a stock to grow. I.e. so you can turn it into more money later. I don’t think they care so much about turning it into more money later, but more about the other factors I mentioned. Of course indirectly preserving or enhancing the other factors may result in also being able to turn it into more money later, but that is not usually the goal when opposing development around one’s primary residence IMO.


I don't think property value is the root of it. Rather, property value is the polite face they put on it, while their real concern is things like crime, whether it be petty vandalism and litter or more serious crime. It might not be fair for them to associate low income housing with crime, but I think this association is intuitively obvious to many if not most of the rich people living in exclusive neighborhoods.


Crime is a factor in many cases, sure. But then so is emergency access/egress. If there is a wildfire near this neighborhood, we only have two ways out, and over 900 homes to evacuate via those two ways. Consider the traffic jams that we saw during the Steiner Ranch fire years ago.

Now, make each one of those properties dual family housing, and suddenly you’ve got twice as many people to evacuate, but you haven’t upgraded the roads or any of the other utilities. And that’s very bad news. Unfortunately, that is exactly the situation that the Austin city council has created.

Property values are certainly going to go down as they cram more and more housing into this space. But the cost will be in human lives when the wildfires do hit.

Can we prosecute our city council for manslaughter? Or even murder? How long do we have to wait for these deaths to occur, so that we can finally prosecute for them?


While there may be some material value to a property, as the saying goes: Location, location, location. In other words, it is the things like crime that ultimately define a property's value. That is why property value decline is of concern to property owners. It is all the same at the end of the day.


>> property value is the polite face they put on it, while their real concern is things like crime

It's polite to be concerned about money and impolite to be concerned about crime?


Almost all street-level crime (burglaries, robberies etc) is caused by degenerates (homeless, mentally ill, 'professional' criminals) and there's often a race component to it (even outside of the US).

You can't really talk about those things in polite company, so house prices are the euphemism used instead.


You don't think people in low income areas are concerned about crime in their neighborhoods?


I didn't say that, did I? Why do you believe I think that?


TBF you didn't say it - It appeared that way if you followed the logic at the time regarding the gp you responded to two posts up about keeping poors away.


Where did you ever see that? In particular for the actually wealthy? "Oh no, my house went from $10m to $9m, woe is me"? At most, it's a proxy for the above. As a not-so-wealthy, but well-to-do techie, for me the exclusion is absolutely about keeping poor people out. People are just too timid do admit it.

Now I do have to say as a semi-libertarian I support YIMBY, building up everything and making most zoning illegal. Sorta against my self-interest.

But at the same time, I strongly dislike US poor. It's almost an oxymoron that the more meritocratic the society, the better the sorting, and thus the worse an average non-immigrant poor people are. US, compared to most places, is pretty meritocratic. An average person at the same percentile poverty level in Russia (or, I bet, Mexico or China or Nigeria or whatever) is a much better human being than a corresponding non-immigrant in the US (any race). If the way to keep the latter out is to keep local property unaffordable, so be it. I don't really care about broad property values otherwise - I don't want to move and if I do I'd probably buy a similar house.. in fact given the transaction costs, cheaper housing may make moving cheaper.


I believe the US “poor” could be made to behave better if standards were raised (more and better policing). Nobody seems to have the stomach for that so coddling is the solution.


> social prestige they have from living somewhere fancy and they want to keep the poors away from their home.

Value doesn't only mean monetary value. Social prestige is one of the values too. And sometimes they are transferable. The invisible hand is not just about the literal money


Doesn't that seem to implicitly state that property values are precisely what they're thinking about when trying to keep the poors away? If the poors are able to move in then the value of the property must be inexpensive for them to be able to.


I've lived in two areas that this has happened, and will try to word it gently but honestly.

The neighborhood was nice, low traffic, never lock your doors(so to speak). In comes 'low income housing', ie jamming as many terrible apartment complexes as they could wherever they could.

Traffic shot way up, too much for the roads. Why would the developer care. Noise also shot up, constant noises of bass from cars at all hours. Lastly, crime shot up. I went from living almost in the middle of nowhere to having my car broken into twice in my own driveway.

Sorry all, I agree that housing is a crisis, but I no longer want dense housing anywhere near me.


You've explained the issue very well. I've tried to make similar points before. People look at a nice neighborhood and say "we should give more people this experience". But you can't - the low density is what makes it good.


I've also lived in an area that seemed to have reduced this problem by a huge factor. I lived in a community of 150 townhomes where 50% of them were Section 8 and the other 50% were privately-owned. Due to how the community was built, you could never tell which units were which.

I was able to have a 3bd/2.5ba 1,200sqft townhome for only $1,200/month. I think there was only 1 shooting in the 3 years I lived there. Yeah there was noise, but it was also a college town so that's unavoidable in the area.

It's an idea that I felt worked very well, and I really wish more cities would try it out for semi-dense housing solutions.


Where is this egalitarian place with 50% section 8 and 50% not, but built so "you could never tell which units were which?"


A community in North Charleston, SC named Horizon Village.

North Charleston (in general) is considered an unsafe area, but this community was built to battle the stigma against Section 8 housing that is very prevalent in the Charleston area. After I moved out they've continued to build out more privately-owned homes in the community. Back in 2018 rents were around $1,200 for a 3bd, but the privately-owned homes are now renting for over $3k for 3bd, and starting around $400k for sale. While the Section 8 housing is still operating as it normally does for the area with reduced costs.

It's helped to revitalize the area (take a look at Park Circle just north of the community), while ensuring that further gentrification and displacement doesn't occur like it did in the downtown Charleston Westside neighborhood.


I wish normal housing were more affordable instead.

Also, low-income housing sort of sucks. For example, in my area, some low-income apartments were recently constructed, but they do not have washer and dryer receptacles. It's not that they aren't included. You cannot even bring your own, because you won't have anything to hook them up to. Apparently, you are supposed to use the laundromat only.

But now that people with low income can live there, suddenly my complex no longer has to worry about those people, because the availability of the low-income apartments reduces the amount of people who would even consider living here. Suddenly, you're not losing potential customers by raising the price, because all the customers that you would have been losing are now all living in the low-income apartments instead.

That hurts people like me who have a higher standard of living (such as owning a washer and dryer) but still don't exactly make enough money to justify spending $2,000 a month for a two-bedroom apartment (ours is currently around $1,800). I suppose I'm the customer they'd be losing by raising the price, but the risk to them is probably still far lower now.


Great points. I've often thought the most underserved group wrt housing are the working lower middle class. Which is weird, because that's how I grew up. We had tiny houses(5 of us in a house < 900sqft), but in decent blue collar neighborhoods where everyone was respectful and getting by.

That just doesn't exist much today. You either spend more than you can afford to live with upper middle class in a house two sizes too big, or you live in shared low income apartments. They just don't build small SFH neighborhoods anymore, apparently.


They 100% do, just not where most people want to live.

I know many midwest cities with newly built small houses. Maybe not <900 sq feet. But 3-4 family bedroom houses at around 1500 sq feet. These houses are basic and inexpensive. You won't get much land either but may get a neighborhood park.


that sounds great, if they're inexpensive to buy, the only land i'd really need is the land the house is on. my hope is one day we'll have enough money to consider such a thing, probably once we make 150k+ a year, but that doesn't seem so far out of reach at the moment, could happen some time in the next 6 months

there are other constraints of course (such as isp), but right now the biggest one is that we don't have millions to spend on a single bedroom.


This isn't difficult to understand. Nobody that I know actually thinks "I like this neighborhood, I hope poor people don't come".

1. When you save your whole life for a downpayment and buy a house, you want it to at least KEEP it's value, nobody wants to buy a house and lose money. That is common sense.

2. People generally move to areas they desire for reasons. They want to also keep this the same or improve. They don't want it to deteriorate.

So now we can debate what lowers values (nominal terms) and what causes areas to be undesirable and how they get there.

What I can think of: Increases in crime, Dropping maintenance/services, increased pollution, increased noise, increased traffic etc...

Nowhere above has anything to do with "poors".


Didn’t Andreesen publish a self important manifesto about building then block local development near his home?

Such a perfect example.


It’s time to build… somewhere over there please and yes as a private market evangelist I’ll use state power against private parties to protect my interests.


In California the permit laws are aggressive and slow, so much so that it's common practice to make most modifications unpermitted. This severely limits new home supply, because permits include new homes. The solution? Federal program which gives huge subsidies to purchasing an expensive home (they give you a cut to buy the house, no interest, and they take a cut when you sell).

This is complicated by a property tax law similar to rent control, where your taxes are frozen at the time of purchase. This results in a market where few people are willing to sell and most people are unable to build. Thus rental prices in the region are dirt cheap relative to home prices, versus an appalachian town where the opposite is true.

For me, this is an example of red light cameras causing MORE accidents than without the camera because it interferes with human behavior. Specifically, the painfully slow permit process causes most building to be done unpermitted and therefore at risk of harm to human life (the purpose of the permit is to assure safety). As we know, the unspoken purpose of the red light camera is revenue, thus representing a conflict of interest between true safety and revenue, and I think a similar conflict is rotting California's real estate situation as well, in service to wealth building more than it's in service to the common man.


"Slowing things down" also directly translates to "more expensive". Both by having to hold the property in the meantime (or rights to it) - cost of money, and by having to bride layer after layer of consulted people and administrations with expensive features that even the developer and future buyers agree are not optimal, and by having to professionally manage endless extra paperwork and meetings.


> And it turns out that some of that process doesn't actually help the more vulnerable groups it was intended to help, but gets hijacked by wealthy people (...)

Welcome to London, UK


Wait what? As an American that lived in London and also NY/Chicago I always though London did mixed housing very well (but not perfect).

There are council houses spread throughout London with no real "slums" like Chicago used to have with it's public housing.


https://youtu.be/y6ADuQOXMmA?si=G-5eVxRrNnEolJrO this American does not quite agree with you.


Wait, author contrasts speed of development in China with a criticism of urban renewal in America without even addressing property rights in China? Those ultra modern subways and apartments of Chengdu didn't happen without many families being displaced.

Not to defend urban renewal, but if it had focused on railways instead of highways, I wonder if we'd be as negative today. For me, the fundamental issue is the highways that divided cities and split the populace between those who can afford cars and those who can't.


If by “divided cities” you’re referring to the physical disruption of highway construction, the same effect happened with railroads. That’s where the expression, “the wrong side of the tracks” comes from.

Also, the expression “getting railroaded” was coined by farmers to refer to the low prices they were getting paid for their produce by the railroads, who had established themselves as a monopsony by dominating freight. The construction of highways led to competition from trucks, which took away the ability of railroads to dictate low prices to farmers.

But setting aside old idioms, American cities were already shaped by the construction of railroads in the 19th century. They were certainly reshaped by the interstate highways but that was always going to be more disruptive than any sort of growth or improvement to the railroad network because it was a newer mode of infrastructure.


>> Wait, author contrasts speed of development in China with a criticism of urban renewal in America without even addressing property rights in China? Those ultra modern subways and apartments of Chengdu didn't happen without many families being displaced

Why are there "nail houses" (see https://www.theguardian.com/cities/gallery/2014/apr/15/china...) in China but not the US? In almost all of those examples, a similar property owner in the US would have been forced to give up their property under imminent domain.



Oops.

If it had focused on railways instead of highways we wouldn't see it as that negative, because rail lines already existed and widening that would have little impact.

And rail is incredibly more efficient, you need very little space to transport a gigantic amount of people.

This is especially true for interchanges, highway interchanges are freaking gigantic. Railway interchanges are cooperatively tiny.

For railway you wouldn't need nearly as much removal, and a railway is far, far easier to cross then a highway. You can start with at grade crossings early on and then overtime add grade separation. Grade separation is much cheaper for a railway.

Or you can build the whole railway above or below grade quite reasonably.

This rail line here can beat most giant US urban highways, Zürich Switzerland: https://ibb.co/sv8tzYK

With cut and cover, you can pretty cheaply build a railway and then build new building above, where the same people who live there before can live.

> For me, the fundamental issue is the highways that divided cities and split the populace between those who can afford cars and those who can't.

So by that logic it good to build highways, as long as the government also makes sure that everybody has a car?

If everybody can use the least space and energy efficient method to get around, surely we have great solution.


> And rail is incredibly more efficient, you need very little space to transport a gigantic amount of people.

I'd also like to note that overall capacity is sensitive to how big each train is and how fast it moves etc.

There are certain lingering, er, unserious yet overhyped proposals out there for systems using many low-capacity pods, but because you need some sort of safe separation between them it tanks the capacity. (Unless you run them in an unsafe way that will eventually kill thousands of people in compound pile-ups.)


Of course, Im talking about actual trains that exist. Not some random pod system based on power point slides.

The point is a railline can handle lots of people. If it does depends on it being used in a reasonable way.


> you need very little space to transport a gigantic amount of people

But you need to force people go to the same destination. And quit shopping or getting their children to school or do sightseeing.


[flagged]


> This is the S1 in Berlin

The vast majority of people in the US do not live in places that are at all comparable to Berlin, or NYC for that matter.

> Shopping should be local,

Which means that you're limited to what's popular enough in your local area. And, it usually leads to small stores, which are inherently less efficient and thus more expensive.

> The US model of consolidating all schools into superschools and the move them deep into the subburbs surounded by parking lots is literally the worst.

Suburbs have schools because suburbs have lots of kids. FWIW, there is a tendency for folks to move from cities to suburbs when they have kids.

That said, city kids go to city schools. Yes, there is some "city schools are so horrible that we'll let some city kids go elsewhere" but it's [1] in the noise and [2] caused by crappy city schools/govts, not urban design.

Crappy city govts cause lots of problems, not just crappy schools, but if those govts could be easily fixed, it would have happened. (FWIW, almost all of those crappy city govts have been super-majority Democrat for decades.)

> Sightseeing, how else would you go sightseeing if not with the train. I dont get it. Would any place you want to go to be just full of parking lots?

No.

You're assuming that every place you go sightseeing has lots of people. That might be true in Europe, but it's not true in the US.


> The vast majority of people in the US do not live in places that are at all comparable to Berlin, or NYC for that matter.

I was illustrating that trains can stop in multiple places.

And this is true in lower density places too. For example here in Switzerland you have mountains, and trains go along the valley.

There are plenty of good examples of train in lower density areas. And they use many of the same principles. I used to live next to a Unisco World Heritage site that has a train threw it and the train stopped at most villages many that only have a few 1000 people.

Here a video that shows how things can work: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8T8cYJCFbno

> Which means that you're limited to what's popular enough in your local area. And, it usually leads to small stores, which are inherently less efficient and thus more expensive.

Yeah because US supermarkets are famous for their wide selection of very diverse products from all over the world. Its not like what those stores are actually full of are like 500 different breakfast cereals from the same 2 companies.

Small stores being less efficient is only true if you only look at the store itself. If you look at the overall system they are more efficient. The lower prices some of these super stores offer are because they just externalize to costs to local infrastructure and local government.

The reality is taking in more people from a large amounts of subburbs isn't going to radically derisive the product portfolio.

The reality is 95%+ of your daily needs can easily be served from a reasonably sized local market. Here those kinds of small stores have their own cheese, meat, fish and fresh bread section. I rather go to such a store here then these superstores that I have been to in the US.

> Suburbs have schools because suburbs have lots of kids. FWIW, there is a tendency for folks to move from cities to suburbs when they have kids.

I'm not against school in the subburbs. My point was, and this is a historical fact. School got massively bigger and less local. You can have many smaller schools in the subburbs as well. But because of 'efficiency' things were consolidated into these mega schools. Meaning the avg travel distance to schools went up a huge amount, meaning far fewer kids could walk or cycle.

And because of that it was also incredibly dangerous for kids to do that so it basically forced everybody to take the car.

Its a complete desaster in terms of everything from efficiency to health. And it has not actually made providing education cheaper or better.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/09/school-car...

> [1] in the noise

Cities aren't load, cars are loud. It being loud is literally an urban design issue.

> [2] caused by crappy city schools/govts

They are crappy partly because of the general attitude towards city and how transportation funding and school financing works in the US. Again that is an urban design issue.

> Crappy city govts cause lots of problems, not just crappy schools, but if those govts could be easily fixed, it would have happened.

What a great attitude to have. Society can never ever improve. If it could improve it would have already improved. We are all doomed. The West is going to shit. Balblabla.

Its just literally and factually wrong.

https://99percentinvisible.org/app/uploads/2023/03/then-now-...

Cities and human systems always evolve.

There are lots of places in the US where things are improving as well.

> No.

> You're assuming that every place you go sightseeing has lots of people. That might be true in Europe, but it's not true in the US.

You simply can't deny that lots of places that are famous for sightseeing have lots of cars and lots of parking. Sure not every place has it, but plenty do. And guess what, its the places that actually have the most people going to.

I'm sure you can go to some place in Alaska that is beautiful, but that that not where most people actually go on vacation. And its not where most ultra individualistic US car users drive their cars too.

Where people actually drive too, is almost always a well prepared place connected to a highway with lots of parking provided.

Its a simple fact that lots of beautiful places that we currently reach with trains or bus would be much, much worse if there was no public transport to it.


> And rail is incredibly more efficient, you need very little space to transport a gigantic amount of people.

Assuming everyone is going the same place at the same time.


No assuming you have a transportation system that actually makes sense. Trains have these things, called 'stops' and then different people get in or out depending on what journy they are on.

The train stations should be connected by walking, biking, trams (basically trains), subways (also trains) and buses. And car dropoff too. Maybe some parking.

Hirarchy, that how you create an efficent system from anywhere to anywhere. Fast intercity trains, regional trains, S-Bahn, Trams and so on.

It works great an I assure you not everybody works in the same place, and somehow trains are still very well used.

Today on my day off into the mountains Im gone take an trolly bus, then an electric regional train and then a disel bus into the mointains. With lots of stuff I have to carry. Its perfectly fine.

At anytime I can check an app, tell it where I want to go and I almost certainly have reasonable connection within the next 15 min.

So maybe instead of snark, you could actually learn something about tansportation engineering.

If you want to see what single rail corridor can do in a city, check out Münich S-Bahn for example. And then do the math on how large a highway would have to be.


> Trains have these things, called 'stops' and then different people get in or out depending on what journy they are on.

Yes, I’m aware of this. And if you have enough population density, which most of Europe does, you can have frequent train service because enough people will have overlapping trips at the same time that they can share a rail line.

The advantage of a highway network is that a single vehicle can simply take the fastest route from point to point all by itself even if relatively few people are traveling that route. Germany is about the same land area as Montana or New Mexico. Those states have populations of about 1 and 2 million, respectively. Germany has 84 million. Texas has twice the land area of Germany and a population of 30 million. So yeah, if you’re going just about anywhere in Germany there are probably enough people going the same way at about the same time to make a train a reasonable solution. That’s not going to be true in the United States. And even Germany has the Autobahn, which was decades ahead of the American highway network in sophistication.

> At anytime I can check an app, tell it where I want to go and I almost certainly have reasonable connection within the next 15 min.

I live within a 15 minute drive of just about everywhere I need to go on a regular basis. Why would I wait that long for the train when I could just be there already?

> If you want to see what single rail corridor can do in a city, check out Münich S-Bahn for example.

I’ve ridden the Munich S-Bahn, it was great!


Looking at average population density is nonsensical - people aren't uniformly distributed. Most live in relatively dense urban areas and most trips they make are local. America isn't special in any of these regards.

The advantages of road networks as efficient means of point-to-point transportation disappear very quickly as the rate of non-point-to-point trips increases. Static routes like commuting and grocery shopping account for most traffic and are incredibly wasteful. You aren't stuck in traffic because of bespoke trips that necessitate a car, you're stuck because people make the exact same trip from A to B and back every single day.


Actually I'm not often stuck in traffic, because I live somewhere with a big enough road network to service the local population, which is dispersed widely enough that we don't have huge amounts of density. We also don't have natural geographic chokepoints, which was a common cause of traffic congestion in Seattle, where I used to live.


Highway networks are expensive and relatively low capacity, which lead to traffic congestion in urban area, which is where the majority of Americans live.

High speed roads should be limited to rural area and no more than two lane, one for each direction.


> High speed roads should be limited to rural area and no more than two lane, one for each direction.

Because no freight moves by road, only people. And even those people mostly shouldn't.

That is, your "should" doesn't actually work in the actual world. Trucks carry something like 60% of the freight in the US. You could say that rail should carry more of it, and that works for longer distance, but regional traffic is usually more efficiently handled by truck. So unless your vision of the future is people living in their cities, with nothing in their apartments, and not eating, you need better roads than that.

And then, you run into human nature. Some of us like going places, and more of us want to do so than you seem to like. Your "should" becomes "you should live your life the way I want you to, not the way you want to". You should expect a rather hostile response for that...


The majority of traffic on the road are....personal users, not freight. Induced demand and the usage of personal cars is what clogs road networks in urban area. Usage of mass transits such as train and trams will reduce road usage and freer flow of freight, with freight moved onto trains as much as possible, and reduction of urban area footprint.

I didn't say we should get rid of roads, I said that high speed road should be limited to 2 lanes...in rural area, exactly the area that don't need high capacity roads.


I see that you've never driven Interstate 80 across Wyoming. It's rural, and it still needs to be high capacity.

You're trying to get to the world that you want (aren't we all?), but you're not starting with the world as it is, but with a world that exists in your head. As a result, your "solution" is completely unworkable in reality.


Unworkable in reality how? Is it political? Is it economic? Is it physics? Is it geometry?

What about Interstate 80 that makes it special? Is it about freight carrying capacity? Can that be substituted by trains? Why does it have to be in that particular way?

You can say that a solution is 'unworkable', but you haven't explained your model of the world state well enough to convince someone. You haven't explained even "human nature".

Is my proposed "solution" politically unworkable? Yes, based on prevailing political opinions, society mores, cultural expectation and preferences. But perhaps you mean something else.


Nope. You're the one proposing the change; you have the burden of proof to demonstrate that your proposed change is an improvement to the existing situation.

The traffic is there. It's not going to fit on one lane each way. What are you going to do with it?

Try to fit it on railroads? Can you show that railroads can realistically handle 250% of current freight traffic, and 100000% of current passenger traffic? My gut feel is that they can't. If you have evidence that they can, then let's see it.

Or are you just going to tell the traffic to go away? Tell people to buy less stuff, so that less freight moves? Tell people to not go places, so that there's less passenger traffic on roads? The answer to that is going to be middle fingers from a huge number of people.


> Can you show that railroads can realistically handle 250% of current freight traffic, and 100000% of current passenger traffic? My gut feel is that they can't. If you have evidence that they can, then let's see it.

The system that has barley seen any investment for 100+ years and is disadvantaged by every possible regulatory and legal mechanism can't currently do it, therefore it is unworkable.

Of course if you don't invest in a capability your not gone have it. The highway system has seen an absurd amount of investment and thus is currently handling these things.

Nobody claims that you can't change it tomorrow. But the question is what is possible if you do things like proper land use and transportation planning.

And we have very good evidence that highways are inefficient and unhealthy.


> Tell people to not go places, so that there's less passenger traffic on roads?

This is pretty much the stated aim of my local council in London - they have a target to reduce car journeys by x% by 2030 or so. They want to achieve this by basically increasing journey times by adding congestion, removing lanes etc.

I find it incredibly dystopian.


A very cherry picked point of view. Here are the actual goals:

"Reducing car use and increasing cycling levels will help address many of the challenges we face, including the climate crisis, air pollution, health and inactivity, road danger, congested roads, and fairer access to amenities, jobs and services. It will enable children to travel independently, create more pleasant streets and strengthen the economic recovery of our town centres and high streets. As we emerge from the pandemic, cycling, walking, wheeling* and public transport will help us achieve the goals that will ensure London’s success."

"The UK must significantly reduce its carbon emissions to meet its legally binding goal of reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 and avoid the worst effects of climate change. The Mayor has set an ambitious goal for London to become carbon neutral by 2030. Transport is responsible for more than a quarter of London’s carbon emissions, although this proportion is increasing as other sectors decarbonise more quickly The electrification of London’s buses, now the greenest fleet in Europe, and the rollout of charging points will help reduce emissions, but this will not be enough. Even if all new vehicles are electric by 2030, transport emissions are still likely to exceed what is needed to limit global warming by 1.5°C without substantial traffic reduction. Swapping private cars for sustainable modes is therefore essential."

(https://content.tfl.gov.uk/cycling-action-plan.pdf)


TfL are not my local council. My local council has an explicit goal to reduce car journeys by a percentage.


"Just add one more lane. I swear, we're gonna fix traffic, just let me build one more lane. Just one more lane bro, please."

I don't know where you got your percentages from, but here's a graph of passenger capacity across different modes of transport: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1c/Passenge...

By the way, wanna see something embarrassing? https://youtu.be/T3LLgzO_PrI?t=234. Japan had 100% safe, 100% punctual, high speed and throughput trains figured out in 1964.

"Over the Shinkansen's 50-plus year history, carrying over 10 billion passengers, there have been no passenger fatalities due to train accidents such as derailments or collisions, despite frequent earthquakes and typhoons."

Like I said, embarrassing.


Now do population density of Japan vs the US, or even the size of all of Japan vs various American states.


Maybe watch this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lupWYQdDgQ

Looking at states is stupid, because 'states' don't limit where people live.

If you look at regions where people live, the US is brilliant for trains and high speed trains.


Population density of whole region isn't as relevant as you think. The most relevant are metropolitan areas and areas of high traffic corridors. That is where trains and mass transit make the most sense.


> Trucks carry something like 60% of the freight in the US. You could say that rail should carry more of it...

Interestingly, the US carries a higher proportion of freight by rail than Europe does.


Some people in the US like to pat themself on the back about this. The reality isn't that impressive.

Because the US has basically no passengers on the rails, its of course far easier to get things on the rails. Given that the US basically doesn't have passenger, the number are not that great.

Plus, Europe has ocean on 3 sides and generally a much longer coastline so lots of stuff that in the US uses rail, in Europe simply uses water transport.

In general a lot more things simply use local resources, for historical and political reasons.

Switzerland for example matches the US in terms of cargo modal share. But if you look what we had to do to achieve this high % while still having very large passenger numbers its incredibly hard. Basically it requires a concerted effort by government to prevent road use and to have a concert policy of all government and private institutions working together to enable it.

If you compare the US freight system to a actual peer competitor, the Soviet Union, the US doesn't look that great:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/54/RailUSAv...

If the US actually had a concert policy of increasing modal share of rail compared to road freight transport, the US could do so, so much more. It would be a great thing for the environment and everybody in the US.


> Yes, I’m aware of this. And if you have enough population density, which most of Europe does, you can have frequent train service because enough people will have overlapping trips at the same time that they can share a rail line.

If you are in a low density place you don't need high frequency to have a useful system.

I used to live in a place that had only villages of a few 1000 people with lots of farmers around. Having a 1hly small rural train is perfectly useful and a great thing to have.

And you only basically need a single rail line with a few crossing places to provide that kind of frequency.

The idea that trains are only useful in a super dense place is just one of those myths the US population has been brainwashed into.

> The advantage of a highway network is that a single vehicle can simply take the fastest route from point to point all by itself even if relatively few people are traveling that route.

Wrong. Highways has intersections that are spaced out. Each intersection requires a huge amount of cost to set up.

Highway intersections also take up a gigantic amount of space and are horrible places for humanity.

Train stops and intersection on the other hand can be small and efficient. They are often beautiful places and you can even have shops and development there.

New towns pop up on important rail intersections and stations, but not near highway intersections.

> Germany is about the same land area as Montana or New Mexico. Those states have populations of about 1 and 2 million, respectively. Germany has 84 million. Texas has twice the land area of Germany and a population of 30 million.

Now you are just making ridiculous arguments. I can't actually believe that you are making those arguments in good faith. But I am going are as if you were in good faith.

Nobody is making the argument that Montana or New Mexico should have a train system like Germany. Literally nobody. But they also don't even need full highway either. Normal roads of maximum 1-2 per direction and normal intersections should be perfectly enough for that kind of density. You can then still have excellent public transport with buses for much of the state.

But even in a place like Montana trains still make sense. There are still town like Billings or Bozeman and friends that are easily large enough for a train. Maybe not a high speed train. Where I live having a single village of 1000 people not be connected by regular trains is considered strange. Billings is significantly larger then the largest regional city here and that city has an S-Bahn system with multiple lines of 15-min interval trains.

So while Montana as a whole doesn't need a huge system, each town still can use trains and trams in a number of ways.

That said, and the reason why I think you are arguing in bad faith, is that if you actually look at a density map of the US. You comparison fall completely on its face.

The reality is, the US actually has very nice locations for trains. You brought up Texas. Yeah Eastern Texas is mostly empty, but Western Texas isn't. So instead of just taking arbitrary political boarders, you need to actually look at the regions where people actually live.

https://ecpmlangues.unistra.fr/civilization/geography/map-us...

And when you actually do that, you realize that the US has a number of urban mega clusters that are actually perfectly placed for trains.

Basically, Bay Area, Southern California, Great Lakes, Texas Triangle, Northeast Coast, Florida. Are the most important ones, there are few other depending on how you look at it. If you do your density analysis based on those actual regions were people actually live, you will see that your 'density' argument falls flat on its face. And those regions actually mater, not arbitrary state borders.

For example, the very successful train line from Paris to Lyon. Turns out that Dallas to Houston is actually about the same distance. Oklahoma City, Dallas/Fort Worth, Austin, San Antonio and Houston have plenty of population and are in optimal distance for a rail network.

The Great Lakes region has more population THEN LITERALLY ALL OF FRANCE and isn't much bigger. Arguable its actually better for rail then France is.

So please for the love of god spare me the 'its all about density argument'.

Basically 80% of US population will live in such a urban region soon. So your argument is simply wrong. Local density does matter for ridership and things like that, but that is very much a DELIBERATE DESIGN and has NOTHING to do with overall density of a the US or individual states.

This is a video that goes threw the US and shows them visually:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lupWYQdDgQ

> I live within a 15 minute drive of just about everywhere I need to go on a regular basis. Why would I wait that long for the train when I could just be there already?

Of course, for places you go regularly, you don't need a train or a car. I live in a place I can walk everywhere in 10 min or less. And with 15 min on my bike I can literally be on an actual mountain/natural trail.

Have you considered that trains are also useful if you don't use them regularly? Do you never want to drink or smoke weed? Do you never go to another place where you don't have a car available. Do you understand that there are people in the world who can't drive for various reasons.

And you don't actually wait for a train for 15min, you just do literally 5s of planning by looking at the clock. Even with 0 planning the majority of the time you would wait 7min or less.


I'm also in Germany and public transport is obviously good but you still get weird cases. I live in the south of a city the size of Karlsruhe, work in the north. With public transport it's 1 hour excluding the way to the bus stop and the waiting. With a car it's 16 minutes, with a bicycle it's 35 minutes. Comically enough the shortest path is with a car and not a bicycle.

Tomorrow I have a flight at 12:00. If I want to get there (~200km) with a car it's 2-3 hours depending on traffic. If I want to get there with train+bus it's 5h11m minimum, if I go right now it's 8h26m, if I want to catch my flight tomorrow it's 9h10m (and I'll be there at 8:40 instead of 11:00). It's also more expensive than driving there and leaving my car at one of the airport's parking lots for a week. I'll save ~50 euros by driving and set off at 8 tomorrow instead of 23:30 today.


I didnt make the argument that trains were better for every possible situation on the planet. I was refuting the claim that it only works if everybody has to go to one place.

Its of course also the case that the Western world after WW2 fully embraced the car and made sure its the most efficent while basically making sure street space was cleared of anything else. Before that street space was full of different uses.

Its only more expensive if you assume you already have a car, and a garage and so on.

And for a society, every single study shows that overall for society, private car travel is the most costly and the worst for the envoirment. You arent actually paying for all those costs.

From where I live airport is 1h by car and 1h 10min by train. Combined with parking and everything you will likely be faster with the train.


> Assuming everyone is going the same place at the same time.

If railways were in place, people would have built around the railway destinations, just like cities throughout history were typically built on waterways for easy transport of goods.

The flexibility of the car encourages sprawl which gets you into a situation exactly like what you're describing, where it just seems obvious that trains aren't good enough. The same sort of sprawl just wouldn't exist in a train-dominated transport system.


If you've ever been on an urban freeway at rush hour, you'd know that, largely, they are.


> Assuming everyone is going the same place at the same time.

Commuting.


What about it? Not everyone goes to work at the same place at the same time unless you’re talking about a literal company town, and if we still had those, they probably wouldn’t let you own a car.


No, but having a strong network of trains, trams, and buses makes it easy to get from one place to another regardless of where you’re going. You only get those crappy “the city has one train that runs once an hour” in some US cities

It’s how nearly all of my coworkers commute, even though we live in different cities and leave at vastly different times


Commuting = everyone going to the same place at the same time is only true in 2 American cities. And even then only for a portion of the population.


Have fun foodshopping via railway.


why not build shops near residential areas in a walkable distance?


Are you talking about passenger railways? Everywhere I've lived in the US has had a railway running right through town. It's one of the few things the government can't just seem to reroute. But it is always freight rail


I was actually referencing public transit, but (poorly) chose to write "railways" last night because it rhymed with highways.


If you use your railways for passenger trains it is quite common to reroute the railways around towns to get higher speeds. Which has drawbacks and advantages. As a tourist I do not like it.


Railroads would still split cities. The reality is that American cities need highways. We have too much space relative to our population and our cultural focus on individualism mean that people will always prefer single family homes. Those cant exist without cars and people with cars need to be able to commute. The displacement was tragic but Im not if it couldve been done much better. If we're going to build the highways going through poor areas makes sense, eminent domain is much cheaper.


> The reality is that American cities need highways.

Not through the middle of them.

> people will always prefer single family homes.

Millenials and genZ prefer walkable neighborhoods and public transit.

edit: pre-50s america had much more dense walkable urbanism. Just more distributed. There were many more '2nd cities'


Millennials and Gen Z make do with what they can afford.


This. It’s rather funny, because I observe among my peers, who are millenials, that if they can’t have a thing (cars, houses), then no one should have them.


Source? Most millennials live in the suburbs as far as I know.


No, we don't, the poor among us take it as a cope.

You're just running in the wrong circles.


> We have too much space relative to our population

If you're arguing that there's an abundance of space, this is true in many countries (and was certainly true prior to the Federal-Aid Highway Act or Levittown).

> We have too much space relative to our population and our cultural focus on individualism mean that people will always prefer single family homes

Why? There are plenty of locales in the US where this very much isn't the case.

> Those cant exist without cars and people with cars need to be able to commute.

If we're simply talking about the average daily commute for the average person, why? There are still plenty of cities in the US that have effective public transportation.


> There are plenty of locales in the US where this very much isn't the case.

No there arent. Even NYC is full of SFHs


People strongly prefer single family homes in places where zoning codes forbid the construction of anything else. It's not clear that there is any reason people should always prefer such homes, in the absence of such restrictive regulation.


I dont think this is true. Even in the densest places there are still tons of single family homes. Certainly many people dont care about having one, but I think most Americans always will. Of course you have to think about cost trade offs, but since we're talking about politics I think voters will consistently vote for policy that enables SFH living.


> Even in the densest places there are still tons of single family homes.

That is generally the case when the zoning code forbids the construction of anything else; otherwise, density would increase progressively, largely via conversion/addition, and you would never see neighborhoods of single-family homes abutting commercial/multifamily neighborhoods, with a sharp line dividing them, as frequently occurs in modern American development. Anytime you see such a dramatic transition, you are looking at an artificial boundary created by zoning, and that means the properties just over the line on the single-family side will be simultaneously overcosted (because they are close to an area of high demand) and undervalued (because they cannot be developed to meet the demand).


> people will always prefer single family homes.

The preference is so consistently overwhelming that we needed to make it illegal to build large apartment buildings in most major cities to enforce it.


> split the populace between those who can afford cars and those who can't.

So you can't afford a car but you can afford a house?


If I had to choose I would probably choose a place to live over a car. Be that renting or a mortgage. I am however a European, so perhaps less in love with cars than some cultures.


"In 2023, it cost $12,182 a year, or $1,015 a month, to own and operate a new car, according to AAA.[5]" [1]

Seems plausible for 1k a month to be the tipping point.

[1]: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/car-insurance/car-ownership-s...


> ...and within 10 years we went from a housing bubble to a housing shortage where rent is the primary cause of national inflation.

Either this article is misinformed or I am. The housing bubble was a bubble in asset values not inventory, right? I don't seem to recall that there was an abundance of excess housing even then.


It is an odd remark, but during the housing bubble crash, there was an inventory uptick. A lot of it was bought up by cash investors and even institutional investors securitizing housing. However, if you were still employed and had decent credit, there was a lot to choose from and prices were lower than rent. It didn’t last though - 2009 through 2012 was probably the best, then every year it ticked up until just before Covid. With Covid some areas shot up others went sideways for a bit.


> during the housing bubble crash, there was an inventory uptick

Of course, people did not have money to pay, and were under. There were forced liquidations.

And the parent comment was talking about the bubble, not the aftermath which is what you are talking about.


They are actually referring to now. Hard to take this article seriously when all the examples are California centric and that $5T of COVID relief more or less went straight into assets during the period referred to in that quote.


I think the idea is that the bubble implies prices are detached from a utilitarian valuation, whereas high rents are more attached to the value the housing directly provides.


> Urban renewal wasn’t as top-down as people say. The routing of freeways and public project placements were often determined by municipalities and states, not federal officials, and they chose targets like minority neighborhoods.

One of the big problems was that the federal government was handing out free money (as much as 90% for people to do highways). So of course all the states jump on that.

But of course city officials also want to be part of the gravy train and demand projects in their area to. And of course that doesn't make sense in a city. But politically you can't just tell a city no.

And if you are going to have a project, of course they have to build it where it is politically possible.

So its basically dumb politics all around.


The United States is too rich to be forced to deal with its parasites: bureaucrats and lawyers. Unfortunately, it will take a severe crisis before that tumorous mass can even begin to be chopped away.


Perhaps my view is too California-centric, but IMHO the biggest parasites are the rent seekers of homeowners and landlords.

Those are the folks who benefit the most and who also control the process.


It boggles my mind that landlords gets to fully benefit from the completely externalized benefits from owning a building that without their efforts becomes a central location, or "pleasant" neighborhood, or a nightlife filled area, etс. And then still treat the housing market like some stock ticker to play with.


> Perhaps my view is too California-centric, but IMHO the biggest parasites are the rent seekers of homeowners and landlords.

How are home owners "rent seekers"?


Home owners block new housing to drive up their home valuations, treating housing as an investment and pricing out an entire generation.


I think you're mistaking a small subset for the general set of home owners.

The root cause of what you're talking about is demand is exceeding supply, by quite a long way. The population is growing - through various means - faster than homes are being created. That means a few home owners will do what you describe.


Prop 13 means local municipalities need to extract higher fees and taxes on new construction compared to existing property. Higher development costs/prices cause dead weight loss and therefore block/reduce new development.


The same "parasites" who are the ones who would own the goddamn expanded housing in the first place if it were to come to pass? Calling that view "California-centric" makes it sound like a stand-in for insults.


And who do you think is their enforcement arm?


America is very rich because of its bureaucracy and its system of governance. It would be even richer if obstacles to good urban planning are identified and removed.


I really admire your optimism.


It's interesting that both extremes are actually signs of the same problem.

First, why didn't other countries become too scare to build? The neighborhood I grew up at in Moscow was built in bulk in place of a village of the same name in the early 80ies. Nobody cared about the village; in fact it wasn't even replaced by housing - it was demolished to build a stadium and other assorted sporting venues; the housing was added shortly after. Did it make Russia too scared to build? No, it didn't. During the aughts oil boom, they demolished some 5-story flats to replace them with 20+-story flats, giving the residents better flats in more remote neighborhoods, with no real choice to stay in their neighborhood in many cases (like my grand aunt's). They just keep doing things the same way, and that has its own tradeoffs. Nobody is "scared".

The difference in the US is that there's a stronger notion of individual rights, and it was obvious that the bureaucratic nightmare machine was running ramshod over those. So it was great that it was reigned in. The not-so-great part that instead of just respecting those as was the original intent, US has replaced an incompetent bureaucratic nightmare that ran ramshod over the local residents, with an incompetent bureaucratic/legalistic nightmare that tries to protect them instead. Or rather, some perverted collectivist distortion of "individual rights" where frivolous lawsuits from rich neighbors, disgruntled unions, idiot activists or basically anyone can hold up the project forever instead of just individuals negotiating their narrow concerns...

If this thing was done properly, in some cases the weight of many individuals would counterbalance aggressive projects when it makes sense, but loonies would end up like Edith Macefield, with a house surrounded by a mall. As it stands, Edith Macefields of the world can delay and block entire projects forever, other property owners be damned.


It doesn’t seem surprising that state officials with limited budgets would target areas with the lowest property values, because exercising eminent domain gets expensive real quick.


US culture is very much driven by competition.

If China is winning wars, has more influence on world, has better tech, better infra, higher GDP, higher GDP per capita.

Americans will get their shit together to compete.

The problem with US is that we're too complacent. SF has billions of dollars of VC money pumped in, house prices are astronomic. SF is wildly successful despite the shortcomings. Homelessness, crime, e.t.c doesn't matter. If the wealth of the upper-class is preserved, they are fine with it. They are voting for what they want.

China is the best thing to have happened to US.

I wish the best of prosperity for China and Chinese citizens so we in US have competition and inspiration to what is possible.

Same for Europe, get your A-game together. Bring back a new renaissance period.

A rising tide lifts all boats. It's time to build!


The predominant outlook about the future isn't positive in America anymore. The difference starts and ends with attitude. Americans cannot compete because excellence and pride of work and community are gone, pay is low for most people, politics are extremely divided, and most Americans keep to themselves and don't care about anyone else.

China wins just on attitude and growth, but also has the "cheat code" of authoritarianism where anything can be imposed top-down without much push back.


I don't like this article. It is undersourced and I don't think there is enough of an argument that the political situation in the 50s and 60s is all that significant.

If anyone is arguing based on lessons learned in Urban Renewal projects they keep very quiet on Hacker News. The situation in the now seems to be short-term economic incentives and a genuine belief that cheap energy shouldn't a low-priority goal for society (you need energy to build things).

There does seem to be a strong argument that there are vetos everywhere, but I think people would just add them in to the law today regardless of the political path over the last half-century.


Inefficiency in public infrastructure works might be a cost of a much higher degree of personal and political freedoms.

Apparent efficiencies in public infrastructure works might be short-lived in a centrally directed economy and/or hides deep inefficiences elsewhere in the system.

(It might also be that 1960s stucco houses are preferable to dense apartment living for many people, and that Op misses the forest for the trees in the wider context of why and for whom anything is built anywhere).

I'm not in the USA or China though. Take with grains of salt.


As always when talking about housing, only contrasting between HonkKong style density and US subburban sprawl is completely false view. Housing should be very diverse and historically was. Townhouses, Rowhouses, mini-apartment buildings, courtyard style, twin house and so on and so on.

If it was about preference one would think it would result in a lot of diversity (as it has historically), and not 2 pretty strict categories.

We also have evidence that old streetcar subburbs now fetch an insane price. So these kinds of neighborhoods are impossible to build now, but have high demand.

Where I live in Europe, you can still have single family homes but there are also lots of other building types around it. So there is clear evidence that if there are fewer restrictions, people have choices to live in lots of different places. Japan has the same thing as well. It seems pretty consistent, in most of the world that if you give people options, many people choice many different things.

That just outside of all the historical knowledge we have about everything that was done to enforce these patterns. There are to many things to list here but I assure you, there are a lot of them.


Roads and highways are inherently public infrastructure and cars doesn't indicate personal and political freedom. They are just a mean to achieving personal mobility just as trains and bikes are.

Look at China, there are highways and roads and streets filled with cars and traffic congestion.

To say that political and personal freedom indicates why we are stuck in this quagmire is to ignore the role of suffocating zoning regulations and other mechanisms that enforces a car centric worldview of American politicans and planners.


Baffling version of history that somehow ignores the constitutional dimension. It's also a back-assward interpretation of how contemporary environmental law came into being. It's like a guy typing with one hand while pointing at the heffalumps for causing the wet streets that made it rain with the other hand.

There is just no real analysis here of law, policy, or society. It's just a pile of uncited errata. I'm somewhat sympathetic to some of his conclusions, but there is no reasoning process here.


I tried to sum this up with my now flagged comment. It was probably too quippy for hn.


US housing is a state-level issue that could be solved by state governments promoting high-density housing policy. Ultimately, those state governments are elected by voters, i.e. residents, including renters, and not exclusively landlords. But landlords disproportionately contribute to the finances of re-election campaigns, and thus have effectively seized control of the options offered to voters.

It's fantastical, and unrealistic, to hope that improved voter education will result in better electoral outcomes and thus better policy outcomes. The root problem is in how elections are financed. Citizens United must be reversed and elections must be financed publicly, with fair financing to candidates based on the number of signatures they obtain, and equal airtime purchased from public funds. Only then will we see YIMBY candidates start to accede to positions of power and start to reverse these landlord-favorable policies.


In most local elections, the majority voters are often homeowners, despite the majority of eligible voters often being renters in cities. It’s not even a money issue but a political apathy issue.


It's not a state but a very local issue (cities, neighbordhood districts). Indeed some cities do okay. The states, like California currently, can try and influence but the cities are resourceful stubborn and corrupt and still can block things at multiple other levels.

In the US, the federal level also very much influences things since for example it is federal institutions which buy the most mortgages (and they decide what kinds of homes qualify). For more examples, the federal level regulates interest rates (the main component of mortgage interest rates) and deductibility of housing costs under federal income tax law (higher than state income taxes for many people).

And elections only go so far because voters are not equally distributed among populations. Even renters tend to not vote but be vocal NIMBYes.


Local districts have only exactly as many powers as granted to them by state governments. What was granted to them in the name of expediency and locality of control can be taken back by the state government, which is the ultimate sovereign controlling these matters. That's why this is a state issue - the localities are corrupt but the state could fix that by removing them from the equation.

Mortgages and interest rates affect prices, but not the decision over whether to build more and how much.


> Only then will we see YIMBY candidates start to accede to positions of power and start to reverse these landlord-favorable policies

Our governor here in Oregon, Tina Kotek, is quite YIMBY. As is the mayor of the city I live in.


The root problem is that democracy requires active engagement. It turns out the hired representatives are not mind readers. However, those with means are able to give more engagement, and thus are disproportionately represented. The squeaky wheel gets the grease, as they say. The guy who is in their representative's face every single day is going to be more apt to get his way. The people who have never even spoken to their representative, even just once, most definitely won't get their way unless by sheer coincidence.

There is no solution to that problem other than to give up democracy, but the alternatives come with their own set of trade-offs. The wonderful world of people problems.


Yes, it ruined many small cities were I grew up. Lots of old and beautiful buildings were destroyed. In the City were I grew up, people and politicians still decry the history destroyed by urban renewal.


the carbon footprint of destroying and rebuilding is too high; isn't the green thing this to renovate and enhance existing infrastructure not bulldozing existing things?


> Urban renewal wasn’t as top-down as people say. The routing of freeways and public project placements were often determined by municipalities and states, not federal officials, and they chose targets like minority neighborhoods.

Some serious persecution complex going on in this article. I'm sure there were places where that did happen, but here's a counter-example in the way San Francisco's intended freeway layout was based on the existing layout of the City and County's nine districts: https://i.imgur.com/MSbpF5e.jpeg

Sources:

https://www.vanshnookenraggen.com/_index/wp-content/uploads/... (base layer)

https://i0.wp.com/thefrontsteps.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/... (33% opacity)

I specify “residential” districts because SOMA is bisected but SOMA was all warehouses and freight railroad yards at the time so there was no reason to care. Even the famously-hated Embarcadero Freeway was on formerly-CA-state-owned land where the “State Belt” waterfront industrial railroad once ran: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Francisco_Belt_Railroad https://i.imgur.com/Mq3mWQr.jpeg


The Chinese neighborhood in Seattle was mostly leveled by a freeway interchange; this pattern is not as rare as you suggest. https://crosscut.com/opinion/2021/04/legacy-racism-built-nor...

In San Francisco, the "redevelopment" of the Western Addition is a famous example of a public project that targeted certain minorities. The city basically took a wrecking ball to the heart of the black community in San Francisco, and it never really recovered afterwards. https://www.sfpublicpress.org/fillmore-revisited-how-redevel...


Baltimore's 'Highway to Nowhere' is another good example. https://www.baltimoremagazine.com/section/businessdevelopmen...



The data show that urban highways very much impacted certain neighborhoods more than others, when you look at more than one city

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2021-urban-highways-infra...


[flagged]


> A better question is why did those places have minority neighborhoods instead of anybody living anywhere they want?

Not to be mean, but is this question intentionally obtuse? It feels like a bad faith question to ask.

In America, in the relevant time periods (eg. 1950s), black neighborhoods were often targeted by infrastructure. This was before they had the protected rights to vote. This was a time where slavery, then legal segregation, and then redlining literally forced people of color into certain geographic regions.

THEN infrastructure projects literally bulldozed those neighborhoods.

So "why did people of color not live wherever they want, and why do we blame the bulldozers that destroyed the place they did live" is ignoring the history of so much systemic issues in America, that it feels like a bad-faith question to ask.


[flagged]



In part because of official US government policy, commonly known as redlining. https://www.npr.org/2017/05/03/526655831/a-forgotten-history...


> Infrastructure projects should not be blamed for conditions they did not cause.

This seems like a strange sentiment to me. Intrastructure projects should not be blamed for anything. Blame rests with people, not things.

And the people running those infrastructure projects, making the decisions about them were the same people that were responsible for many of the other factors that went into the conditions that we’re discussing.

It’s pretty much all the same set of people—the people that had political power when these decisions were being made. So it feels weird to slice out just the infrastructure pieces out of that.


I mean, the same classes and groups instituting redlining were the ones picking where the infrastructure went.

I don't think anyone is blaming the existence of infrastructure as the causative factor.


This is correct. It's not like it was one group of people who did the redlining and the racist zoning and all that and then some completely separate and totally unrelated group of people thought "let's put the freeway here".


> here's a counter-example in the way San Francisco's intended freeway layout was based on the existing layout of the City and County's nine districts

This is a counter-example if you ignore a ton of the impacted neighborhoods. These highways are not particularly innocent examples. Sure, some may be unavoidable (like the south-eastern neighborhoods), but some of the locations are (at least today) pretty busy and core parts of their neighborhood (eg. Irving St. in Inner-Sunset).

The highway (101?) carving up the mission and then dividing the western addition from down-town would be rough if they built it as a limited-access road (which it appears to be based on the interchanges). Even modern-day 101 could have been along the rail-road or coast to avoid blocking the mission and Potrero...

Dumping 80 into the western-addition also seems questionably-motivated as well.


> Dumping 80 into the western-addition also seems questionably-motivated as well.

Most of it would have been under ground-level, both tunneled through the hill (emerging near the DMV) then a park-topped subway through the panhandle. Check out what Oak/Fell/Octavia would have looked like: https://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/4182283392

The elevated Central Freeway (along the bottom) and the on/off-ramp pair in the center of the image were built. Here's what it used to look like to exit onto Fell westbound before 2002 when they created the most dangerous intersection for pedestrians and cyclists in the entire City (Octavia & Market) by tearing this down: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vGM-crlegA4


The most infamous example is the Cross-Bronx Expressway, which many assert to have been deliberately routed by Robert Moses to destroy some of the neighborhoods in the area, and is generally seen as the catalyst of the freeway revolt movement.


You paint a very incomplete picture by neglecting to mention NYC's failure to build the IND “Second System” which would have connected many of the same areas as the Cross-Bronx Expressway. The simultaneous political support for building the one that required expensive car ownership and against building the one which anybody could ride tells me that the freeway was not the real problem here lol

https://www.nycsubway.org/wiki/IND_Second_System_-_1929_Plan

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b3/1939_IND...


The cross bronx expressway doesn’t “connect the same areas” as any subway, seeing as 95 runs north and south from Maine to Florida. IIRC, it was a question to run 95 “inconveniently” through more parts of Manhattan and wealthier areas (read: Westchester), or take the shortcut through a poor neighborhood in the Bronx. At some point, this highway has to go west to east (laterally?), and issue was where. Not that I’m saying Robert Moses did nothing wrong.

The third avenue El (which was torn down in the 70s) had no real problem being rebuilt over the portion of Third Avenue (the Third Avenue of the Bronx certainly isn’t as flashy as the one in Manhattan, and the Bronx’s Park Avenue is pretty much train tracks on one side) for the 20ish years the two co-existed, at least from my understanding.

Don’t mind me though, because I certainly don’t live about 1/4 mile away from the CBE.


They are mistaking cause and effect.

What looks like "targeting minority neighborhoods", is actually "minorities are more likely to live in areas where new highways would normally be built".

Look at any major city. Are the expensive neighborhoods built near exiting highways or interchanges? Not really, they tend to be built further away.

And if you go back to when highways were being built (50-70's), most middle income families fled cities to the suburbs, and inner city housing prices dropped, which attracted low income minorities.


> "minorities are more likely to live in areas where new highways would normally be built"

These were being built for the first time. There was no “where they were normally built” because they were first built in the areas mentioned in the 1950’s, normal hadn’t been defined yet. They targeted the poorer neighborhoods because those also tended to be the less powerful to stop it.


There is no such thing as “brand new highways you can put wherever”.

Many highways expanded from major roads. The new segments (built where no major roads existed) had to connect existing major roads.

There were very clearly areas where roads were going to be built and where they were never going to be built.

The city also has to buyout existing homeowners, and hence a part of the decision is going to be “where will buyouts cost us the least”? Hence the lowest cost housing, again often owned by minorities.


“Many highways expanded from major roads. The new segments (built where no major roads existed) had to connect existing major roads.”

This is an opinion that is not factually accurate to what happened. Entire neighborhoods were plowed under for highways that then created impediments to local neighborhood connections. Highways literally destroyed communities.

Look at the before and after pictures of Oakland in this article:

https://www.segregationbydesign.com/oakland/freeways


Your example shows the highways connected the Bay Bridge to I-95 and south to 880.

The new highways were clearly connecting existing major roadways?


Take a look at 980 in the middle that destroyed two blocks width of homes straight through the middle of the city, miles long. That disconnected communities on either side of it. The same thing happened with 580, which isn’t shown in these overhead photos.


I get it, but those connected major freeways.

You're not going to tear down homes in the Oakland Hills to build a freeway not because it's full rich white people, but because it's nowhere close to the existing freeways.


> they tend to be built further away.

This isn't actually true, historically speaking. When commuting was hard (pre-highway), the wealthy lived where it was most convenient - near street car lines, and close to the productive areas of the city. BUT service workers, laborers, etc still needed to live near-enough to work, so it wasn't 100% any one way. Once society invented a way to travel farther, poor neighborhoods were bulldozed to build highways, and the wealthy moved farther away, and commuted in.

TODAY, inner-city neighborhoods that are far from highways have wealthy people, but well-connected suburbs have wealthy people. The best example of this is (IMO) Cleveland - Shaker Heights, a nice streetcar suburb was all the rage with the well-off before the highways. They don't really have any highways, because of course the wealthy didn't want its damage. Post-highway, towns like Beachwood and Rocky River continue to gain popularity as the streetcars are decommissioned and removed, and wealthy professionals move to commuter cities.


Sure, but you need to look at when the highways were built.

The inner city neighborhoods that are pricey today were often run down ghettos when these highways were being built (or on their way to it).


> "minorities are more likely to live in areas where new highways would normally be built".

This has to be the most cynical and cruel sentence I have read today. If your system mandates uprooting people's lives then its just not a good system, is it? If your normal is to disrupt people who are already downtrodden then its a bad cruel system even in isolation.


Should we avoid infrastructure development if it’s poor areas?

It’s not like they don’t get compensation.

Americans are so soft. They admire places like Japan, Singapore, even Europe when it comes to infrastructure.

Do you think those places say “it would be great to have new infrastructure, but we’d need to displace low income people so I guess we won’t”.

No, they say “hey, we’re putting in new infrastructure so you’re going to have to leave. We’ll pay you for it and provide assistance, but you’re going to have to move”.

And you know why they have nice infrastructure? Because they accept it as progress.


> Should we avoid infrastructure development if it’s poor areas?

Yes! If you can avoid it, yes. Pressure should be applied to areas not already struggling. Just to reiterate my original point, which you didn't address, if your system consistently results in disruption of the lives of the under privileged, it's a bad system.

Also if caring about people is soft, I'm glad I'm soft.


Great, then don't expect any new infrastructure to be built. Congrats, you've just become the US.

There is always someone who is going to suffer when new infrastructure is built in an urban area. It's 100% unavoidable.

If you say "I'll make sure that never happens", then you just won't build new infrastructure.


Either you are being intentionally dense or are just not reading carefully enough what my point is. Yes there will always be someone who is going to suffer. That is not the point. My point is if the system consistently and predominantly makes the underprivileged suffer its a bad system. This isn't even controversial dude, there are wikipedia articles about some of these systems.


Meh, I’m a minority who lives a few blocks away from i95 with my father and we make ends meet in the house he mortgaged 30 years ago this year, but all I ever hear about is that only rich people live in houses in NYC and all those nimby’s should get their houses bulldozed away for “dense residential” (I can literally see the projects in my backyard). So we’ll lose anyway (rising property values? Ohhh a tax bill I won’t be able to afford when my father passes, yay) you take it.

I’m sure you all won’t know what to do with this comment and I’ll end up in the grays anyway.


Construction in the USA is driven by capitalism. From my own observations, a big part of why we build less in recent times is the real estate market crash in 2008. We're still feeling the effects.

The construction companies (and capital) that survived the crash of 2008 were a lot more cautious. They hired and built less through the 2010's as the market recovered. More people got college degrees instead of learning construction trades. When the pandemic hit, and there was something of a boom in construction, I think they finally shook off the fear. Now, a few years later, the market is beginning to slump again due to high interest rates and general inflation.


This may be true for the national market, but local markets particularly in high demand coastal cities are super dysfunctional -- their housing markets simply are not free. It is illegal to build enough there to meet demand.


> Construction in the USA is driven by capitalism. From my own observations, a big part of why we build less in recent times is the real estate market crash in 2008. We're still feeling the effects.

An efficient market would see an increase in supply to meet demand. This is exactly what happened in Minneapolis, Raleigh, and many cities in Texas, which made it comparatively earlier to get construction permits (in some cases, particularly for multi-family housing).


Here in the Netherlands we mostly worry about the neighbourhood sueing and complaining, about stuff like sunlight, parking space, prices diminishing on their real estate and lots of other stuff. Takes a long time to start building. Welcome to the modern world.


Only way to truly solve it is to remove racial divide (that is, another Holocaust), and either remove democracy (so what people - majority of who are property owners - want, doesn't matter), or remove market economy (so people won't be property owners). Nothing of it is acceptable. Much better to keep things as they are. Let it be a competition for who gets in to the desirable areas.


[flagged]


I fail to see how one could argue that the shift to car-centrism was a win for cities.

In any case, zoning law borne out of the mid-20th century is an outsized factor in a lot of modern societal woes.


Just build it.

China built 10,000km of high-speed lines in six to seven years. The USA went to the moon in 1969 too, but hasn’t been back since... Now we can't even build true high-speed rail from NYC to DC, which would take an hour instead of 4.5h.




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