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This is bigger than the greed of any group of people. This is a technological sea change that is going to displace and obsolesce certain kinds of work no matter where the money goes. Even if open models win where no single entity or group makes a large pile of money, STILL the follow-on effects from wide access to models trained on all public data will unfold.

People who try to prevent models from training on all available data will simply lose to people who don’t, and eventually the maximally-trained models will proliferate. There’s no stopping it.

Assume a world where models proliferate that are trained on all publicly-accessible data. Whatever those models can do for free, humans will have a hard time charging money for.

That’s the sea change. Whoever happens to make money through that sea change is a sub-plot of the sea change, not the cause of it.

If you want to make money in this new environment, you basically have to produce or do things that models cannot. That’s the sink or swim line.

If most people start drowning then governments will be forced to tax whoever isn’t drowning and implement UBI.




Maybe the machines will just pay for more of leisure time as they were originally designed to do? It may just be as simple as that?

Remember the 4 hour work week ? Maybe we are almost there ?

Let’s face it, most people in a developed country have more free time than they know what to do with, mostly spent in HN and social median ofc :)


Check out the short story Manna by Marshall Brain for some speculative fiction on exactly these subjects.

https://marshallbrain.com/manna1




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