I want to be an AI optimist, but the author makes a few assumptions which I don't think hold up.
Re: comparative advantage... Outsourcing tasks you comparatively prefer not to do doesn't translate into someone paying you for it, if AI is far better at it and 100x cheaper than you are.
Re: AI is location and compute constrained, so people will still be able to get paid for automatable tasks... only for now. And those wages will shrink along with the number of human positions as AI scales.
Yeah, it has the feel of a lot of thinking around AI that doesn't take into account improvements in AI itself.
For instance, the whole idea of "prompt engineer" being a field of the future. Pretty obvious that AI iterations will continue to improve and quickly obviate the need for such a thing.
Feels a bit like humans desperately trying to hold on to our relevance. "Surely the computers must need us for something."
Re: comparative advantage... Outsourcing tasks you comparatively prefer not to do doesn't translate into someone paying you for it, if AI is far better at it and 100x cheaper than you are.
Re: AI is location and compute constrained, so people will still be able to get paid for automatable tasks... only for now. And those wages will shrink along with the number of human positions as AI scales.