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Obviously there is not a singular reason for 'peace'. Trade has an effect though.


Last I checked Germany and Russia aren't directly fighting.

And Russia's problem is with US, that it didn't had that much trade to begin with.

Similarly nobody is fighting China yet.

I don't believe free trade is a permanent solution no, but it does help greatly.


In the lead up to WWI there was more free trade between all the countries than there ever had been up to that point. In fact even as it looked like war was on the horizon everyone was saying it was impossible because the economies were so interdependent. Money only motivates so much before emotion takes over.


In fact, trade can make the temptation for war worse.

You go from two countries that have nothing to do with each other to one country that can say "we pay so much for X from them, let's go take it."

Perhaps in a perfectly balanced scenario that wouldn't be tempting, but those scenarios are quite rare.


The reason Germany and Russia aren't directly fighting has little to do with trade.

"Russia's problem is with the US" implies that Putin's motivation for invading Ukraine had much to do with the US. I find it strange that westerners are so willing ignore all of the historical irredentism, revisionism, and general nonsense that Putin has been spouting for years and instead insist that the invasion of Ukraine has to do with NATO expansion, something Putin almost never brings up (in comparison to the aforementioned reasons) and in practice clearly isn't concerned since they removed 90% of their troops from the Baltic / Nordic / Polish borders.




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