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$34T debt triggering 2025 meltdown as mortgage rates spike above 7% (fortune.com)
23 points by thelastgallon 7 months ago | hide | past | favorite | 3 comments



This is literally a story about the gut feelings of a middling financial academic [1].

His one macroeconomic paper starts with "how should monetary policy respond to evolving financial conditions?," and then answers it with a toy DSGE model [2].

[1] https://fnce.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/gomesj/#research\

[2] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4393209


I've noticed that the first three pages at the moment contain a lot of overly political hey-be-anxious-now type submissions.

Guess someone somewhere is trying to jerk a chain.


Wanna tell us what the claim even is, exactly? Is it that if the US doesn't reduce its deficit investor will stop buying its debt for fear of default?




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