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+286% is nearly 4x (100% => 386%), not nearly 3x.

> the number of fires this year for [Feb 1-Feb 25] already exceeds those recorded in the last seven years [for Feb]

So that would be 2017-2023 ?

So those would be the years since the last El Niño (2014-2016), I wonder how it compares ? (Did we even have the measurement infrastructure during that previous cycle ??)



In general, I wish people would avoid >100% increase type formulations. Like biweekly, it confuses a lot of people, even if they should probably know better (or aren't sure if the person writing it used it correctly).


Actually, El Nino is forecast to end this fall and turn into La Nina.


El Nino is collapsing quickly; el nina is forecast by summer now.

https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/ens...




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