> Countries like Poland will no longer buy US weapons but increase European defense spending - they fear just like Ukraine that US congress just turns around and will stop delivering parts for F-35s in a conflict
That's absolutely not the sentiments among Poles. If anything, there's a belief we can only rely on US when poo hits the fan.
Looking at it historically, you are going to be short changed again...
Suddenly the following scenario, is not far fetched anymore: Russia will find an excuse around Kaliningrad Oblast, and a NATO hostile US president will negotiate a cease fire in the name of stopping a Nuclear conflict...
To be fair modern Russia is not exactly the USSR or Nazi Germany (let alone both of them put together). Their army was decimated (huge understatement) in Ukraine. Their demographic situation was pretty bad before the war. But now? If you combine the massive casualties (more than the US lost in Vietnam during over 15 years AND the Soviet war in Afghanistan (10 years)) with the exodus of working age males how can they ever recover?
It's an extremely cynical take but US + EU can pretty much afford to "wage" this war indefinitely as long they give just enough to Ukraine for it not to collapse and both sides continue throwing their men into the grinder. Russia is on a timer; it might take an extra few years and even if they don't run out of shells they'll run out of soldiers sooner or later (of course unfortunately the same applies to Ukraine..).
> UK would safe them from Germany and Russia and was betrayed
The balance of power is not even remotely similar to what it was back in 1939. Even if we ignore the economy and armament production modern Russia has severe demographic issues it barely has enough manpower to wage a full-scale war in Ukraine (considering the massive casualty rate, more in a single year than US lost during the 15 years in Vietnam and Russia has many times smaller conscriptable population than the US had back then).
How could they ever open a "second front" in the Baltics?
Back in 1940 the allies were extremely underprepared materially (mainly the British, the French had an army that could certainly compete with Germany on paper, but they were much too conservative (and in hindsight run by incompetent morons)). It's not like they consciously decided to just abandon Poland outright, the allies expected it to hold out much longer and very way too slow and indecisive to do anything. Then they somehow managed to lose Norway against all odds and the same thing repeated in France.
Stuff like that simply can't happen in modern warfare (as the Russian attempt to capture Kiev has proven)..
> Speaking at a campaign rally in South Carolina, he retold the story of his alleged conversation with the head of a NATO member country that had not met its obligations. This time, though, he left out the line that drew the most outrage — encouraging Russia “to do whatever the hell they want.”
> “Look, if they’re not going to pay, we’re not going to protect. OK?” he said Wednesday.
That's absolutely not the sentiments among Poles. If anything, there's a belief we can only rely on US when poo hits the fan.