> What they care about is they don't want to start working on projects that then sit in drawers for years.
This reminds me of another HN discussion about prediction markets, and how they can be misleading since profit is not the same as the time value of money.
For example, I could put down some money for a guaranteed profit against the people betting on "Trump will replace Biden in October 2024 after the aliens invade", but that's so far-out (in both senses) that it's not actually a good rate of return--I could be doing a lot more in-between now and then with the money.
In this case, perhaps developers could invest in a profitable project... but if the time-span is too long, the profit-per-time is bad so they'll look elsewhere.
This reminds me of another HN discussion about prediction markets, and how they can be misleading since profit is not the same as the time value of money.
For example, I could put down some money for a guaranteed profit against the people betting on "Trump will replace Biden in October 2024 after the aliens invade", but that's so far-out (in both senses) that it's not actually a good rate of return--I could be doing a lot more in-between now and then with the money.
In this case, perhaps developers could invest in a profitable project... but if the time-span is too long, the profit-per-time is bad so they'll look elsewhere.